Nebraska, 2019

Extreme Cold in Nebraska, March 4, 2019

March 4, 2019 · NWS GLD · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

After the snow fell, the clouds cleared allowing temperatures to plummet. Wind chills fell below 25 degrees below zero in Southwest Nebraska.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.

After the snow fell, the clouds cleared allowing temperatures to plummet. Wind chills fell below 25 degrees below zero in Southwest Nebraska.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 3, 11:43 PM CST, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 3, 11:43 PM CST, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1043 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 245 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019

Tonight-Monday...a weather disturbance will produce some light snow
with accumulations under an inch tonight generally along and south
of a line from near Joes Colorado to Goodland and Gove Kansas. This
minor weather system slides slowly south/southwest Monday and with
it any chance for additional moisture. Winds generally under 10 mph
tonight becoming northwest around 10 mph for much of the area. Low
temperatures will be tricky and quite dependent on cloud cover.
Ideal radiational cooling is expected across the northern and
eastern portions of the area where cloud cover will be much less,
further south and west considerable cloudiness expected with the
above mentioned weather system and low temperatures should be quite
a bit less cold. Will aim for readings ranging from near zero in
southwest Cheyenne county Colorado to -10F to -15F in Yuma Colorado
and From Trenton to near Hill City east. Wind chill readings
generally -15F to -24F, coldest where low temperatures the coldest.
Could see some Wind Chill Warning observations (-25F or colder) from
Yuma to McCook as well as Atwood, Oberlin and Norton county. Per
coordination with North Platte and Hastings offices will keep
advisory going for entire forecast area. Tempted to do a warning for
the northeast corner of the area but their criteria for warning is
-30F so in the big picture it would appear a little odd regarding
headlines.

High temperatures in the mid teens to low 20s.

Monday night-Tuesday...dry weather expected. Low temperatures may be
set soon after dark before a west and northwest wind increases for
the rest of the evening possibly stabilizing readings or maybe
raising them a bit as the night goes on. Currently have lows a few
degrees either side of zero. High clouds move across the area from
the west during the day otherwise sunny. High temperatures in the
mid 20s east to around 30 west. Wind Chill Advisory may be needed as
forecast values range from -15F to -20F.

Tuesday night-Wednesday...increasing cloudiness during the night
with varying cloudiness during the day. Low temperatures in the
single digits above zero to around 12. High temperatures int he 30s
to near 40.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 221 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019

A shortwave trough skims the Tri-State region to the north Wednesday
night into Thursday morning bringing a chance of snow across the
north and eastern portions of the CWA. A ridge moves over the
central U.S. Thursday and builds as it moves eastward. Another
shortwave, weaker than the previous shortwave, moves across Thursday
evening bringing a brief chance for rain and snow early Thursday
night.

A closed low sits over the Pacific Northwest within a forming trough
extending southwest off the California coast. The closed low stays
over the northwest U.S. as the trough pulls away and moves east
Friday night. As the trough moves east, it becomes more negatively
tilted. The trough moves into the central Plains by Saturday
morning. The trough lifts northeast out of the Tri-State region by
Saturday night. Almost zonal flow sits over the Tri-State area
through Sunday as the trough to the northeast deepens and a ridge
begins to build over the Intermountain west.

A surface low associated with the trough expected over the Tri-State
region Saturday is expected to move east across northwest Kansas
Saturday. Since yesterday, long-range models have shifted the
surface low further north leading to less favorable precipitation
conditions over the Tri-State region. As the low moves east, rain
and snow will be possible across the region. Shifts in the track of
the low will determine how much precipitation we could see across
the region. If nothing else, windy conditions are expected with the
passage of the surface low across the Tri-State area Friday night
through Sunday

The good news, unless you like the cold, is that temperatures are
expected to warm up during the second half of the week. High
temperatures start in the upper 20s to 40s Thursday with lower
temperatures more widespread. Highs in the mid-30s to 50s are
expected Friday dropping slightly into the 40s for the weekend. Low
temperatures in the teens and 20s are expected throughout the second
half of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1029 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019

VFR conditions with mostly clear skies are expected through the
06Z TAF period at MCK and GLD.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 245 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019

Record lows Monday morning March 4 in jeopardy of being tied or
broken:

Hill City.......-4 set in 1952
McCook..........-9 set in 1952
Tribune.........-6 set in 1917

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Wind Chill Advisory until 11 AM MST /noon CST/ Monday for
     KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042.

CO...Wind Chill Advisory until 11 AM MST Monday for COZ090>092.

NE...Wind Chill Advisory until 11 AM MST /noon CST/ Monday for
     NEZ079>081.

&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...NEWMAN
AVIATION...LOCKHART
CLIMATE...99
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 12:59 AM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1159 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-050700-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1159 PM MST Sun Mar 3 2019 /1259 AM CST Mon Mar 4 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT...

A Wind Chill Advisory remains in effect for the entire Tri-State
area through 11 AM MST, Noon CST Monday.

Temperatures as low as -5 to -15 degrees and wind chill values as
low as -20 to -30 degrees may cause frostbite on exposed skin in as
little as 30 minutes this morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Vincent

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 4, 1:42 AM CST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1242 AM MST MON MAR 4 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  1 W SAINT FRANCIS       39.77N 101.81W
03/04/2019  M-26 F           CHEYENNE           KS   AWOS

            AWOS STATION SYF, ST. FRANCIS CITY.

&&

VINCENT
Local storm report, Mar 4, 2:04 AM CST, 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
104 AM MST MON MAR 4 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  1 NNE GOODLAND          39.37N 101.70W
03/04/2019  M-26 F           SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

            ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND.

&&

VINCENT
Local storm report, Mar 4, 2:06 AM CST, 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
106 AM MST MON MAR 4 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1253 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  4 S BURLINGTON          39.24N 102.29W
03/04/2019  M-24 F           KIT CARSON         CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION ITR, BURLINGTON CO AIRPORT.

&&

VINCENT
Local storm report, Mar 4, 2:07 AM CST, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
107 AM MST MON MAR 4 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  4 E STRATTON            39.30N 102.52W
03/04/2019  M-28 F           KIT CARSON         CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CSU58, 4 E STRATTON.

&&

VINCENT
Local storm report, Mar 4, 2:08 AM CST, 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
108 AM MST MON MAR 4 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  GRINNELL                39.13N 100.63W
03/04/2019  M-19 F           GOVE               KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION KGGHS, GRINNELL.

&&

VINCENT
Local storm report, Mar 4, 2:09 AM CST, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
109 AM MST MON MAR 4 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1246 AM     EXTR WIND CHILL  8 SSE CULBERTSON        40.13N 100.78W
03/04/2019  M-15 F           HITCHCOCK          NE   MESONET

            MESONET STATION E9525, 7 SSE CULBERTSON.

&&

VINCENT

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 extreme cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Hitchcock

When
March 4, 3:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Hitchcock forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.176, -101.042 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chills fell to 25 degrees below zero near Palisade and Trenton.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Red Willow

When
March 4, 3:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Red Willow forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.176, -100.477 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill values fell between 25 and 30 degrees below zero in the county.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Dundy

When
March 4, 3:00 AM MST to 9:00 AM MST
Where
Dundy forecast zone
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
40.176, -101.688 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Wind chill values fell between 25 and 30 degrees below zero in the county.

What these are

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
Temperatures or wind chills at or below the local warning criteria, or cold that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nebraska in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, March 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 809366, 809385, 809386.