Scattered severe thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure produced damaging winds across portions of central and eastern Virginia.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
Scattered severe thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure produced damaging winds across portions of central and eastern Virginia.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 11, 3:27 PM EST, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 427 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 .SYNOPSIS... A weak trough approaches from the west late this afternoon, with the trailing cold front crossing the area Friday afternoon, followed by weak high pressure building into the region for the upcoming weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 400 PM EDT Thursday... Latest analysis indicating sfc high pressure well offshore of the east coast, with sfc low pressure pushing across west central QC and far northern New England. The attendant sfc cold front extends S-SW across the interior northeast and into the mid-south. Regional radar mosaic indicating ISO-widely scattered thunderstorms just starting to develop over the Blue Ridge and just E-NE to the Mason-Dixon line. Aloft, the upper level trough continues to push across ERN Ontario and the upper Great Lakes down into the ern Ohio Valley. The upper level trough will progress to the ESE late this aftn through tonight and will be the most pronounced from the eastern Great Lakes to New England this evening. The trough will extend S through the local area but the 500-700 mb winds over the local area will only avg about 20-25 kt. It will however provide enough forcing for ascent to produce some more widespread convection later today. It does become rather unstable after 19-20z/3-4pm EDT this aftn Thursday aftn. 0-1km MLCAPE values reach 1500-2500 J/kg per 14z/11 RAP. PW values increase to ~2" (representing around +2 S.D.) ahead of the front. The Day 1 slight risk has been amended to include areas mainly along and north of a Louisa-Richmond-Salisbury MD line, which makes sense given timing and orientation of best effective shear (vast majority of the CWA is in a Marginal Risk). With the shear modest at best and (typically) fairly weak mid-level lapse rates, widespread severe weather appears unlikely. However, given steep low level lapse rates, a few stronger tstms are possible given aforementioned MLCAPE values combined with the moisture pooling ahead of the approaching trough. Most likely threat will be with potential for damaging wind gusts initially, with threat evolving more to a heavy-rain threat as the evening progresses. The 500-700 mb flow will be enough to keep the storms from being stationary, but the low level jet winds will be almost similar to the winds aloft which would support training cells and the potential for some flooding, especially this evening. WPC has oriented our northern third of the area in a slight risk for excessive rainfall. Area of greatest concern for our area at this time is the northern neck and the eastern shore (mainly along and west of US-13). these areas picked up some heavy rain in spots on Monday and have the potential to receive some heavier downpours once again...so we will have to watch these areas particularly closely this evening. PoPs for showers/tstms have been pushed into high end likely to categorical given several successive runs HRRR and NMM. Chc pop (SCT T wording) continues this evening for the southeast CWA where timing will likely be later tonight with the main line. Concern over these areas will be with popcorn/pulsy type convection this aftn and early evening along the trough axis and w/ any convective outflows from farther upstream. More humid than yesterday with highs similar to or slightly higher, mainly in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Diminishing PoPs late/overnight from NW to SE with lows 70-75F. The shortwave trough pivots offshore for Friday. Expect partial clearing Friday morning. However, CU re-develops by late morning, with the surface boundary expected to be in place along the se third of the local area. Low-level moisture will linger under WNW flow aloft, and some showers/tstms are expected to trigger in vicinity of the surface boundary (mainly east of I-95) with PoPs ~30% from Richmond to Northern Neck, and 40% for Hampton Roads and NE NC during the aftn/evening. The 11/12Z NAM and ECMWF have been followed in developing sct convection over the middle peninsula and Tidewater areas. Slight chc or less PoP has been maintained inland w/downsloping low- level westerly flow. Still quite warm Friday with highs into the low-mid 90s inland, and near 90 at the immediate coast. Heat indices are expected to reach ~100F once again, especially over inland SE VA/NE NC where the dew pts will be highest. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 400 PM EDT Thursday... The NW flow aloft will persist through the weekend over the area. There will be a slight chance of showers and tstm along a boundary that will remain the in the area. Pops are 20-30% (highest near the bay and NE NC) where the main lifting mechanism will be the lingering boundary and sea breeze. High temperatures on Friday will be in the low 90s with dewpts in the low 70s. Therefore heat indices will approach 100 inland. Overnight lows will drop into upper 60s far NW with drier air filtering in but will be in the low 70s for most of our area. A second cold front will move south into the area later on Sunday. There will still be dry air aloft but showers may develop along the seabreeze and the front Sunday afternoon. Pops are only 15-20% with temperatures climbing in the mid 90s along I-95 and near 90 at the beaches with downslope flow and clear skies. