Mississippi, 2019

Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Mississippi, February 23, 2019

February 23, 2019 · NWS JAN · 17 events in 12 counties and zones

A strong storm system moved through the region during the day on the 23rd. Storms developed across the ArkLaMiss and brought damaging winds and hail, which produced some damage across the central portions of Mississippi.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
2
Injuries
11
Property damage
$2.1 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
17

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.

A strong storm system moved through the region during the day on the 23rd. Storms developed across the ArkLaMiss and brought damaging winds and hail, which produced some damage across the central portions of Mississippi. As the storms neared the Mississippi and Alabama border, two tornadoes developed in Lowndes County. One of these tornadoes was rated an EF3 and tore across the city of Columbus, producing major damage.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 22, 11:51 PM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 11:51 PM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1151 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER ARE BIG CONCERNS GOING INTO THE
WEEKEND...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:
Poor flying conditions will continue across the area through much
of the TAF period. A line of training showers and thunderstorms
will continue to plague the Delta mainly at GLH through the
majority of the evening. VCSH will possible at most sites
overnight and through the afternoon later today. A broken line of
thunderstorms with discrete cells ahead of the line is expected to
move through the area this afternoon into the early evening hours
from west to east. These storms are expected to be severe with
damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes. Winds will also be gusty
upwards of 40kts during the daytime hours today. MVFR/IFR
ceilings will persist, however some TAF sites further west could
see VFR ceilings return by the end of the TAF period. /TW/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms continue to plague the northern and
western portions of the forecast area. A slowly moving front will
continue to trek north overnight, which should help push some of
the shower and thunderstorm activity further north overnight. Hi-
res guidance continues to indicate a break in the rain temporarily
until the main system comes through tomorrow. Another concern for
the overnight period was the potential for fog. However,
visibilities have not moved as much and it appears that there
should be enough mixing to preclude much fog and result in more
stratus across the area. Going forecast seemed ok with some minor
adjustments needed. /28/

Prior discussion below:

Tonight through Saturday...

More thunderstorms have developed and are moving up over the
southwestern portions of the area this afternoon. With Lapse rates
of around 6.0 to 6.5 C/km and decent shear, some of these storms
could become strong to severe. A marginal risk is in effect
generally along and west of the I-55 corridor. These storms will
continue to move north into the evening hours, and may produce
more heavy rainfall for already soaked areas along the Highway 82
corridor. These storms may produce another one to three inches
before moving north of the area overnight. We should get a break
from the heavy rainfall during the very early morning hours
through late morning, but showers will continue to be possible
through this period.

A strong disturbance aloft will approach the area from the west
Saturday morning and sweep across the area through Saturday evening.
Anticipate thunderstorms to strengthen along a pre-frontal trough by
late morning in Northeast Louisiana and approach the Mississippi
River around lunchtime. With strong shear and good instability,
tornadoes some possibly strong will be possible across areas
generally north of the I-20 corridor. An enhanced risk is in effect
for these areas. Further to the south in the slight risk area, the
forcing will be weaker, but tornadoes will be also be possible. With
lapse rates of 7.0-7.5 C/KM, large hail up to the size of golf balls
will be possible across much of the area. Further to the south
across the Pine Belt area, the severe potential will be limited due
to strong capping. A strong storm or two cannot be ruled out though.

Another issue on Saturday will be strong winds, due to a very tight
surface pressure gradient out ahead and just behind the pre-frontal
trough. GustS from 40-49 mph are likely for areas generally along
and North of the Natches Trace Corridor. A Wind advisory has been
issued for these areas. Temperatures will be very warm Saturday with
highs in the low 80s across much of the area. /15/

Saturday night through next Friday...

