Montana, 2019

Flooding in Montana, February 25 to 26, 2019

February 25 to 26, 2019 · NWS TFX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

As a prolonged cold spell continued, a renewed ice jam and associated flooding affected the Ennis area. In addition, a separate ice jam and related flooding developed along the Gallatin River, near Logan.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

As a prolonged cold spell continued, a renewed ice jam and associated flooding affected the Ennis area. In addition, a separate ice jam and related flooding developed along the Gallatin River, near Logan.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 25, 4:50 PM MST, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 4:50 PM MST, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
450 PM MST Mon Feb 25 2019

...Update to Aviation...

.SYNOPSIS...

Snow will continue over north-central, central, and southwest
Montana through the overnight tonight. Snow retreats back to
southwest Montana during the day Tuesday, before moving back into
at least central Montana Wednesday. Additional snow will be
possible Thursday through Friday. A cold airmass remains in place
over all but far southwest portions of the state and very low
wind chill values are expected at times across much of north-
central Montana through Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Rest of this Afternoon through Tuesday Night...Observations,
including webcams, radar, indicate snow intensity continuing to
increase through the afternoon into the overnight, with the next 12
to 18 hours seeing the bulk of the heavier snowfall. Favorable
position of upper level jet energy will support some areas of
moderate snow intensity this afternoon and evening across central MT
before the upper level energy moves off to the east Tuesday morning
and the area of snow collapses back to the south by Tuesday
afternoon. The main area of uncertainty with regard to snow
accumulation forecasts continues to be snow/crystal type and
resulting snow to liquid ratios. Snow ratios should be greatest over
SW MT but decrease to the north as the cold airmass deepens and is
less supportive of dendritic (classic snowflake) growth. Expect
additional impacts to roadways and travel today as snow accumulates,
on top of an already significant snowpack with lessening space
available for snow removal/storage. The cold airmass remains in
place across all but far SW MT (Arctic frontal boundary is S of
Dillon and Ennis but not to the ID border) and is likely to change
little today and tonight. NE winds of 10-15 mph at times will
continue to produce wind chill values of 20 below zero or colder for
much of central and north-central MT today through Tuesday. There is
some potential for wind chill values to reach 40 below zero for a
period Tuesday morning across NW portions of the forecast area and
this will need to be monitored for additional wind chill highlights
if this threshold is reached.

Wednesday through Monday...Snow chances increase from the southwest
through the day Wednesday as moisture associated with an offshore
low pressure system begins to move into Montana. Snow may briefly
stop in some places Thursday, but looks to pick back up again
through Friday. Chances for snow diminish later Saturday and look
fairly hit-or-miss through the remainder of the forecast. Most
likely higher terrain may see some light snow but lower elevations
do not appear to get anything overly significant at this time. Cold
air generally remains in place, with temperatures moderating
slightly Thursday ahead of the next Arctic cold front moving in
Friday, with bitter cold temperatures to result through the weekend,
especially for overnight lows. Overall a west northwest flow remains
early next week, keeping overall conditions relatively unchanged.

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 450 PM MST Mon Feb 25 2019

Widespread snow will continue to affect much of the forecast area
with LIFR/IFR conditions prevailing at most terminals overnight.
Conditions will slowly improve from north to south after 12Z
Tuesday. Some clearing is possible at the northern-most terminals by
mid to late afternoon. mpj

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Emergency management reports flooding from an ice jam on the Madison
River near Ennis has spilled water over the U.S. Highway 287. A
flood warning has been issued for this stretch of river until
further notice.

Ice jamming on the Missouri River south of the City of Cascade has
caused minor flooding to develop across portions of Southwest
Cascade County. This minor flooding has led to the closure of Sheep
Creek Road. With continued cold temperatures in the forecast, a
flood advisory is in effect for the this region until further notice.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF -15  -6 -17   9 / 100  60  10  60
CTB -18  -4 -19  16 / 100  50  10  20
HLN -11   0  -8  14 / 100  80  30  80
BZN  -4   8  -2  22 /  80  80  70  90
WEY  28  34  27  33 / 100 100 100 100
DLN  10  21   7  31 /  60  70  70  70
HVR -15  -3 -27   6 / 100  80  10  10
LWT -13  -5 -15  12 / 100  80  10  50

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM MST Tuesday Broadwater...
Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Jefferson...Meagher.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST Tuesday Blaine...
Chouteau...Eastern Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...
Hill...Liberty...Northern Rocky Mountain Front...Southern Rocky
Mountain Front...Toole.

Winter Storm Warning until 5 PM MST Tuesday Beaverhead...
Gallatin...Madison.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM MST Tuesday Cascade...Fergus...
Judith Basin.

Flood Warning until further notice for the Madison River near Ennis
in Madison County.

Flood Advisory until further notice for the Missouri River in
Cascade County.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 25, 11:42 AM MST, 5 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1142 AM MST MON FEB 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 AM     SNOW             CANYON CREEK            46.81N 112.27W
02/25/2019  M3.0 INCH        LEWIS AND CLARK    MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JA
Local storm report, Feb 25, 11:50 AM MST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1150 AM MST MON FEB 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1148 AM     SNOW             4 N EAST HELENA         46.65N 111.93W
02/25/2019  M5.0 INCH        LEWIS AND CLARK    MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL. STILL SNOWING.
            VISIBILITY LESS THAN A MILE. MEDIUM SIZED
            FLAKES.

&&

JA
Local storm report, Feb 25, 11:57 AM MST, 5 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1157 AM MST MON FEB 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1156 AM     SNOW             8 SE ULM                47.35N 111.39W
02/25/2019  M1.0 INCH        CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.0 INCH MEASURED WITH 0.16 INCHES LIQUID
            WATER EQUIVALENT.

&&

CC

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Madison

When
February 25, 4:58 PM MST
Where
Madison County, 0.08 mi SSW of Jeffers to 0.31 mi SSE of Jeffers
Cause
Ice Jam
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
45.349, -111.721

Madison County Disaster and Emergency Services reported renewed flooding from an ice jam along the Madison River. Floodwater was flowing across the US-287 bridge just east-southeast of downtown Ennis. Exact duration of flooding unknown.

Flood, Gallatin

When
February 26, 5:54 PM MST
Where
Gallatin County, 0.77 mi NNE of Logan to 0.64 mi NE of Logan
Cause
Ice Jam
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
45.890, -111.423

Gallatin County Sheriff's Office reported ice jam-related flooding on the Gallatin River, near Logan. Rising floodwaters led to evacuation of at least one residence. Exact duration of flooding unknown.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 801208, 801209.