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 400 PM EDT Thursday... Still looks at a fairly seasonable with typical diurnally driven showers/tstms through much of the extended period. The large-scale pattern from early-mid next week will be characterized by upper ridging centered over the Four Corners region, with another area of upper ridging offshore of the Southeast CONUS. The remnant low of Barry is progged to track slowly NNE invof the Mississippi River from late Sun-Tue, while our region remains in WNW flow aloft. Seasonably hot/humid conditions prevail on Mon-Tue with isolated tstms. PoPs are mainly between 15-30% (highest during the aftn/evening hours, lowest during the morning). Highs around 90F on Monday, warming into the low 90s in most areas on Tue (still some upper 80s on the Lower Ern Shore). Lows on Mon/Tue AM range from the upper 60s-low 70s (mid 70s possible in coastal SE VA/NE NC). Still quite a bit of uncertainty regarding the track of the remnant low of Barry. 12z/11 model consensus has the remnant low approaching the Appalachians late Tue-Wed before tracking across the Mid- Atlantic by late Wed-Thu. Not expecting any major impacts from the remnants of Barry across the local area. However, increased PoPs slightly toward the end of the extended period (still highest during the aftn-evening) to account for a potential increase in shower/tstm coverage as the remnants of Barry approach the region. Continued hot and humid conditions are anticipated through Wed-Thu with highs mainly in the 89-93F range and morning lows between 70-75F. && .AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 125 PM EDT Thursday... VFR conditions all areas from through 20Z. Isolated to widely Scattered tstms have developed across the Appalachians and wl slide E into the local area between 21-00Z. Along the coast, sct tstms hv developed near the coast SW of PHF-ORF with the seabreeze, and will push across SE VA/NE NC through early evening. Overall, the highest probability for showers/tstms will be after 22z/6pm late aftn through this evening. For now have SHRA and/or VCTS mentioned at main terminals. Showers/tstms could linger along the coast through 06Z/Fri. OUTLOOK...A frontal boundary lingers over SE VA/NE NC Friday with another chc (30-40%) of aftn/evening showers/tstms. Weak high pressure builds into the area Saturday and Sunday for mainly;y dry conditions (chance for any showers/tstms less than 20%). && .MARINE... As of 420 PM EDT Thursday... No headlines in the short term tonight thru Sat. Late this aftn, Southerly winds generally 5-15 knots with a few gusts up to 20 kt, were occurring over the waters as a sfc trough was approaching from the west. Waves were 1-2 ft and seas 2-3 ft. A sfc trough will approach and push thru the region this evening and tonight, bringing at least sctd showers and storms. The pressure gradient will tighten as the trough nears the area with hi-res guidance showing a modest increase in SSE winds to 10-15 kt with a few gusts to near 20 kt this evening. A loosely organized line of showers/storms moves out over the Bay and offshore waters this evening into tonight, bringing a chance for erratic gusty winds, otherwise SSW winds 10-15 knots can be expected overnight into Fri morning. The actual cold front will be slow to cross the region Fri night into Sat morning with northerly flow, generally 5-10 knots, in its wake. Quiet marine conditions are expected for the remainder of the weekend with winds aob 10 knots, waves 1-2 ft and seas around 2 ft. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...MAM NEAR TERM...MAM SHORT TERM...CP LONG TERM...ERI AVIATION...MAM MARINE...TMG
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 412 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 MDZ024-025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-065>069-079>090-092- 093-095>100-512>516-518-520-523>525-122015- Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Northampton-Hertford-Gates- Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans- Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland- Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Brunswick-Dinwiddie- Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews- Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack- Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Eastern King William-Eastern King and Queen-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 412 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected through this evening. Any storm will be capable of producing strong wind gusts, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will bring the potentially for locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds Friday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ021>023-VAZ064-075>078-509>511-517-519-521-522-122015- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Caroline-Westmoreland-Richmond- Northumberland-Lancaster-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa- Western Hanover-Western King William-Western King and Queen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 412 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia and north central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon through early this evening as a surface trough crosses the area. The main severe threat will be from damaging wind gusts. Locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning will be possible in any storm. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed tonight.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
530 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
VAZ048-062-509-510-112215-
Goochland-Fluvanna-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-
530 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LOUISA...NORTHWESTERN
GOOCHLAND AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES...
