High winds occurred behind a strong cold front and deepening low pressure.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.
High winds occurred behind a strong cold front and deepening low pressure.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 25, 4:33 AM EST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
433 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes will gradually
depart to the east through tonight. High pressure moves into
the region Tuesday and Tuesday night. A weak area of low
pressure will impact the area late Wednesday into Thursday
morning. High pressure settles over the area through Thursday
night. A complex frontal system then affects the area at the end
of the week into next weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Low pres entering the Canadian Maritimes this morning will
continue to strengthen as it slowly tracks NE today. A strong
pressure gradient will remain in place across the area with
steep low level lapse rates assisting in momentum transfer of
strong winds aloft to the sfc. High Wind Warning remains in
effect through 6pm with sustained winds of 25-35 mph and gusts
up to 60 mph across the Tri-State Area.
Additionally, despite large dewpoint depressions, light pcpn
from lake effect streamers appear to be making it to the ground
across interior zones. Have added low chc pops through 12z with
the expectation that this will become virga thereafter and
eventually dissipate as drier air continues to filter in.
Highs will be around 5 degrees below normal today, but with the
combination of the wind, it will only feel like 20-25 at best.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
Winds will gradually diminish tonight with a wind advsy
possible for a couple of hours this eve after the high wind
warning expires. By Tue morning, gusts should be 20-25mph.
Skies will clear this evening and remain mostly clear with dry
weather through Tue as Canadian high pres builds towards the
area. Still breezy on Tue, especially at the coast with gusts
20-30 mph.
Temps will be below normal tonight and Tue.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Surface high pressure moves over New England Tuesday night,
weakening as it moves into northern New England through Wednesday.
This will allow a weak area of low pressure from the Great Lakes
region to approach during the day Wednesday, with precipitation
moving into the area possibly as early as late Wednesday morning for
western areas, but more likely Wednesday evening and overnight
Wednesday.
A southern branch low pressure over the southeast U.S. also moves
towards the area during this time frame, however, the phasing of the
northern and southern branches looks to occur too late, with the low
developing well off shore.
There is still a fair amount of uncertainty with precipitation
amounts. Maximum liquid equivalent amounts look to be around 0.25",
with the higher amounts across southeastern areas such as the Twin
Forks of Long Island as these areas will be closer to the developing
low off shore. However, the NAM only shows a few hundredths of an
inch to about 0.10".
It appears it will be cold enough for snow most everywhere. However,
it cannot be ruled out that some rain will mix in, especially across
southern portions of the area. POPs are too low at this time for a
snowfall forecast. However, anywhere from a coating to 3" is
possible given liquid equivalent amounts as previously discussed.
A more significant frontal system will impact the region Friday and
into the weekend. There is a great deal of uncertainty between the
GFS and ECMWF, with the GFS developing a low and tracking it well
north and west of the area, while the ECMWF passes south and east of
the area. The GFS is a much warmer solutions, while the ECMWF is
much colder. Given uncertainty, did not make too much in the way of
changes for this time frame.
Precipitation for the end of the week may start out as all snow, but
changes to rain during Friday morning and early afternoon hours.
Again, large amount of uncertainty exists.
Conditions may become windy for the weekend as strong high pressure
builds in and low pressure exits the region.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Deep low pres over Canada and high pres over the Plains will produce
windy wx thru the taf period.
Strong w flow will veer to the wnw and increase aft 11z, then only
gradually decrease aft 21z. There is a chance that the decrease
occurs later than indicated in the tafs due to a secondary surge of
strong winds aloft in the 21-02z time period.
A few flurries or sprinkles are possible thru 14z, especially n of
the NYC arpts. The prob/coverage was too low to include in the tafs.
Otherwise, vfr thru the taf period.
...NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http://www.weather.gov/zny/n90
KJFK TAF Comments: Some variability in wind speed can be
expected thru 14z. Peak gusts over 50kt possible today.
The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN...which implies
slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.
KLGA TAF Comments: Some variability in wind speed can be expected
thru 14z. Peak gusts over 50kt possible today.
The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN...which implies
slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.
KEWR TAF Comments: Some variability in wind speed can be expected
thru 14z. Peak gusts over 50kt possible today.
The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN...which implies
slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.
KTEB TAF Comments: Some variability in wind speed can be expected
thru 14z. Peak gusts over 50kt possible today.
