Severe thunderstorm winds developed from Lake Cumberland into the Bluegrass region, as well as farther east to near Salyersville this afternoon and early evening. Damage included several downed trees, one of these falling onto a house near Somerset.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Severe thunderstorm winds developed from Lake Cumberland into the Bluegrass region, as well as farther east to near Salyersville this afternoon and early evening. Damage included several downed trees, one of these falling onto a house near Somerset. An out building was also destroyed in Fleming County. Multiple rounds of heavy rain led to an instance of flash flooding near Somerset.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 9:30 AM EST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson KY 1030 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 1030 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019 14z sfc analysis shows weak high pressure in place over the area. This has been ineffective in keeping the convection from sprouting this morning in our north and sliding off to the southeast. Lightning, brief heavy rains, and gusty winds have been the main impacts from these so far. Otherwise, skies are mostly sunny with a clear radar scope for much of the area. Temperatures currently vary from the low 80s in the far south to the mid 70s north where the clouds and showers/storms have moved/are moving through. Dewpoints remain quite elevated today up in the lower 70s while the winds so far have been light ad variable away from any storms. The morning river valley fog has just about burned off - unlike yesterday's slow clearing. For today, the action this morning may not foretell a convectively active afternoon as the CAMs are pretty sparse with the development of more storms following noon so PoPs in the chance range still looks good - especially north and east. For the grid update have adjusted the PoPs and QPF to address the late morning activity and current radar trends. Also, added in the latest obs and trends to the T/Td grids. These grids have been sent to the NDFD and web servers along with the issuance of a fresh set of zones and HWO. UPDATE Issued at 724 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019 A few showers have developed in the north with some lightning. Thus, have introduced thunder back into the forecast this morning. The fog has begun to lift from the valleys with the sun rise. Will issue a new ZFP to remove fog wording once it dissipates in the next hour or so. Other than this, the forecast is on track and merely ingested the latest observations and blended into the morning hours. Current temperatures across eastern Kentucky currently hover around 70 degrees. Expecting highs today in the upper 80s. Updates have been sent to NDFD and to the web. && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 426 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019 Temperatures across eastern Kentucky this morning are generally in the upper 60s, with a few spots seeing 70 degrees. River valley fog has also developed overnight, particularly in the southeast. However, this is expected to lift and dissipate around 13Z this morning. Some high clouds have also moved over our area during the overnight. In fact, a few showers and storms developed in central Ohio. These have since outflowed and dissipated before reaching the northern portion of our area. Warm and humid conditions, typical of a summertime pattern, will continue through the short term period. Current surface analysis shows high pressure to the south and also to the east of the Commonwealth. Aloft, a ridge continues to dominate the southeastern CONUS. This, along with about 2500 to 3000 J/kg of MUCAPE across eastern Kentucky today, will result in chances of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. With these MUCAPE values, some gusty winds are possible in the stronger storms that develop as well. With the loss of daytime heating, chances of showers and storms will then dwindle into the overnight. The upper level ridge will begin to break down as a shortwave trough advances towards the Ohio Valley Wednesday. However, surface high pressure is expected to remain to the east/southeast of Kentucky. The Hi-Res models also show scattered shower activity Wednesday. Some storms will be possible, but the risk of any strong to severe storms has decreased. The models show MUCAPE values across eastern Kentucky a bit lower than today, between 2000 and 2500 J/kg. SPC has even removed our area from the marginal risk for severe storms as well. Like today, expecting shower and storms to decrease into the evening with the loss of daytime heating. High temperatures today and tomorrow will be in the upper 80s, with lows in the upper 60s to around 70 degrees. Not expecting much of a ridge/valley temperature difference even with light winds overnight tonight due to increased cloud cover. However, the valleys are still likely to be slightly cooler than the ridgetops. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 430 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019 An upper level ridge will build in across the lower Mississippi Valley and southern Plains through the end of the work week, before becoming more centered across northern Mexico by early next week. This will occur as a result of short wave energy moving along the U.S./Canadian border, establishing broader troughing east of the Mississippi River by this weekend and into early next week. A warm and humid air mass as well as increasingly unsettled conditions will persist across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys through Monday. PoPs will be on the increase each day across eastern Kentucky through the weekend, as the aforementioned troughing takes shape aloft, as well as the approach of a surface cold front. Stuck a bit closer to the blended guidance for PoPs through the long term, as forcing will be on the increase, although did allow for a bit more diurnal influence, especially at night. Dew points will remain on the warmer side of 70 degrees throughout the majority of the period, with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the 65 to 70 degree range. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning) ISSUED AT 724 AM EDT TUE JUL 2 2019 Valley fog did not affect the TAF sites much overnight, with VFR conditions observed at issuance this morning. A few showers and storms are currently in the far north and thus, have included mention of VCSH for SYM. With surface high pressure to the southeast of the state, chances of afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible. Uncertain if specific sites would be affected as well as timing, so just included VCSH for this afternoon and early evening at all TAF sites for now. Winds will continue to be light through the period, but become more westerly by this afternoon. However, the winds will become more variable overnight tonight. VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period for most sites. The exception will be SJS and SYM where MVFR VIS is possible due to fog development tonight towards dawn depending on the shower and storm activity this afternoon. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && UPDATE...GREIF SHORT TERM...CGAL LONG TERM...GEOGERIAN AVIATION...CGAL
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson KY 830 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-031530- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 830 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Thunderstorms are possible today through the evening hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorms will be possible at times from Wednesday through Monday, with the best chances occurring into the weekend. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. CGAL/GREIF
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service JACKSON KY 111 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 KYZ068-079-080-021745- Rockcastle-Laurel-Pulaski- 111 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WEST CENTRAL LAUREL... NORTHEASTERN PULASKI AND SOUTHWESTERN ROCKCASTLE COUNTIES... At 111 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Hansford, or 7 miles south of Mount Vernon, moving south at 20 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Bernstadt, Bloss, Dykes, Hansford, Bent, Luner, Billows and Pongo. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. LAT...LON 3726 8446 3730 8432 3713 8415 3704 8444 TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 344DEG 18KT 3726 8437 SHALLENBERGER
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service JACKSON KY 143 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 KYZ079-080-084-021830- McCreary-Laurel-Pulaski- 143 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN LAUREL...SOUTHERN PULASKI AND NORTHEASTERN MCCREARY COUNTIES... At 142 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Somerset, moving southeast at 15 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Somerset, Burnside, Sloans Valley, Alpine, Grade, Bronston, Ruth, Elihu, Huxley, Mount Victory, Tateville, Rockcastle Springs, Bent, Pulaski County Park, Somerset Pulaski Airport, General Burnside S.P., Baldrock, Trimble and Ferguson. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. LAT...LON 3703 8479 3717 8462 3709 8423 3685 8436 TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 297DEG 14KT 3712 8464 SHALLENBERGER
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 134 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:00 UTC.
5 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Dispatch reported a tree blown down onto a house and power lines on Hideaway Court southwest of Somerset.
Dispatch relayed reports of large tree limbs blown down in eastern Whitley County.
Dispatch reported that Patterson Branch Road was inundated with flowing water southwest of Somerset.
A SKYWARN spotter observed a tree and large limbs blown down on Granny Holt Knob Road east of Pine Knot.
Dispatch reported trees blown down along Kentucky Highway 2019 northwest of Salyersville.
Local media reported an out building was destroyed on a farm near Tilton.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 826071, 826067, 826065, 826073, 826068, 826070.