At 529 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 7 miles east of Orange to Lake
Monticello. Movement was east at 15 mph.
Wind gusts to around 40 mph, small hail and frequent lightning are
possible with these storms. In addition...Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches are possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Louisa, Mineral, Hadensville, Palmyra, Fork Union, Lake Monticello,
Columbia, Fife, Ferncliff, Bumpass, Kents Store, Troy, Orchid, Louisa
Airport, Green Springs, Shores, Central Plains, Cohasset, Tabscott
and Trevilians.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
Heavy downpours are also occurring with these storms, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.
LAT...LON 3815 7810 3813 7805 3814 7801 3812 7798
3812 7792 3810 7786 3810 7784 3806 7778
3805 7775 3802 7775 3803 7773 3801 7769
3767 7803 3769 7810 3771 7809 3775 7816
3771 7823 3776 7847 3778 7848 3779 7848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 256DEG 12KT 3821 7799 3791 7834
44Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
535 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
VAZ060-065>067-079-112230-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Prince Edward-Brunswick-
535 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MECKLENBURG...
SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE EDWARD...LUNENBURG...WESTERN NOTTOWAY AND
NORTHWESTERN BRUNSWICK COUNTIES...
At 534 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered near Wylliesburg,
or 7 miles northwest of Chase City, moving northeast at 20 mph.
Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with
these storms.
In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
South Hill, Blackstone, Chase City, Crewe, Victoria, Kenbridge,
Brodnax, Nottoway, Lunenburg, Clarksville, La Crosse, Burkeville,
Boydton, Kells Corner, Buffalo Springs, Rehoboth, Green Bay, Dundas,
Nelson and Bacons Fork.
If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.
Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.
LAT...LON 3669 7868 3669 7865 3664 7858 3664 7856
3670 7865 3689 7849 3707 7844 3710 7849
3725 7805 3673 7792 3654 7867 3654 7871
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 239DEG 19KT 3689 7853
GINGRICHSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
546 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
VAZ060-061-068-069-112230-
Powhatan-Amelia-Cumberland-Prince Edward-
546 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CUMBERLAND...
NORTHEASTERN PRINCE EDWARD...NORTHWESTERN AMELIA AND WESTERN POWHATAN
COUNTIES...
At 545 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Toga to near Sheppards to Longwood
University. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.
Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph are possible with these storms.
Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Cumberland, Farmville, Longwood University, Amelia Courthouse,
Jetersville, Guinea Mills, Tobaccoville, Trenholm, Sunnyside, Morven,
Lakeside Village, Rice, Ballsville, Duncan, Raines Tavern, Angola,
Oak Forest, Winterham, Hawk and Maplewood.
If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.
Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.
LAT...LON 3734 7846 3762 7826 3771 7822 3774 7818
3774 7814 3772 7811 3770 7809 3767 7811
3764 7804 3734 7791 3728 7815 3730 7823
3726 7824 3723 7834 3733 7849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 245DEG 20KT 3753 7867 3743 7850 3728 7837
EISpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
556 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
VAZ060-061-112230-
Cumberland-Prince Edward-
556 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND AND
PRINCE EDWARD COUNTIES...
At 555 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Red House,
moving east at 30 mph.
Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.
Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Farmville, Hampden Sydney College, Longwood University, Hampden
Sydney, Darlington Heights, Prospect, Briery Creek Lake, Tuggle,
Allens Mill, Kingsville, Reeds, Elam and Worsham.