KHPN TAF Comments: Some variability in wind speed can be expected
thru 14z. Peak gusts over 50kt possible today.
KISP TAF Comments: Some variability in wind speed can be expected
thru 14z. Peak gusts over 50kt possible today.
.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
.Late Tonight...VFR. W-NW winds diminishing from G25-30kt to G20-
25kt by daybreak.
.Tuesday...VFR. NW winds G20kt.
.Tuesday night and Wednesday...VFR.
.Wednesday night...Chance of MVFR or lower conds in light snow.
.Thursday...VFR.
.Friday...Chance of MVFR or lower conds in rain or snow.
&&
.MARINE...
Storm force winds are expected to develop this morning and
continue through the aftn. Peak gusts are expected to be between
50 and 55kt with seas ranging between 7 and 13 ft on the ocean
waters, highest east, and 5 to 8 ft on LI Sound. May need to
extend the storms on the ocean east of Moriches Inlet for a few
hours this eve, but not confident enough winds will remain at
storm force strength at this time.
As low pres tracks E through the Canadian Maritimes tonight,
winds will gradually subside with SCA conds anticipated on all
waters by Tue morning. SCA conds will then prevail through the
day Tue from a tight pressure gradient as strong Canadian high
pres builds to the N.
5 ft waves will continue over the eastern ocean zone early Tuesday
night, but fall below 5 ft after midnight. Wind gusts remain above
25 kt for the ocean zones, eastern sound, and Peconic and Gardiner
Bays through generally the same time frame.
Winds and waves remain below SCA criteria through Wednesday night
with high pressure over the area. Waves increase Wednesday night
into Thursday, with 5 ft waves possible for the central and eastern
ocean zones by Thursday afternoon, diminishing Thursday night.
An extended period of SCA conditions, and possibly even gale
conditions, is expected at the end of the week as a complex frontal
system impacts the waters at the end of the week into next
weekend.&&
.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic impacts are anticipated thru Fri. Another system
Friday night through Saturday may bring a liquid equivalent of
an inch to an inch and a half of rain. Any potential impacts
appear to be minor at this point.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Blowout tides are expected during this evenings high tide in NY
Harbor and the bays south of Long Island. Have included the
ocean waters from Sandy Hook to Fire Island Inlet since Jamaica
Bay is part of this zone. Water levels around 2 ft below MLLW
are forecast.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NYC Central Park winds are out of service until further notice.
Loss of data is due to a severed cable. Parts are on order.
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) will remain off
the air for an extended period of time.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...High Wind Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for CTZ005>012.
NY...High Wind Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for NYZ067>075-
078>081-176>179.
NJ...High Wind Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for NJZ002-004-
006-103>108.
MARINE...Low Water Advisory from 7 PM to 11 PM EST this evening for
ANZ338-345-355.
Storm Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ330-335-338-
340-345-350-353-355.
&&Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service New York NY 434 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-260945- Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk- Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk- Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 434 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. High Wind Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. ANZ338-345-355-260945- New York Harbor- South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay- Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm- 434 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Warning. Low Water Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. ANZ330-335-340-350-353-260945- Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- Peconic and Gardiners Bays- Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm- Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm- 434 AM EST Mon Feb 25 2019 ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
440 AM EST MON FEB 25 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0111 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EATONS NECK 40.95N 73.40W
02/25/2019 M66 MPH SUFFOLK NY WXFLOW
ELEVATION - 71 FT.
&&
JPPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
441 AM EST MON FEB 25 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0223 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BAYVILLE 40.90N 73.63W
02/25/2019 M66 MPH NASSAU NY WXFLOW
ELEVATION - 40 FT.
&&
JPThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
5 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A CO-OP observer reported major damage to a roof on Holy Cross School around 615 am in Harrison.
The ASOS at Newark International Airport measured a 58 mph wind gust at 935 am.
A trained spotter reported a small tree and tree limb down on Sylvan Avenue in the town of Englewood Cliffs around 1135 am. A mesonet station in the same town reported sustained winds of 44 mph at 409 pm.
A mesonet station near Green Pond reported a sustained wind of 48 mph at 120 pm.
A trained spotter reported a roof blown off the top of a building in the town of Elmwood Park. This occurred at 132 pm at 546 Mola Boulevard.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Jersey in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 809692, 809691, 809693, 809694, 809687.