A diminishing threat for severe weather can be expected during the
early evening for eastern MS as a cold front ushers in drier and
more seasonable air overnight for the remainder of the weekend and
into Monday. There is a still a good deal of uncertainty after
Monday and going through the rest of next work week because of
poor model consensus. That said, the more reliable (at that time
range) European model continues to be largely dry through most of
the long range and chances of rain were kept relatively tame.
Expect temperatures to remain generally near seasonal values in
this time frame, although there will be opportunity for persistent
colder air to our northwest to spill in before the official
forecast period is over. /BB/EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       68  82  48  61 /  39  84  59   3
Meridian      67  80  50  65 /  36  75  70   5
Vicksburg     65  82  46  60 /  45  95  21   2
Hattiesburg   68  83  53  67 /  31  66  58   3
Natchez       68  81  47  62 /  37  90  22   2
Greenville    54  77  44  57 /  88  95  12   2
Greenwood     59  81  45  59 /  69  96  45   3

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday evening for MSZ018-019-
     025>042.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to midnight CST Saturday night
     for MSZ018-019-025>028-034>037-040>044-047>049-053-059-060.

LA...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday evening for LAZ007>009-015.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to midnight CST Saturday night
     for LAZ008-009-015-016-023>026.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday evening for ARZ074-075.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to midnight CST Saturday night
     for ARZ075.

&&

TW/15/28/EC/BB
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 4:43 PM CST, 8 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

ARZ074-MSZ029-232245-
Ashley-Webster-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, and north central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING THREAT...Significant
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, widespread flash flooding is
likely and significant flooding is possible. Many roads could be
flooded or closed and some structural flooding and water rescues
are likely. Moderate to major river flooding will also be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of
which could be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday night.

ARZ075-MSZ018-019-025>028-034-232245-
Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
Washington-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, north central Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Extreme
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, widespread and significant
flooding is likely and many roads could be flooded, closed, or
washed out. Structural flooding and water rescues are expected.
Moderate to major river flooding will be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of
which could be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday night.

MSZ032-033-232245-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, areas of flash flooding likely
and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of which could
be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

MSZ031-232245-
Lowndes-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...This afternoon
through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, areas of flash flooding likely
and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 to 70 mph and
and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

MSZ030-232245-
Clay-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, widespread flash flooding is
likely and significant flooding is possible. Many roads could be
flooded or closed and some structural flooding and water rescues
are likely. Moderate to major river flooding will also be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of which could
be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

LAZ007-232245-
Morehouse-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, areas of flash flooding likely
and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of
which could be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday.

LAZ008-009-MSZ037-040-041-232245-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, areas of flash flooding likely
and some roads could be flooded or closed. Some structures may be
potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is
also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of
which could be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday night.

LAZ015-MSZ042-232245-
Richland-Yazoo-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of
which could be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday.

MSZ035-036-232245-
Humphreys-Holmes-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, widespread flash flooding is
likely and significant flooding is possible. Many roads could be
flooded or closed and some structural flooding and water rescues
are likely. Moderate to major river flooding will also be likely.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of
which could be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging
winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday night.

MSZ044-232245-
Leake-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 to 70 mph and
and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

MSZ039-045-046-050>052-055>058-061>065-232245-
Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-
Jasper-Clarke-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
Covington-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 to 70 mph and
and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon and Saturday through Saturday night.

MSZ038-232245-
Winston-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes, some of which could
be strong. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

LAZ016-023>026-MSZ043-047>049-053-059-232245-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Madison MS-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Claiborne-Jefferson-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 to 70 mph
and and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday night.

MSZ060-232245-
Adams-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Saturday

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 to 70 mph
and and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, with the very wet conditions, trees and powerlines may
be downed,  due to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and
potential for wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be
difficult for those in high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday.

MSZ054-232245-
Copiah-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Mainly saturday, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to 60 to 70 mph
and and large hail up to golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region remainder
of the afternoon through Saturday night.

MSZ066-232245-
Jones-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...This afternoon through Saturday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

This afternoon through saturday, localized flash flooding is
possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river
flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Saturday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

MSZ072>074-232245-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
443 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Saturday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Saturday

Saturday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and hail. A
tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Saturday, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts up to 39 mph. High
profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday night through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Saturday
through Saturday night.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 22, 6:55 PM CST, 5 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
655 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     FLOOD            2 WSW FOUNTAIN HILL     33.34N 91.89W
02/22/2019                   ASHLEY             AR   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            THE ARKANSAS DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
            REPORTED ALL LANES OF HIGHWAY 8 BETWEEN LOG
            MILES 2.4 AND 2.6 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

JC
Special weather statement, Feb 22, 8:17 PM CST, 4 hours 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
817 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2019

LAZ007-230300-
Morehouse LA-
817 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH
UNTIL 900 PM CST...

