Puerto Rico, 2019

Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in Puerto Rico, September 12 to 16, 2019

September 12 to 16, 2019 · NWS SJU · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Local and diurnal effects in combination with sufficient moisture lead to the development of showers and thunderstorms across portions of interior, southern and western Puerto Rico.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
1
Property damage
$500
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Local and diurnal effects in combination with sufficient moisture lead to the development of showers and thunderstorms across portions of interior, southern and western Puerto Rico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 12, 11:24 AM AST, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 12, 11:24 AM AST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1124 AM AST Thu Sep 12 2019

.UPDATE...Mid level ridge will continue to dominate across the
northeast Caribbean. Low-mid level water vapor satellite imagery
also shows a dry air mass over PR and USVI. As a result, some
subsidence aloft is keeping the local atmosphere relatively
stable this morning. In addition, the overall moisture is just
below normal with TJSJ morning sounding showing 1.67 inches of
precipitable water. Therefore, although afternoon showers and
thunderstorms will occur the coverage should be slightly less
than yesterday. Still expecting some convection developing across
portions of the San Juan Metro area as well as the interior and
northwest sections of Puerto Rico. Elsewhere, mainly fair weather
conditions are expected to continue the rest of today. No changes
were made to the forecast package this morning as it is in line
with the latest thinking.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conds expected at most of the TAF sites, except
TJBQ and TJSJ where SHRA/TSRA is possible between 18Z-22Z.

&&

.MARINE...Marine conditions will continue tranquil across all the
local waters through at least Saturday. Winds around 10 kt and
seas of 2-4 feet.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 447 AM AST Thu Sep 12 2019/

SYNOPSIS...

Fairly typical weather conditions will prevail for the next few days
across the region. Showers and some thunderstorm activity can be
expected, though not quite as vigorous as what we have seen earlier
in the week. However, by this weekend, a tropical wave is projected
to arrive, bringing in more active weather. Next week is very
uncertain due to a few tropical waves in the Atlantic that could
develop into organized tropical systems.

SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday...

A mid level ridge over the region will continue to hold through the
short term period as it moves slowly to the west. However, the ridge
is not strong enough to suppress convective activity driven by
diurnal effects each afternoon over portions of the interior and
western Puerto Rico as well over the San Juan metro area. Light
steering east to southeast winds will prevail and slow moving
showers and thunderstorms will lead to urban and small stream
flooding. Normal to above normal temperatures are expected to
continue across the islands for the next few days.

Across the U.S. Virgin Islands, a fair weather pattern should
continue with sunny skies during the early morning hours and
streamers developing over and to the west of the islands between the
late morning through early afternoon hours. This may result in minor
rainfall accumulations over land areas. A tropical wave is forecast
to enter the eastern Caribbean and move across the Leeward Islands
by late Saturday into Sunday, this will increase moisture advection
and the frequency of showers and intensity by Saturday night,
particularly over the eastern waters and across the U.S. Virgin
Islands and eastern Puerto Rico.

LONG TERM...Sunday through Thursday...

A lot of uncertainty exists in the long range forecast, given the
potential for tropical waves east of our region to develop further
into organized tropical systems. If these waves develop, yet
don't move into our region, there will still be indirect impacts
to our forecast next week. At least the forecast for the beginning
of the next week looks a little clearer. Moisture from a tropical
wave is expected to arrive on Sunday. Forecast models earlier in
the week suggested a potential for this wave to develop into a
tropical depression, but as we near the weekend, this threat has
diminished. However, a wet Sunday is expected as this moisture
combines with surface heating and local terrain effects to produce
ample shower activity. Furthermore, an inverted upper level
trough could aid in enhancing these showers. Thus the threat
exists for strong thunderstorms with frequent lightning, gusty
winds, heavy rain, and localized flooding. Another batch of
moisture moves in for Monday, leading to similar impacts as
Sunday.

Thereafter, the forecast becomes more hazy, both literally and
figuratively. Saharan dust could move in towards the middle of
the week, though models disagree on the timing. Furthermore, long
range models also suggest the potential for one or two tropical
waves to develop further into tropical systems later next week in
the central Atlantic. However, little more can be said regarding
the long range forecast until models begin to have more agreement
on a solution.

AVIATION...

Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all
terminals during the next 24 hours. However, SHRA/TSRA btw 16z-22z
should cause tempo MVFR conditions at TJMZ/TJBQ. ESE winds expected
at 8-12 kt with sea breeze variations after 14z at TJSJ/TJBQ/TJMZ.

MARINE...

