Severe drought conditions affected part of Bell County after little rainfall was received during the first half of November.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions affected part of Bell County after little rainfall was received during the first half of November.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 18, 11:03 PM CST, 57 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1103 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 .AVIATION... /06 UTC TAF Cycle/ Concerns---None major. Very low non-convective LLWS potential during pre-dawn hours Tuesday. VFR will continue through the entire TAF cycle. With surface winds diminishing and winds aloft at around 20 knots, there could be some minor non-convective LLWS. At this time, however, it appears that the greatest shear magnitude will be just outside of the 2000 foot layer necessary for inclusion and I'll abstain from the mention of LLWS in the TAFs. Otherwise, southerly winds will return during the day on Tuesday with speeds gradually increasing in the mid to late the afternoon. Speeds should remain AOB 12 knots. High cirrus will invade from the west and southwest. This cirrus will thicken later in the TAF period (hours 18-24), but VFR will prevail. Bain && .LONG TERM... /Issued 347 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2019/ /Tuesday Night through This Weekend/ Strong southerly flow will start to take hold of the region Tuesday night as the dominating surface high pressure center shifts east and leeside cyclogenesis over SW Colorado increases. The enhanced return flow will allow a blanket of stratus to develop across Central Texas Tuesday night and make its way through North Texas before daybreak Wednesday. The increased cloud cover combined with strong warm/moist advection will keep Wednesday morning's lows in the mid 50s across the area. A shortwave trough will be ejecting out of the desert SW CONUS and moving over the Central Plains Wednesday. This will eject the leeside surface low out of SW Colorado with the low moving into the Upper Mississippi Valley by Wednesday night. In the upper levels, a pool of abnormally high PWAT air will be streaming over the Sierra Madre Mountains and moving into North and Central Texas. The current NAEFS and ECMWF EPS mean guidance is indicating PWAT and integrated moisture flux values approaching and exceeding, respectively, the 99.5th percentile by Wednesday evening. Normally, this could indicate the potential for an areal flooding or flash flooding threat, however, the lack of well defined surface forcing and little to no instability across the region should mitigate any potential flood threats. ATTM, we expect scattered rain showers to develop Wednesday afternoon west of I-35 in the open warm sector along a weak confluent area in the low levels. The showers should become more widespread overnight north of I-20 as the LLJ increases in magnitude, however only brief rumbles of thunder are possible as a capping inversion helps keep the instability at-bay. Precip amounts should be on the light side (less than 0.25") due to the lack of convection. The attendant cold front of the aforementioned surface low will be making its way south Wednesday night and eventually stall out along or just north of the Red River. This will keep Thursday's low temperatures relatively warm in the low to mid 60s, about 20 degrees above climatology. The front should remain stalled out across the Red River Thursday with off/on rain continuing in the vicinity of the front. Across the remainder of North and Central Texas, isolated to widely scattered light rain showers will continue through the day with daytime highs tapping out in the mid 70s. There is very small potential for a weak dryline to develop across Big Country Thursday. If the instability increases ahead of the boundary, a few isolated strong thunderstorms are possible Thursday afternoon/evening. The likelihood of this is low ATTM, but something to watch for. Another shortwave trough will be quick on the heels of the previous and begin ejecting into the Southern Plains Thursday night into Friday. This will help drive the stalled out frontal boundary south Thursday night into Friday. The forced ascent along the leading edge of the boundary will be the focus for additional precip development across all of North and Central texas, with the heaviest precip expected to remain North of I-20 and east of I-35. Instability should once again be lacking ahead of the front, limiting the convective threat. Scattered post-frontal rain should continue through the early part of the day Friday as weak shortwave pertubations continue streaming ahead of the H5/H7 baroclinic zones. These zones should move through Friday night, bringing an end to the precip by Saturday morning. All in all, areas North of I-20 and east of I-35 can expect between 0.5-0.75" of rain with this system. Areas west of I-35 and south of I-20 can expect less than 0.25" of rain. The passage of the cold front will mean yet another storybook weekend is expected across North and Central Texas with partly cloudy skies and temperatures slightly below climatology Saturday and Sunday. Bonnette && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1141 AM CST Mon Nov 18 2019/ /Through Tomorrow/ Pleasant and tranquil weather will continue through tomorrow with above normal temperatures. Winds have veered to the west/southwest ahead of an ill-defined surface trough axis which will become draped through southern Oklahoma tonight. This feature will have little/no effect on sensible weather other than to continue shifting the already light winds in place. Dewpoints will begin increasing a bit overnight, which will hold Tuesday morning's lows a few degrees higher, mainly in the 40s to near 50 degrees. The warming trend will continue tomorrow, with highs in the 70s beneath sunny skies. -Stalley && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 45 75 53 75 60 / 0 0 0 30 40 Waco 40 77 52 77 60 / 0 0 0 20 30 Paris 45 72 51 72 61 / 0 0 0 20 60 Denton 42 74 55 73 62 / 0 0 0 40 40 McKinney 45 75 54 74 63 / 0 0 0 30 50 Dallas 50 77 56 75 64 / 0 0 0 30 40 Terrell 44 77 54 76 63 / 0 0 0 20 40 Corsicana 44 77 55 76 63 / 0 0 0 20 30 Temple 43 78 56 77 63 / 0 0 0 20 30 Mineral Wells 45 77 53 72 59 / 0 0 0 50 30 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 24/30
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 347 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-191215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 347 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Thunderstorm chances will return Wednesday and continue through Friday afternoon. A few strong thunderstorms may be possible on Thursday afternoon west of I-35, but the overall severe weather threat should remain low. Isolated pockets of heavy rainfall east of I-35 Thursday night and Friday may result in minor flooding within typical flood-prone and low lying areas. At this time, widespread flash flooding is not expected. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions affected part of the county for the second half of November.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 865027.