A dry and unstable airmass in place over western New Mexico on June 29, 2019 interacted with a weak layer of mid level moisture to produce isolated virga showers with brief strong winds. The strongest downburst winds occurred around Gallup where a peak wind gust up to 61 mph was reported.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
A dry and unstable airmass in place over western New Mexico on June 29, 2019 interacted with a weak layer of mid level moisture to produce isolated virga showers with brief strong winds. The strongest downburst winds occurred around Gallup where a peak wind gust up to 61 mph was reported.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 29, 2:17 PM MST, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 317 PM MDT Sat Jun 29 2019 .SYNOPSIS... Showers and thunderstorms will favor western New Mexico this evening before winding down. Similar conditions are forecast Sunday as a high pressure system aloft moves little. Left over moisture from what was once Tropical Storm Alvin will increase moisture over western and central portions of the state on Monday and increase thunderstorms chances, especially in a swath from southwest to northeast across the state. Drier air remains on track to limit shower and thunderstorm chances over western and central areas of the state Tuesday through Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... Quite the anemic crop of showers and thunderstorms has developed over the western, northern and Sandia/Manzano mountains this afternoon. Dry air aloft continues to seep in from the east around quite the elongated upper-level high which stretches from southeast AZ to western IA. The upper high moves little tonight and Sunday but heights are progged to drop a couple of decameters across western NM in the same area where deformation (atmospheric stretching) exists between the upper high and southwest flow aloft associated with the remnants of Alvin. Additionally, hi-res models hint at an uptick in activity for west-central NM Sunday afternoon and evening and upped PoPs for the west-central mountains as a result. Storm motion will be light and variable but with the lack of significant large scale forcing, not anticipating more than pulsy airmass thunderstorms. That changes Monday as the deformation across NM increases markedly with the remnants of Alvin's circulation moving northeastward through the Great Basin and an easterly wave inching westward over TX. Models seem to be settling on a swath of scattered to numerous thunderstorms from southwest to northeast across the state Monday afternoon and evening. High temperatures also cool several degrees Monday with increased clouds and slightly lower heights. Upper-level high/ridge gets pushed to the southwest over Sonora Monday night and Tuesday, allowing low-level dry air to move into the western half or so Tuesday through Friday. Locations east of the central mountain chain, however, remain active with daily rounds of thunderstorms developing along/near the east slopes during the early afternoon, moving east and southeast thereafter. By Saturday, interestingly, the GFS splits the upper high in two with the stronger circulation moving over TX and the other centroid off of Baja California. Moisture advection goes gangbusters over NM but the ECWMF has other ideas with a piece of the high moving over northern NM. Both models show a significant increase in thunderstorm activity across NM toward the end of the first week of July but differ on how wet and where the moisture comes from. 33 && .FIRE WEATHER... An upper level ridge axis is oriented from southwest to northeast across the state, with a fairly dry airmass across eastern portions of the area due to subsidence between the ridge and approaching easterly wave currently over south Texas. Although plenty of moisture is in place for wetting storms across the northwest half of the area, insistent updrafts and and outflow-dominated storms will lead to a small overall wetting footprint. More of the same Sunday with temperatures within a few degrees of normal. By Monday, pressure heights will come down some as the upper high center reorganizes southwest of New Mexico, allowing some drier air to begin infiltrating further east into the state. This should increase surface convergence and lead to deeper convection with more sustained updrafts and a larger wetting footprint. PWATs will trend up across eastern NM Mon/Tue as the influence of the upper high wanes and moisture associated with the stalling easterly wave penetrates the eastern plains. The upper high is then forecast to build directly overhead going into late week with good agreement between the 12Z GFS and ECMWF, leading to an upswing in temperatures and haines values and a downtrend in wetting storm coverage. The latest GFS is particularly bullish for a significant upswing in PWATs next weekend with the upper high retreating eastward, potentially leading to our first notable monsoon burst of the season. 