Oklahoma, 2019

Wildfire in Oklahoma, February 2, 2019

February 2, 2019 · NWS AMA · 1 event in 1 county or zone

The Payne Wildfire began around 1230CST roughly thirteen miles east of Beaver Oklahoma in Beaver County. The wildfire consumed an estimated three hundred and thirty-six acres and there were about five homes threatened by the wildfire but were saved.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AMA wrote it up.

The Payne Wildfire began around 1230CST roughly thirteen miles east of Beaver Oklahoma in Beaver County. The wildfire consumed an estimated three hundred and thirty-six acres and there were about five homes threatened by the wildfire but were saved. There was a report that a couple of barns were destroyed, however there were no reports of any injuries or fatalities. The wildfire was contained around 1930CST.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 2, 11:07 AM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 11:07 AM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1107 AM CST Sat Feb 2 2019

.AVIATION...
Gusty southwest winds will decrease this evening with sunset, then
they will pick up again after sunrise on Sunday. Skies are
expected to remain VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 523 AM CST Sat Feb 2 2019/

AVIATION...12Z TAFS...
VFR conditions expected through the period at all TAF sites. The
eastern Panhandles are currently dealing with widespread LIFR
stratus and fog but this has recently eroded away from GUY and
this erosion is expected to continue through the early morning
hours. Main uncertainty is the potential for stratus at AMA.
Stratus is currently impacting PVW and LUB and is expanding
northward. Current thinking is that stratus is far enough away
that it will begin to erode following sunrise, before it reaches
AMA. Nevertheless, have put a few hours of a scattered LIFR deck
in the TAF to hint at the stratus potential.

Ferguson

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 322 AM CST Sat Feb 2 2019/

SHORT TERM...
Today and Tonight...Fog, dense in some places across the
northeastern Panhandles, is in place across the eastern half of
the Panhandles to start out the short term forecast period.
Temperatures across the western two thirds of Texas County have
fallen below freezing with dense fog reported at Guymon, so have
issued a Freezing Fog Advisory there as well. As winds start to
pick up, expect this fog to dissipate by mid morning. Warmest day
in a while expected across the Panhandles. Lee troughing will lead
to a southwesterly breeze this afternoon. Combined with warming
850mb temperatures and mostly clear skies, expect many places to
heat out into the 70s. This breeze looks to continue into the
overnight hours, so have held lows up accordingly, mainly in the
40s.

Ferguson

LONG TERM...
Sunday through Friday Night...
Southwest downslope winds will provide adiabatic warming on Sunday
and highs will be near record highs for portions of the
Panhandles. Western zones look to be in the lower to mid 70s with
central and eastern Panhandle being in t he mid to upper 70s. Maybe
a location or two hits 80. Monday, upper level shortwave will
push off to the northeast, but southwest flow will continue to
persist over the Panhandles as another upper level trof digs down
the western CONUS. This will keep temperatures in the upper 60s to
lower 70s for Monday and possibly Tuesday.

Models diverge from this point as the trof approaches the four
corners area. The tilt (negative/positive) of the trof will play a
role in the front timing and moisture associated. Right now have
a delayed front and the southern Panhandles could see highs in the
mid 40s, but a faster front will likely keep highs in the 30s
Panhandle wide. Southwest flow ahead of the trof could bring
Pacific moisture to the southeast Panhandles in the form of rain,
before the frontal passage. After, the front, if the area is not
dry-slotted, snow will be possible. Right now accumulations are
too tricky, but there is the possibility for accumulating snow.
The best chances for this would be the northern Texas Panhandle
and the Oklahoma Panhandle.

Colder dry air will remain in place Thursday into Friday night.
Lows expected to be in the teens to low 20s and highs on Friday
look to be in the 40s.

Weber

FIRE WEATHER...
Winds will be in the 15 to 25 mph range and with relative
humidity values in the mid 20 percent range today. Therefore, a
Fire Danger Statement will be issued from 1pm to 5pm today for
Oldham, Deaf Smith, Potter, Randall, Carson, and Armstrong
counties.

Breezy downslope winds Sunday will bring elevated, to possibly
critical Fire Weather conditions. Cloud cover brings the concern
for just how low the relative humidity will be, as it will impact
the highs which have still in the 70s, but backed off a few
degrees from previous thoughts given the high cloud potential.
Overall, looks like widespread elevated conditions, but the far
southwest could be critical wind/rh contingent.

Weber

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

15/24
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 7:07 AM CST, 5 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
707 AM CST Sat Feb 2 2019

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-030115-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
707 AM CST Sat Feb 2 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Elevated Fire Weather conditions expected across the southwest
Panhandles this afternoon. 15 to 25 mph winds and relative
humidities around 20 to 25 percent.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will be
possible Sunday afternoon and early evening across much of the
Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles due to southwest winds of 20 to 30
mph with higher gusts along with 25 to 30 percent relative
humidity values.

A cold front could bring some snow to the Panhandles on Thursday
afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Area fire managers and emergency officials should be alert for
elevated or critical fire weather conditions Today and Sunday
afternoon and evening.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Beaver

When
February 2, 12:30 PM CST to 7:30 PM CST
Where
Beaver forecast zone
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
36.750, -100.477 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oklahoma in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, February 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 808175.