Florida, 2019

Drought in Florida, September 24 to 30, 2019

September 24 to 30, 2019 · NWS TAE · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

D2 drought conditions developed across portions of Walton and Holmes counties during the last week of September and continued into October.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

D2 drought conditions developed across portions of Walton and Holmes counties during the last week of September and continued into October.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 23, 9:32 PM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 23, 9:32 PM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1032 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2019

.UPDATE...

The overnight forecast is in good shape with no updates necessary
this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [231 PM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

Dry conditions will continue through the near term. A ridge
situated across the southeast will continue to keep winds light
and cloud cover limited into the night time hours. Morning lows
will fall into the lower to middle 60's across the CWA except near
the coast where lows will remain in the lower 70's.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Wednesday]...

The center of the upper level ridge will slide southeast tonight
into tomorrow. As this occurs, the flow will become zonal across the
CWA. Deep layer moisture will increase for Tuesday/Wednesday and
this will allow for low end PoPs (20%) across the far north on
Tuesday and the southern 2/3rds of the area on Wednesday. Heat is
the main story for the short term though with highs in the mid
90s. It's quite possible we will tie or break the record highs in
the short term. Lows will be in the lower to mid 70s.

.LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Monday]...

An upper-level ridge is expected to amplify over the eastern CONUS
and persist this weekend and into the start of the work week. At the
surface, high pressure should remain situated over the mid-Atlantic
states for next several days. Therefore, PoPs will generally be low
for the long term with only slight chance PoPs across the far
southeast Saturday and Sunday and slight chance to chance PoPs
across the coastal areas Monday. Overall though, hot and dry
conditions will cap off the end of an abnormally dry September. High
temperatures will be in the mid 90s and lows in the low 70s.

.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Tuesday]

VFR conditions with light winds will persist throughout the TAF
period.

.MARINE...

Winds will be variable through the week, but are forecast to remain
below 15 knots through the week. Winds and seas will increase late
in the weekend into next week. Conditions are expected to be dry
through the week, with low end rain chances returning for Sunday
onward.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the
next several days.

.HYDROLOGY...

Rain chances are limited over the next week with mostly dry
conditions forecast across the area. There are no flooding
concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   65  95  73  96  75 /   0   0   0  20   0
Panama City   72  92  77  92  77 /   0   0   0  10  10
Dothan        64  93  71  94  72 /   0  10   0  20   0
Albany        66  93  72  95  71 /   0  20   0  10   0
Valdosta      64  94  72  95  73 /   0   0   0  20   0
Cross City    66  93  72  93  74 /   0   0   0  20   0
Apalachicola  72  90  76  90  77 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT tonight for Coastal
     Franklin.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...Harrigan
NEAR TERM...Prieto/LF
SHORT TERM...Fieux
LONG TERM...IG/Fieux
AVIATION...Prieto/LF
MARINE...Fieux
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...Fieux

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Holmes

When
September 24, 12:00 AM EST to September 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Holmes forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.868, -85.814 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions developed across portions of Walton and Holmes counties during the last week of September and continued into October.

Drought, North Walton

When
September 24, 12:00 AM EST to September 30, 11:59 PM EST
Where
North Walton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor

D2 drought conditions developed across portions of Walton and Holmes counties during the last week of September and continued into October.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848803, 848804.