Central Kentucky was sitting under an upper ridge in an area of high pressure. The air mass over Kentucky was moisture rich but contained little shear.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LMK wrote it up.
Central Kentucky was sitting under an upper ridge in an area of high pressure. The air mass over Kentucky was moisture rich but contained little shear. This resulted in an environment conducive to disorganized severe weather, and that's what happened with the diurnal heating of the day. Outflow boundaries provided forcing to initiate further convection which resulted in tree damage and localized flooding issues throughout the area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 1:46 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 246 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 .Short Term...(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 230 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 Scattered to perhaps numerous storms forecast as we go into the holiday "weekend". Focus for activity today so far has been on a very weak disturbance aloft...but once those storms started, they have congealed into a nice cluster over eastern KY and the WV/VA border. Expect additional development across the rest of the region as the afternoon goes on...but likely more of the disorganized popcorn type variety. Watch for brief gusty winds and heavy rainfall with this afternoon's storms. After storms die down later tonight, look for a general repeat of activity for Wednesday. Temperatures should be within a couple of degrees of today's for highs, but rain chances may be a touch higher as the day starts out with just a little more moisture in the atmosphere. && .Long Term...(Wednesday night through Tuesday) Updated at 240 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 Typical summertime weather will continue into the long term. The ridge across the Southeast CONUS will help to deflect any substantial upper level flow and systems and keep us rather warm and muggy Thursday into Friday. Models hint at small perturbations riding along the northern periphery of the ridge during this timeframe, which could help spark scattered to widespread storms during the afternoon hours. Localized heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible in the stronger storms. A very weak cold front will begin moving in from the north during the weekend as the Southeast CONUS ridge loosens its grip on the Ohio Valley. The front will serve as a focal point for convective activity, particularly during the afternoon when surface heating is at its greatest. Saturday looks to have better chances for showers and storms vs Sunday, as the front will likely be south of the KY border by Sunday afternoon. Deep layer shear doesn't increase all that much during the weekend timeframe, but still could see some localized heavy rainfall and gusty winds with the stronger storms. High pressure settles over the Great Lakes by early next week, and much drier conditions look to return to the Ohio Valley. Still can't rule out isolated storms Monday/Tuesday, but most locations should stay drier. Temperatures will remain warm post-frontal early next week, but dewpoints may come down a few degrees to make the upper 80s and low 90s air temperatures a bit more manageable. && .Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance) Updated at 110 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 Focus for convection early this afternoon has been south of the KLEX terminal, but seeing cloud fields building across the rest of the area as well. Models are not handling current coverage of storms well at all, so have gone with timing based on current trends. Will amend as necessary. Expect brief gusty winds and IFR conditions with the stronger cells, should they go over the terminals. Winds generally will be from the southwest and west outside of those cells. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. KY...None. && Short Term...RJS Long Term...DM Aviation...RJS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Louisville KY 249 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-031900- Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison- Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt- Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford- Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle- Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln- Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell- Cumberland-Clinton- Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 249 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 /149 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2019/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Indiana and Central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Late This Afternoon and Tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected into the evening hours. Any storm will be capable of producing torrential rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. Expect some isolated wind gusts from stronger storms in the 40 to 60 mph range. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. An active weather pattern will continue this week and into the weekend with chances for storms each day. Some storms could be strong with gusty winds and dangerous lightning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to report strong winds, flooding, and any hail this week. RJS/DM
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
329 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019
KYZ066-022000-
Casey-
329 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CASEY COUNTY...
At 329 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Magnum. The
storm is nearly stationary.
Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Evona, Mintonville, Ware, Teddy, Gilpin, Cantown, Argyle, Phil and
Labascus.
LAT...LON 3714 8487 3720 8498 3728 8490 3722 8475
3717 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 1929Z 076DEG 2KT 3720 8485
KDWSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
354 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019
INZ083-022015-
Dubois-
354 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019
...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN DUBOIS COUNTY...
At 354 PM EDT, a snow squall was located 7 miles south of Jasper,
moving west at 5 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this squall.
Locations impacted include...
Huntingburg, Ferdinand, Saint Henry, Johnsburg, Huntingburg Airport
and Bretzville.
Use extra caution if you must travel into or through this dangerous
snow squall. Rapid changes in visibility and potentially slick roads
are likely to lead to accidents. Consider delaying travel until the
squall passes your location.
LAT...LON 3831 8698 3830 8680 3821 8679 3820 8680
3820 8701
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 099DEG 5KT 3828 8692
KDWSpecial Weather Statement National Weather Service Louisville KY 357 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 INZ083-022015- Dubois- 357 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN DUBOIS COUNTY... At 357 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast of Dale. The storm is nearly stationary. Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Huntingburg, Ferdinand, Saint Henry, Johnsburg, Huntingburg Airport and Bretzville. LAT...LON 3830 8679 3821 8680 3821 8699 3830 8699 TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 114DEG 1KT 3826 8690 KDW
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 113 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:59 UTC.
10 thunderstorm wind, 2 flash flood, 1 lightning, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Social media reported a lightning strike near Fisher Ford Road. The strike killed two cattle.
There were trees down along Colville Road and Ruddles Mill Road.
One inch hail was reported by the media.
The media reported on tree and power pole damage near Highway 920 and Highway 62.
A social media report showed a photo of a tree down on a back patio/deck of a home in Cynthiana.
The Emergency Manager reported a tree down.
Trees were reported down on La Grange Road just north of Fox Run Road.
Trees were reported down.
A tree was reported down on Matlock Road.
It was reported that several streets in Cynthiana had water over them.
Parts of State Road 627 were closed due to high flowing water.
Several large trees were down blocking the road near Olaton along State Road 878 and Dan Road. Power outages were also reported in the area.
Trees were reportedly resting on electric wires.
A tree was reported down.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 843752, 843681, 843680, 843682, 843687, 843683, 843688, 843689, 843691, 843677, 843679, 843697, 843699, 843700.