At 817 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Sterlington, or 8 miles west of Bastrop, moving northeast at 40
mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Beekman around 835 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3297 9208 3301 9206 3301 9175 3270 9202
      3271 9204 3270 9205 3272 9206 3274 9205
      3276 9206 3279 9205 3282 9207 3284 9206
      3287 9208 3293 9207 3297 9209
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 212DEG 35KT 3279 9205

19
Special weather statement, Feb 22, 8:49 PM CST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
849 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2019

ARZ074-230345-
Ashley AR-
849 PM CST FRI FEB 22 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN ASHLEY COUNTY UNTIL 945
PM CST...

At 849 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Berlin, or 10 miles southeast of Crossett, moving northeast at
40 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Berlin around 900 PM CST.
  Hamburg around 910 PM CST.
  Portland and Snyder around 925 PM CST.
  Montrose around 930 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3339 9170 3339 9146 3319 9146 3301 9165
      3301 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 0249Z 216DEG 33KT 3302 9184

19

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 177 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

11 thunderstorm wind, 2 flash flood, 2 hail, 2 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Bolivar

When
February 23, 12:54 AM CST to 3:45 AM CST
Where
Bolivar County, 0.57 mi E of Cleveland to 1.85 mi WSW of Victor
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.750, -90.720

Streets were flooded across the county.

Flash Flood, Washington

When
February 23, 12:54 AM CST to 3:45 AM CST
Where
Washington County, 0.9 mi NE of Greenville to 2.72 mi SSE of Dunkirk
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.410, -91.040

Around 30 county roads were flooded.

Thunderstorm Wind, Yazoo

When
February 23, 2:26 PM CST
Where
Yazoo County, 2.07 mi N of Bentonia
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.660, -90.370

Trees were blown down just north of Bentonia.

Thunderstorm Wind, Warren

When
February 23, 2:48 PM CST
Where
Warren County, 0.91 mi NE of Redwood
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.488, -90.807

Trees were blown down near the Highways 3 and 61 intersection near Redwood.

Thunderstorm Wind, Yazoo

When
February 23, 3:10 PM CST
Where
Yazoo County, 0.58 mi E of Satartia
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.670, -90.540

Several trees and large limbs were blown down in the Satartia area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Attala

When
February 23, 3:23 PM CST
Where
Attala County, 0.58 mi NE of Newport
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
32.937, -89.764

A tree was blown down near the intersection of Highways 429 and 14.

Thunderstorm Wind, Claiborne

When
February 23, 3:36 PM CST
Where
Claiborne County, 1.32 mi N of Gordon
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
31.919, -90.979

A tree was blown down a few miles southeast Port Gibson.

Hail, Attala

When
February 23, 3:43 PM CST
Where
Attala County, 2.7 mi WSW of Ethel
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.100, -89.510

A motorist observed quarter sized hail while driving along Highway 12 near the Natchez Trace Parkway.

Hail, Rankin

When
February 23, 3:55 PM CST
Where
Rankin County, 1.07 mi WNW of Sand Hill
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
32.484, -89.888

Nickel to quarter sized hail fell at the Dollar General Store at the intersection of Highway 25 and Pisgah Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Leake

When
February 23, 4:03 PM CST
Where
Leake County, 2.82 mi NNW of Madden
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.720, -89.360

Two trees were blown down on Laurel Hill Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Oktibbeha

When
February 23, 4:13 PM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 1.64 mi E of Maben
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.549, -89.052

A tree was blown down on Maben-Bell Schoolhouse Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Clay

When
February 23, 4:30 PM CST
Where
Clay County, 2.62 mi SSE of Bigsprings
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.665, -88.853

A couple of trees were blown down on Hopewell Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Leake

When
February 23, 4:45 PM CST
Where
Leake County, 1.27 mi N of Rosebud
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
32.668, -89.382

Trees were blown down along Highway 488 and Gunter Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Oktibbeha

When
February 23, 4:53 PM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 1.2 mi S of Starkvl Oktibbeha Ar
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.463, -88.682

A tree was blown down on Watson Road.