11 && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist, with mostly light winds. However, strong and erratic wind gusts are likely near showers and storms today across central and western portions of the state this afternoon and evening. Terminals most likely to be impacted are KGUP and KSAF. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 63 94 60 91 / 10 20 20 5 Dulce........................... 52 88 51 81 / 20 30 50 30 Cuba............................ 56 89 55 81 / 30 20 30 30 Gallup.......................... 54 89 52 86 / 30 40 30 10 El Morro........................ 49 84 49 81 / 40 50 40 30 Grants.......................... 51 87 50 83 / 20 30 20 30 Quemado......................... 56 86 55 82 / 40 40 40 30 Glenwood........................ 61 95 61 92 / 30 10 10 30 Chama........................... 47 83 47 78 / 30 30 50 60 Los Alamos...................... 62 85 61 78 / 20 20 20 50 Pecos........................... 56 85 56 80 / 10 20 20 40 Cerro/Questa.................... 51 82 52 77 / 30 40 20 50 Red River....................... 46 74 42 70 / 30 60 40 80 Angel Fire...................... 39 77 37 74 / 30 50 20 60 Taos............................ 50 87 49 82 / 20 20 20 40 Mora............................ 51 82 51 79 / 20 40 20 60 Espanola........................ 58 92 58 85 / 20 10 20 30 Santa Fe........................ 60 86 59 80 / 10 10 20 40 Santa Fe Airport................ 57 91 58 85 / 10 10 10 30 Albuquerque Foothills........... 65 92 66 86 / 10 5 10 20 Albuquerque Heights............. 67 93 68 87 / 10 5 10 20 Albuquerque Valley.............. 63 95 64 89 / 10 0 10 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 64 94 64 88 / 10 5 10 20 Los Lunas....................... 62 94 62 88 / 5 5 5 10 Rio Rancho...................... 64 94 65 87 / 10 5 10 20 Socorro......................... 65 96 66 91 / 5 0 5 20 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 59 87 59 81 / 20 10 10 20 Tijeras......................... 59 90 56 84 / 20 5 10 20 Moriarty/Estancia............... 49 91 54 85 / 10 5 10 20 Clines Corners.................. 54 86 53 81 / 5 5 5 30 Gran Quivira.................... 58 88 59 84 / 5 0 5 30 Carrizozo....................... 61 93 63 90 / 0 0 5 10 Ruidoso......................... 52 85 54 83 / 0 5 5 20 Capulin......................... 55 88 54 84 / 5 10 5 50 Raton........................... 52 93 53 88 / 10 20 20 50 Springer........................ 53 89 54 84 / 10 10 5 30 Las Vegas....................... 53 87 52 82 / 10 10 10 40 Clayton......................... 63 94 60 89 / 0 0 0 20 Roy............................. 58 90 58 85 / 0 5 5 20 Conchas......................... 62 97 63 93 / 0 0 0 10 Santa Rosa...................... 62 96 62 91 / 0 0 0 10 Tucumcari....................... 63 101 63 95 / 0 0 0 5 Clovis.......................... 62 95 61 90 / 0 0 0 5 Portales........................ 62 97 62 92 / 0 0 0 5 Fort Sumner..................... 63 96 63 93 / 0 0 0 5 Roswell......................... 66 100 66 96 / 0 0 0 5 Picacho......................... 61 93 62 91 / 0 0 0 10 Elk............................. 56 89 59 87 / 0 0 5 10 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 33
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 229 AM MDT Sat Jun 29 2019 NMZ501>540-301100- Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands- Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains- West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains- San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains- West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains- Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River- Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley- Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area- Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley- Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley- South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa- Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County- Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County- Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County- Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 229 AM MDT Sat Jun 29 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Afternoon thunderstorm activity will favor the western and northern high terrain today. Slow storm motions will increase the potential for locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding over and below recent burn areas. Accumulations of small hail may also cause slick travelling conditions. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Daily rounds of thunderstorm activity continue each day with Monday seeing the most widespread coverage. Slow storm motions will continue the potential for locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding over and below recent burn areas. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report rain amounts, large hail or strong winds through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx. 24
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Gallup airport reported a peak downburst wind gust up to 61 mph from nearby virga showers.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 825298.