Cold air funneling in behind a cold front brought strong northeast winds to Guadalupe Pass.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Cold air funneling in behind a cold front brought strong northeast winds to Guadalupe Pass.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 1, 5:21 PM CST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
621 PM CDT Fri Nov 1 2019
.DISCUSSION...
Please see 00Z aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR will continue through the forecast period. A cold front will
pass through all terminals early tonight which will result in a
northerly wind shift and a few hours of elevated winds w/gusts to
around 25 kts. Winds should diminish to 10 kts or less after 09Z.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 228 PM CDT Fri Nov 1 2019/
DISCUSSION...
Current long wave setup over the US shows a broad trough axis over the
eastern 2/3rd's with accompanying closed low over Quebec, followed by
ridging along the west coast. This setup has left the door open for
progressive shortwaves sliding down the backside of the trough and
quickly traversing the plains, which is exactly the setup with the next
system currently cutting to the north. Weak low over NM will push east,
dragging a cold front through our CWA by later this afternoon and
evening, but not before our temperatures rebound into the 60's and 70's
areawide thanks to weak southerly flow and full sunshine. Post frontal
winds will become breezy out of the north and northeast, allowing
gap winds become an issue for Guadalupe Pass and Guadalupe
mountains tonight. Current MOS guidance, in tandem with hi- res
models in agreement on winds breaching High Wind Warning criteria,
so have upgraded the previous High Wind Watch to a warning.
Attendant height falls on the base of the trough with northerly
flow into Saturday will allow for cool start to the weekend with
low temps near and north of I-20 dropping back below freezing.
Surface high pressure will motion into the Panhandle by tomorrow,
but progressive pattern will lead to high shifting quickly east
into the Mississippi Valley, flipping return flow out of the
south, leading to warmer temps to end weekend, into next week.
Fairly zonal setup over the southern CONUS despite an active northern
branch of jet. Average to slightly above average temps will be common
across west Texas through Tuesday with no precip threats through
Monday. Long range guidance is in pretty decent agreement on the
evolution into mid-next week with southerly flow leading to moisture
advection across the area on the backside of the surface ridge centered
over the Midwest. Weak upper-level disturbance will undercut the
ridge to the west and slowly meander over the southwestern US
Mon/Tue. A return of scattered convection is possible over parts
of the CWA as long as the disturbance doesn't fully peter out
before making it into New Mexico. Attendant speed max around 80
knots at 300mb over west Texas along with the ambient moist
environment in place should provide enough lift to generate area
precip. Strong surface ridge will be traversing out of Canada by
Tue/Wed next week with progressive cold front crashing through the
northern Rockies and central plains. This seems to be the next
cold shot for the southern plains, but will refrain from parsing
details much beyond day 5.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 32 58 41 73 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 30 56 34 75 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 39 64 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 34 59 44 75 / 0 0 0 10
Guadalupe Pass 29 52 41 67 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 28 54 34 72 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 29 57 33 71 / 0 0 10 0
Midland Intl Airport 32 58 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa 31 58 39 72 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 32 59 38 76 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning until 6 AM MDT Saturday for Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains.
&&
24Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 212 PM CDT Fri Nov 1 2019 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-021915- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 212 PM CDT Fri Nov 1 2019 /112 PM MDT Fri Nov 1 2019/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A High Wind Warning is in effect tonight for Guadalupe Pass. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 865521.