If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.
Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.
LAT...LON 3726 7868 3732 7863 3734 7860 3740 7859
3739 7858 3738 7859 3735 7855 3733 7849
3734 7849 3734 7846 3742 7841 3715 7830
3713 7851 3715 7855 3714 7858 3717 7863
3719 7864 3720 7869
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 247DEG 28KT 3723 7879
EISpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
613 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
VAZ048-060>062-064-067>069-509>511-513-112300-
Goochland-Nottoway-Western Chesterfield-Western
Hanover-Powhatan-Fluvanna-Amelia-Western
Louisa-Cumberland-Caroline-Prince Edward-Eastern Louisa-
613 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LOUISA...NORTHWESTERN
CHESTERFIELD...CUMBERLAND...CENTRAL PRINCE EDWARD...NORTHERN
NOTTOWAY...GOOCHLAND...WEST CENTRAL CAROLINE...NORTHWESTERN
HANOVER...AMELIA...POWHATAN AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES...
At 612 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Mineral to near Darlington Heights.
Movement was east at 20 mph.
Wind gusts up to 40 mph and frequent lightning are possible with
these storms. In addition, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Powhatan, Goochland, Cumberland, Farmville, Louisa, Mineral, Moseley,
Palmyra, Fork Union, Mannboro, Hampden Sydney, Hampden Sydney
College, Longwood University, Hadensville, Amelia Courthouse, Lake
Monticello, Columbia, Gum Spring, Oilville and Manakin.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike more than 10 miles away from a thunderstorm.
Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.
LAT...LON 3734 7860 3740 7859 3733 7851 3734 7846
3764 7825 3769 7824 3774 7843 3780 7849
3813 7821 3804 7774 3803 7774 3799 7766
3801 7761 3799 7750 3719 7784 3722 7869
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 256DEG 21KT 3808 7793 3722 7864
44Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
619 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
NCZ012-VAZ060-065>068-079-080-087-514-112315-
Northampton-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Dinwiddie-Amelia-Prince
Edward-Brunswick-Greensville-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col.
Heights)-
619 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
NORTHAMPTON...MECKLENBURG...WESTERN GREENSVILLE...SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE
EDWARD...LUNENBURG...NOTTOWAY...SOUTHEASTERN AMELIA...DINWIDDIE AND
BRUNSWICK COUNTIES...
At 618 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Jetersville to near Kenbridge to 7
miles west of Norlina. Movement was east at 30 mph.
Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with
these storms.
In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Dinwiddie, South Hill, Blackstone, Chase City, Crewe, Victoria,
Lawrenceville, Kenbridge, McKenney, Brodnax, Mannboro, Purdy,
Brunswick, Nottoway, Lunenburg, La Crosse, Burkeville, Boydton,
Alberta and Dewitt.
If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.
Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.
Motorists should use extra caution in the vicinity of these storms.
Be prepared for rapid changes in weather and road conditions. Heavy
rain could cause ponding of water on roads, and possible minor
flooding of ditches and poor drainage areas.
LAT...LON 3686 7842 3724 7828 3726 7746 3691 7755
3688 7762 3685 7757 3649 7771 3648 7775
3651 7790 3654 7790 3654 7860
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 258DEG 29KT 3727 7807 3688 7815 3647 7833
GINGRICHThe Sterling radar (KLWX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:25 UTC.
10 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tree was downed near Roma's Restaurant. Sporadic power outages were reported in and around Bowling Green.
Tree was downed onto a power line at Obama Elementary School in Brookland Park Section of Richmond. Also, numerous power outages were reported in the area.
Tree and power line were downed along Atlee Station Road and Chamberlayne Road intersection.
Several trees were uprooted onto cars in the Sherwood Hills Subdivision.
Tree was downed on Walkers Mill Road.
Tree was downed on Sharps Road in Farnham.
Several trees and power lines were downed.
Trees were downed.
Trees were downed along Mill Swamp Road near Jones Town Road.
Tree was downed on the 1000 Block of Big Bethel Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 845383, 845384, 845387, 845391, 845393, 845396, 845398, 845399, 845400, 845402.