A strong cold front arrived the morning of November 11th and brought strong northerly winds to North and Central Texas. Minor tree and roof damage was reported in Tarrant County.
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The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A strong cold front arrived the morning of November 11th and brought strong northerly winds to North and Central Texas. Minor tree and roof damage was reported in Tarrant County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 11, 5:50 AM CST, 4 hours 58 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 550 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2019 .AVIATION... /12z TAFs/ Aviation concerns through the period include MVFR cigs early this morning followed by a cold frontal passage with strong north winds by midday. Post-frontal stratus will follow along with some light rain and drizzle, before VFR conditions resume tonight. A strong cold front currently positioned through northwestern Texas and southern Oklahoma will continue plunging southward today. FROPA is expected at the Metroplex TAF sites between 16-17z and at Waco around 18z. In advance of the front, SCT/BKN MVFR stratus around 2 kft will prevail, with cigs lowering and becoming more widespread immediately following the front. Some brief IFR will also be possible. The front will be accompanied by some light rain with patchy drizzle occurring occasionally through the afternoon hours. The main story will be the strong north winds behind the front, with gusts as high as 35-40 kts possible. Winds will remain strong through the evening hours as any lingering precipitation tapers off from north to south. All precip is expected to end at the TAF sites before temperatures fall below freezing. As dry air filters in this evening and overnight, lingering low cigs should erode quickly, and VFR conditions should return between 00-03z in the Metroplex and around 09z at Waco. VFR conditions and a north breeze will prevail heading into Tuesday. -Stalley && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 301 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2019/ /Through Tonight/ Our much-anticipated arctic cold front is on our doorstep, draped roughly from Childress to Tulsa as of 3 AM. This boundary will surge through the entire CWA over the next 12 hours, bringing an abrupt end to the mild weather we experienced the past couple of days. Little has changed from previous forecasts, with a very limited potential for any wintry precip to fall within the CWA. Currently, deep southerly flow is contributing to strong warm advection, particularly across North Texas and southeastern Oklahoma. This should allow for isolated showers and perhaps even a thunderstorm or two through the early morning hours in advance of the cold front. However, any showery activity will be shut down rather quickly as the front arrives. Due to modest moisture within the warm sector, the front itself should only be accompanied by a thin band of light rain, with areas of drizzle continuing behind it as moisture is "squeezed" out by the arrival of much colder air. Rain totals will be rather meager with this system, with most areas receiving just a few hundredths, and other locations probably not recording measurable precip at all. In addition, a strong north wind will prevail immediately following the front, with sustained winds of 20-30 mph and gusts as high as 40-45 mph. A Wind Advisory is set to go in effect area-wide later this morning which will continue through tonight. Strong cold advection will send temperatures plummeting during the day, and they're expected to fall into the 30s and low 40s by mid afternoon. By this evening, the bulk of the precip will have shifted out of the CWA to the southeast, with the exception of a few areas across Central Texas. We'll have to keep an eye on the time frame of about 7pm to midnight, with temperatures likely falling to near freezing while some light precip could still be ongoing. While some light drizzle will still be possible, it's likely that precip originating in the low levels will shut down as strong downglide begins occurring in the frontal inversion layer. Instead, the concern will be in the 600-400mb layer as mid-level ascent continues with the front's associated upper trough axis still upstream. Most guidance indicates profiles saturated to as low as minus 15-20C, which will support predominantly ice crystals within the cloud layer. However, the low-level warm nose is still progged to be as warm as 8-10C during this time, easily melting any frozen hydrometeors. The question is then whether sufficient cold air would exist in the lowest ~1km to refreeze droplets into sleet. At this time, it appears the colder near-surface air will be neither cold enough or deep enough to allow for refreezing, but have maintained a "slight chance" mention of sleet across our far south/southwestern zones, roughly encompassing the Lampasas, Temple/Killeen, and Cameron areas. Regardless, any sleet pellets that would form would not be of any concern due to both the very light nature of precipitation and