Finishing off the workweek, fairly calm weather conditions
are expected to continue, with seas at or below 5 feet. Winds will
be out of the east between 5-15 knots. During the weekend, active
weather is possible with the arrival of a tropical wave. A low
risk for rip currents exists for the rest of today, after which a
moderate risk is expected for northern beaches of Puerto Rico.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  91  79  91  80 /  20  20  20  50
STT  90  81  89  80 /  20  50  30  50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...None.
VI...None.
AM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...ER
LONG TERM....GL
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 12, 6:58 AM AST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
502 AM AST jueves 12 de septiembre de 2019

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-130915-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-
Este Interior-Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-
Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Aguas cercanas y mar afuera del Atlantico y Caribe-
502 AM AST jueves 12 de septiembre de 2019

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta Noche

.Tronadas...Existe la probabilidad de tronadas con fuertes lluvias y
rafagas de viento breves esta tarde a traves de sectores del
interior y oeste de Puerto Rico al igual que sobre la area
metropolitana de San Juan.

.Inundaciones...Lluvias fuertes pudieran resultar en
inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos.

.Corrientes marinas... Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes
marinas a traves de algunas playas del norte de Puerto Rico.

.Calor...Se esperan indices de calor hasta 105 grados a
traves de las areas urbanas y bajas de Puerto Rico.

.Dia dos a siete...viernes hasta miercoles

Se esperan tronadas cada tarde, mayormente sobre el oeste de Puerto
Rico. Lluvias fuertes pudieran resultar en inundaciones urbanas y de
riachuelos. Se pronostica que dos ondas tropicales se muevan a
traves de la region, la primera entre tarde el sabado o domingo y
the otra el lunes. Esto aumentara el potencial de aguaceros y
tronadas con vientos en rafagas fuertes a traves de la region.
Oleaje peligroso es posible a traves de las aguas del Atlantico el
martes debido a una marejada con un periodo largo y un riesgo alto
de corrientes marinas es posible entre el lunes y miercoles a traves
de las playas del norte de las islas.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar inundaciones,
al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-130915-
San Tomas, San John y Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacente
del Caribe-
502 AM AST jueves 12 de septiembre de 2019

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es para
las Islas Virgenes Americanas y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta Noche

.Calor...Se esperan indices de calor hasta 102 grados mayormente en
St. Thomas y St. Croix.

.Dia dos a siete...viernes hasta miercoles

Se pronostica que dos ondas tropicales se muevan a traves de la
region, la primera entre tarde el sabado o domingo y the otra el
lunes. Esto aumentara el potencial de aguaceros y tronadas con
vientos en rafagas fuertes a traves de la region. Oleaje peligroso
es posible a traves de las aguas del Atlantico el martes debido a
una marejada con un periodo largo y un riesgo alto de corrientes
marinas es posible entre el lunes y miercoles a traves de las playas
del norte de las islas.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar inundaciones,
al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 12, 9:54 AM AST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
954 AM AST THU SEP 12 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0101 PM     FLOOD            LARES                   18.30N 66.88W
09/06/2019                   LARES              PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG RESIDENCIAL FRANCISCO SEIN ACROSS
            FROM THE FIRE STATION.

0349 PM     FLOOD            CAROLINA                18.41N 65.98W
09/06/2019                   CAROLINA           PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG AVENIDA EL COMANDANTE PASSING EL
            SELECTO SUPERMARKET.

0416 PM     FLOOD            BAYAMON                 18.38N 66.16W
09/06/2019                   BAYAMON            PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG AVENIDA MAIN NEAR LABORATORIO
            CLINICO CARIBBEAN ACROSS FROM THE WALGREENS.

0427 PM     FLOOD            BAYAMON                 18.38N 66.16W
09/06/2019                   BAYAMON            PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG CALLE RIO BAYAMON.

0427 PM     FLOOD            TOA BAJA                18.44N 66.25W
09/06/2019                   TOA BAJA           PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG CALLE AURELIO DUENO IN THE 7TH
            SECTION OF LEVITTOWN.

0435 PM     FLOOD            BAYAMON                 18.38N 66.16W
09/06/2019                   BAYAMON            PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG CALLE ZARAGOZA IN THE
            URBANIZATION OF VILLA ESPANA.

0138 PM     FLOOD            CAROLINA                18.41N 65.98W
09/10/2019                   CAROLINA           PR   911 CALL CENTER

            OCCUPANT TRAPPED IN CAR ON HWY 887 NEAR ROOMS TO GO BY
            FLOOD WATERS.

0340 PM     FLOOD            COROZAL                 18.34N 66.31W
09/11/2019                   COROZAL            PR   911 CALL CENTER

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG ROAD 802 KM 1.1 IN BARRIO
            PAMARITO.

&&

GLOJERO

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:27 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 lightning, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Lightning, Villalba

When
September 12, 12:30 PM AST
Where
Villalba County, 3.19 mi W of Villalba to 3.12 mi W of Villalba
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
18.126, -66.518

A lightning strike struck a man. He was injured and taken to a nearby hospital and was in stable condition.

Thunderstorm Wind, Mayaguez

When
September 16, 3:00 PM AST
Where
Mayaguez County, 1.74 mi SW of Mayaguez to 1.48 mi SW of Mayaguez
Measured
35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.186, -67.142

Emergency managers reported downed trees and power lines due to thunderstorm wind gust in Road 348 near the town of Mayaguez.

What these are

Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, September 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 856285, 856286.