South Dakota, 2019

Flood in South Dakota, September 11 to 30, 2019

September 11 to 30, 2019 · NWS ABR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Above normal September rainfall brought the Big Sioux River near Watertown to above flood stage on September 11th. The river continued to flood throughout the rest of the month and into October.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABR wrote it up.

Above normal September rainfall brought the Big Sioux River near Watertown to above flood stage on September 11th. The river continued to flood throughout the rest of the month and into October.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 10, 11:26 PM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 11:26 PM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1226 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2019

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2019

See updated aviation discussion below.

UPDATE Issued at 911 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

Forecast is in decent shape so no major changes anticipated
overnight. The threat of severe weather looks to be mostly south
of the CWA per current activity and CAM forecasts. Temperatures
look fine.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

The threat for severe storms tonight and again late Wednesday
afternoon through Thursday morning will be the main forecast
concerns.

As of 20Z, this CWA is experiencing light, northerly winds. A
warm front is slowly lifting northward across far southern South
Dakota with surface dew points climbing into the 60s. Easterly
flow into the higher terrain areas of South Dakota, along with
increasing height falls is causing thunderstorms in southwest SD.
These storms are expected to grow upscale into a forward
propagating MCS. An increasing south to southwest LLJ of 50 knots
will cause the MCS to push across the state tonight into the
morning hours on Wednesday. Winds, greater than 70 mph, and
torrential rainfall will be the main threat in this CWA. The
heaviest rainfall, an inch to two inches, will be possible along
and south of Highway 212 and east of the James River valley.
Central South Dakota, or along and south of Highway 14 will have
the best potential for seeing the damaging winds. The first system
should exit the CWA Wednesday morning with mostly dry, but cloudy
skies expected. The latest models cooler temperatures across the
CWA with highs on Wednesday only in the 60s to low 70s.

An area of low pressure and associated mid level trough will cross
the region late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. Strong LLJ
of 40 to 55 knots, along with increasing instability will bring the
potential for severe storms, mainly east of the Missouri River.
Heavy rainfall will also be possible Wednesday night. With the wet
conditions over the past couple of days, a flood watch may be needed
Wednesday night.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

The wet weather continues into the daylight hours Thursday, with the
large surface low over eastern SD, and the 500mb low still across
northwestern SD. Will keep the mention/slight chance of
thunderstorms as some instability lingers over mainly our eastern
counties. Expect the deepening surface over our far northeastern
counties at 18Z Thursday to move near FAR by 00Z Friday, as the
500mb low crosses into central SD with a trough lingering across our
counties through the day Friday. While most of the rain will end
during the day Thursday, lingering low level moisture (high RH stuck
below 800mb) will keep the plenty of clouds through Friday morning.

A surface ridge over western and central SD midday Friday will be
able to push across the rest of our area in the afternoon, before
exiting into MN Friday night. Saturday will bring a start of a warm-
up to near average temperatures for this time of year, with highs in
the 70s. Saturday may also bring us isolated afternoon showers and
thunderstorms, as a weak frontal boundary and weak open trough cross
the Dakotas. Expect mainly zonal flow to take hold then through
Sunday, as we monitor a large 500mb low sinking in off the Canadian
coastline to the Pacific Northwest. Southwesterly flow will take
over Monday through at least the middle of next week. Above normal
temperatures will return as early as Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Wed Sep 11 2019

VFR skies/vsbys are expected to gradually lower to MVFR/IFR cigs
through early Wednesday morning. Areas of fog are also possible.
Widespread MVFR cigs are expected for late Wednesday morning and
afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will spread from west to east
across the area during the late afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...TDK
SHORT TERM...SD
LONG TERM...KF
AVIATION...Parkin
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 6:41 PM CST, 7 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
741 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

MNZ039-046-SDZ006>008-011-018>023-120045-
Traverse-Big Stone-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-Day-Spink-Clark-Codington-
Grant-Hamlin-Deuel-
741 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota and
northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few showers and thunderstorms are expected overnight, but the risk
of severe weather appears low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon through
the day Thursday. Some of the storms may be strong to severe
Wednesday afternoon and evening, mainly south of Highway 212.
Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SDZ045-048-051-120045-
Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
741 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few showers and thunderstorms are expected overnight, but the risk
of severe weather appears low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon through
the day Thursday. Some of the storms may be strong to severe
Wednesday afternoon and evening, mainly south of Highway 212.
Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

SDZ003>005-009-010-015>017-033>037-120045-
Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Walworth-Edmunds-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-
Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-
741 PM CDT Tue Sep 10 2019 /641 PM MDT Tue Sep 10 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central South Dakota and
north central South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A few showers and thunderstorms are expected overnight, but the risk
of severe weather appears low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon through
the day Thursday. Some of the storms may be strong to severe
Wednesday afternoon and evening, mainly south of Highway 212.
Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Codington

When
September 11, 1:45 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Codington County, 1.57 mi N of (Aty)watertown Arpt to 1.56 mi NE of (Aty)watertown Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
44.943, -97.146

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in South Dakota in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in South Dakota, September 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 856128.