warm ground temperatures. Light rain with temperatures in the mid 30s is still the most likely scenario for these locations this evening. In fact, the entire above scenario is dependent on whether the mid-level ascent is even strong enough to support precipitation development in the first place. Lift will essentially be confined to dynamic ascent from the strong shortwave, as isentropic ascent will essentially be nonexistent with strong downglide expected in the lowest 3-4km. All precip is expected to end around midnight for the entire CWA as much drier air is advected into the low levels. This drier air will also lead to rapid clearing of skies between midnight and sunrise. By daybreak Tuesday, temperatures will have fallen into the 20s area-wide, with some upper teens possible across our northern zones. While winds will have subsided slightly, they'll still be gusty into Tuesday morning, and when combined with lows in the 20s, will yield wind chill readings in the teens and single digits. If you haven't dug out your winter coat yet, now would be a good time. -Stalley && .LONG TERM... /Issued 301 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2019/ /Tuesday through Next Weekend/ By sunrise Tuesday morning, the cold front will be well into the Gulf of Mexico and all precipitation will have ended across the region. Strong cold air advection will continue through the day, and despite clear or mostly clear skies, high temperatures will be well below seasonal normals with values only in the 40s. Unfortunately, wind speeds will remain in the 10-20 mph range for much of the morning, but will then slowly diminish from north to south as the surface high starts to settle in during the afternoon hours. The breezy winds will make it feel like it's in the 20s and 30s for much of the day. With clear skies and lighter winds, overnight lows will plummet into the mid and lower 20s across the region, and a few locations will likely fall into the upper teens before daybreak Wednesday. Southerly winds will quickly return on Wednesday as the surface high moves east and another storm system drops into the northern U.S. Rockies. The pattern change will bring noticeably "warmer" temperatures to the region on Wednesday, but values will still be well below normal with highs in the 50s. On Thursday, a weak front will slide across the region, but there won't be much cold air advection behind this front. Temperatures on Thursday will still top out in the 50s, and temperatures will continue a slow warm-up going into the weekend. On Thursday, an upper-level, open wave disturbance is still expected to move east across South Texas, but the track of this disturbance is now farther south than previous model runs. For now I have kept the low rain chances across our southeastern counties late Wednesday night through Thursday but would not be surprised if most of the rain ends up being south of the region. Instability is still lacking for a mention of thunder during this time. As we reach next weekend, there are differences between the models in the upper air patterns that lend low confidence to when the next noteworthy rain chances will be. An active storm system track continues across the country, and the GFS and GEM are quick to move a shortwave trough through the central part of the CONUS on Sunday. This quick motion doesn't allow much time for rain, but the ECMWF still digs this trough a little deeper and slower which may suggest some rain Sunday-Monday. We will continue to watch the weekend system, but nothing overly concerning is showing at this time. JLDunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 63 25 44 25 54 / 50 5 0 0 0 Waco 66 27 44 22 53 / 30 30 0 0 0 Paris 60 20 42 22 49 / 70 20 0 0 0 Denton 61 21 42 22 52 / 50 0 0 0 0 McKinney 63 23 42 21 52 / 60 5 0 0 0 Dallas 64 25 44 26 53 / 50 5 0 0 0 Terrell 65 23 44 22 52 / 50 10 0 0 0 Corsicana 66 24 43 24 52 / 50 30 0 0 0 Temple 66 27 44 22 53 / 30 40 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 57 21 42 21 55 / 30 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 6 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175. && 26/82
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 339 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2019 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-120945- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 339 AM CST Mon Nov 11 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. A strong cold front will move through the area today, accompanied by gusty north winds as high as 40 mph along with significantly colder conditions. Wind chill values will be in the teens and single digits overnight. A brief mix of light rain and sleet is possible tonight southwest of a Gatesville to Hearne line. At this time, no impacts are anticipated. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Low chances for thunderstorms return to the forecast on Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Shingles were blown off and 1-inch tree limbs were broken during strong winds. Damage was reported via mPING.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 865013.