Tornado, Lowndes

When
February 23, 4:53 PM CST to 4:55 PM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 2.05 mi S of Artesia to 1.88 mi S of Artesia
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.47 mi
Path width
150 yd
Property damage
$35,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
33.391, -88.654

A brief EF0 tornado developed during the evening of Feb. 23rd along Shlater Road west of US 45, where it uprooted and snapped several softwood trees. It quickly moved northeast and crossed US 45 where it snapped softwood trees along the both sides of US 45, and caused roof loss to a mobile home and tin shed along the west side of US 45. In addition, the tin from the storage shed was lofted to the east side of US 45. Additional snapped softwood trees occurred just east of US 45 before the tornado finally lifted. Maximum estimated winds were 85 mph.

Tornado, Lowndes

When
February 23, 5:14 PM CST to 5:32 PM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 0.97 mi SSW of Columbus to 2.76 mi SE of Steens
Rating
EF3
Path length
9.74 mi
Path width
440 yd
Deaths
1 direct, 1 indirect
Injuries
11 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$2.0 million
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
33.486, -88.435

The tornado developed along the southwest edge of Columbus, MS near 1st Street, noted by broken small hardwood tree limbs and uprooted hardwood trees, which fell a top of a Voting Precinct single-story home. Minor roof damage to a nearby two story home also occurred. As the tornado tracked northeast across the eastern side of downtown Columbus, MS, it became evident that the storm had grown in strength a bit as streets became littered with uprooted and snapped hardwood and softwood trees, many of which had fallen on homes, causing significant roof damage. As the tornado moved along 9th street and College Street, damage was noted on top of a cell tower, where portions of the metal structure was evidently bent. By the time the tornado reached 12th Street and 4th Avenue, more extensive damage was noted by way of a brick fence along a single family home getting almost completely destroyed and additional snapped and uprooted hardwood trees. Wooden power lines were snapped near or at its base at 12th Street and 4th Avenue, where portions of the roof was loss at the nearby Canterbury Townhouses. Littered downed and snapped trees falling on top of homes persisted along the northeast side of downtown Columbus, and southward facing homes along Railroad Street had windows that were blown out. As the tornado continued along its northeast path, it intersected the Hunt Intermediate School along 10th Avenue and 20th Street resulting in significant damage to the roof, and blown out windows along the second floor. Across the street, the Park and Rec Center and Activities Center composed of metal and tin were blown in/collapsed on its entry side. Damage continued along Tuscaloosa Road by way of fence damage along the outskirts of a Loves Truck Stop and snapped softwood and hardwood trees behind the Loves Truck Stop. The First Pentecostal Church along Tuscaloosa Road had half of its tin roof blown off, and thus resulted in damage done to the inside of its worship area. At the intersection of Tuscaloosa Road and Conway Road, several manufactured buildings had most of its exterior walls and roofs caved in. The one fatality occurred at the intersection of Tuscaloosa Road and Gardner Street, where a structural sound brick building collapsed and the majority of the exterior walls were destroyed. This tornado began to weaken as it neared the Alabama state line, as several softwood medium size tree limbs and snapped softwood trees occurred north of Highway 50. This tornado lifted just as it crossed state lines into Alabama. Maximum estimated winds were 137 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Noxubee

When
February 23, 5:20 PM CST
Where
Noxubee County, 2.32 mi W of Galyx
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
32.950, -88.540

Trees were blown down.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Tornado, Lowndes2019-02-2341FemalePermanent StructureDirect
Tornado, Lowndes2019-02-2777MalePermanent StructureIndirect

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Mississippi, 2019Warnings in Mississippi, February 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 799211, 810948, 799219, 799221, 799220, 799223, 799224, 799222, 799212, 799226, 799214, 799213, 799215, 799217, 799230, 799239, 799218.