Despite a mid-level ridge overhead today, one isolated storm was able to form in a very unstable atmosphere. Very warm temperatures east of a dryline were able to break a strong cap.
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The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Despite a mid-level ridge overhead today, one isolated storm was able to form in a very unstable atmosphere. Very warm temperatures east of a dryline were able to break a strong cap. Thunderstorms developed that produced hail up to two inches in diameter.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 6:02 PM CST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 702 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2019 .AVIATION... Scattered convection continues to propagate east to northeast around 25 kts across the southern Texas Panhandle and northern portions of West Texas this evening. Therefore, showers or thunderstorms may impact the KPVW and KCDS terminals early in the forecast period. Ceilings and visibilities may drop into the MVFR category under the strongest convection. However, difficult to determine if this will occur at/close to terminal. Otherwise, VFR conditions should dominate the weather. JH && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2019/ DISCUSSION... The warm up continues today and tomorrow as low amplitude midlevel ridging pivots across the Texas Panhandle over the next 12 hours, with a quick transition to midlevel shortwave troughing by tomorrow morning, setting up to the west and drawing in even warmer air in southwest flow through the course of the day tomorrow. A conditional chance of strong to marginally severe storms will persist from later this afternoon into the evening hours across the South Plains, and Rolling Plains. A firm CAP remains in place with H70 temps around 14C but we're approaching convective temperature as of 3pm. If storms are able to initiate, there is certainly enough instability aloft to produce large hail up to the size of golf balls and wind gusts from elevated storms up to 70 MPH. Confidence is low that any activity like this would become widespread or long lived, especially during daylight hours. If the storms are able to organize in any meaningful way, they could spread further east and south across the Rolling Plains during the overnight hours. Behind the shifting ridge we'll see an open wave advect warmer air for the hottest day of the year so far tomorrow. High temps will be in the upper 90s across the region. The shortwave pattern remain active for Sunday into next week bringing a number of cold fronts south to our latitude over the next seven days. As a result, the above normal temperatures today and tomorrow won't last long. Temperatures will settle back into the upper 80s for Sunday and the beginning of next week as surface moisture recovers slightly and a mix of sun and clouds with weakly forced convection will be almost a daily fixture. Widespread showers or thunderstorms are not anticipated at this time for Sunday and beyond. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 99/99/02
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1138 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2019 TXZ021>044-150445- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale- Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King- Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 1138 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight There is a risk of isolated severe thunderstorms across the area late this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms are expected to develop mainly near the dryline, which is forecast to be near the Interstate 27 and Highway 87 Corridor. But there still is a little uncertainty where initiation of storms will occur and a small chance one or two severe storms could initiate further west near the New Mexico border. The storms will move eastward through the central and eastern South Plains and southern Texas Panhandle into the Rolling Plains before diminishing by mid to late evening. At their most intense, isolated supercells will be capable of producing hail to tennis ball size, wind gusts to 70 mph and locally heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Slim storm chances may develop across the eastern Rolling Plains Saturday afternoon and evening. Additional thunderstorm chances will exist from Sunday into at least the first part of next week. Although widespread severe weather isn't expected, a couple of storms could become strong to severe through this stretch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be requested.
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 78 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:51 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Local broadcast media relayed a picture of two inch diameter hail along US Highway 62/70 near Dougherty. No damage was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 825899.