Montana, 2019

Extreme Cold in Montana, February 9, 2019

February 9, 2019 · NWS TFX · 9 events in 8 counties and zones

Between late evening of February 8th and late morning of the 9th, an Arctic cold front moved from near the I-90 corridor in western and southwest Montana to a position extending southeastward from northwestern Idaho to east-central Idaho. Behind this front, a strong Arctic high pressure ridge settled southward across north-central and southwest Montana.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Between late evening of February 8th and late morning of the 9th, an Arctic cold front moved from near the I-90 corridor in western and southwest Montana to a position extending southeastward from northwestern Idaho to east-central Idaho. Behind this front, a strong Arctic high pressure ridge settled southward across north-central and southwest Montana. This ridge was accompanied by a tight surface pressure gradient, especially over southwest Montana and along the Rocky Mountain Front. The tight pressure gradient resulted in breezy surface winds. In turn, the combination of these winds and frigid temperatures yielded warning-criteria wind chills for parts of the area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 9, 4:50 AM MST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 9, 4:50 AM MST, 1 hour 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
450 AM MST Sat Feb 9 2019

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SYNOPSIS...

Temperatures will remain below zero today for all but a few
locations across Montana. Areas of light snow continue today as
Pacific moisture lifts over the bitter cold air. Breezy winds
gusting to around 35 mph are producing areas of blowing snow and
dangerously cold wind chill temperatures. Snow becomes more
widespread tonight through Sunday across Southwest Montana. Expect
the very cold temperatures to continue through next week, along
with additional periods of snow.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Light snow continues today across much of our region as Pacific
moisture ascends over the Arctic airmass where surface
temperatures have fallen well below zero. Snowfall may start and
stop today as the atmosphere becomes more stable and the low level
northerly flow weakens. Overall snow amounts have been a bit
lower than originally forecast due to lower than expected snow
ratios associated with the lack of dendrite production.

The cold front marking the leading edge of this airmass has
advanced all the way down to the MT/ID border. Pressure rises over
central Montana are producing wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph. The
combination of bitter cold temperatures with these locally windy
conditions are creating dangerous wind chill values as low as 30
to 45 degrees below zero. The Wind Chill Advisory remains in
effect. The Winter Storm Warning that had been in effect for the
Rocky Mountain Front has been downgraded to a Winter Weather
Advisory. New snowfall amounts in this area are expected to remain
less than around one inch, and impacts from blowing snow have not
been overly significant.

The next minor shortwave trough crosses the region late tonight.
This will resume or expand areas of light snow from Southwest up
through central Montana. Snow will dissipate over North-central Mt
by early Sunday, but with temperatures dropping below minus 20 for
many locations. Higher snow totals will occur over far Southwest
Montana. The additional snow combined with the potential for
blowing snow in gusty winds warrants and new Winter Weather
Advisory later today through Sunday.

Temperatures remain cold going into Monday as areas of snow return
with a passing upper level trough. Longer range model guidance
suggests that temperatures will remain well below average with
periods of snow through mid- to late in the week. Temperatures may
begin to moderate slightly by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 450 AM MST Sat Feb 9 2019

MVFR/IFR conditions with mountain obscuration in clouds and snow
will gradually improve to low VFR/high MVFR between 15Z and 21Z with
areas of light snow. A disturbance will then bring another round of
MVFR/IFR conditions in snow will then move to southwest Montana
between 23Z and 05Z and to central/north central Montana between 02Z
and 12Z.  Coulston

&&

.CLIMATE...

Temperatures at the Cut Bank Municipal Airport (ASOS ID KCTB) have
not been above zero since Saturday February 2nd. This puts the
period of consecutive below-zero days at six as of midnight Friday
night, which ties the 15th longest streak all-time with eight other
such streaks from the 1920s through 1980. The current forecast has
temperatures staying below zero there for at least the next two
days, and possibly the next three. Eight days would tie for the 8th
longest streak (the most recent occurrence started on November 25th,
1985), while nine days would make it tied for 5th (the most recent
occurrence started on December 21st, 1996). (Records kept there
since 1903.)

The Havre City-County Airport (ASOS ID KHVR) has been below zero
since Monday February 4th, putting their run at five days as of
midnight Friday night. This only ranks as tied for the 39th longest
streak of below-zero days, but similar to Cut Bank, two or three
more days of similar conditions are being forecast. A seven-day
stretch would be tied for 18th longest all-time, while an eight-day
stretch would tie for 16th. (Records kept there since 1880.)

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  -8 -21  -4 -14 /  90  80  30  30
CTB -11 -26  -7 -19 /  90  60  30  10
HLN  -3 -18   8  -7 /  80  60  20  30
BZN   7 -12  14  -3 /  60  70  20  40
WEY  22   5  24  -2 /  70  90  90  70
DLN  13  -4  23   0 /  70  80  40  20
HVR  -5 -17  -3 -14 / 100 100  50  30
LWT  -6 -19   3 -11 /  80  70  30  30

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST this evening Blaine...
Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Chouteau...
Eastern Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Fergus...
Hill...Judith Basin...Liberty...Northern Rocky Mountain Front...
Southern Rocky Mountain Front...Toole.

Wind Chill Advisory until 2 PM MST Sunday Beaverhead...Blaine...
Broadwater...Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...
Chouteau...Eastern Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...
Fergus...Gallatin...Hill...Jefferson...Judith Basin...Liberty...
Madison...Meagher...Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern
Rocky Mountain Front...Toole.

Winter Weather Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 5 PM MST
Sunday Beaverhead...Gallatin...Madison.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

Event by event

9 extreme cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Southern Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 9, 6:17 AM MST
Where
Southern Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Pendroy MT DOT station recorded -43F wind chill with 22 mph sustained wind. Location: 2-miles SW of Pendroy.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Toole

When
February 9, 7:21 AM MST
Where
Toole forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Sweet Grass MT DOT station recorded -41F wind chill with sustained wind of 16 mph. Location: 6-miles NNW of Sunburst.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 9, 7:21 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Two Medicine Bridge MT DOT station recorded -42F wind chill with 14 mph sustained wind. Location: 1-mile ENE of East Glacier.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Blaine

When
February 9, 7:26 AM MST
Where
Blaine forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Hays MT DOT station recorded -41F wind chill with sustained wind of 24 mph. Location: 3-miles WSW of Hays.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
February 9, 7:40 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

MacDonald Pass MT DOT station recorded -53F wind chill with 24 mph sustained wind. Location: 12-miles S of Marysville.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Jefferson

When
February 9, 7:41 AM MST
Where
Jefferson forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Boulder Hill MT DOT station recorded wind chill of -41F with sustained wind of 16 mph. Location: 2-miles SE of Wickes.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Eastern Glacier

When
February 9, 7:56 AM MST
Where
Eastern Glacier forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Cut Bank Airport ASOS recorded -42F wind chill with sustained wind of 21 mph. Location: 3-miles SW of Cut Bank.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 9, 8:08 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Browning MT DOT station recorded -42F wind chill with sustained wind of 16 mph. Location: 2-miles SE of Browning.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Liberty

When
February 9, 8:35 AM MST
Where
Liberty forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Citizen Weather Observer Program (CWOP) station recorded wind chill of -41F accompanied by sustained wind of 25 mph. Location: 2-miles NNW of Joplin.

What these are

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
Temperatures or wind chills at or below the local warning criteria, or cold that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 802248, 802244, 802247, 802243, 802249, 802242, 802246, 802245, 802241.