A slow moving frontal boundary lifted north through the region, resulting in steady and prolonged rainfall across the area. Isolated areas of flash flooding occurred due to locally heavy rainfall.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TSA wrote it up.
A slow moving frontal boundary lifted north through the region, resulting in steady and prolonged rainfall across the area. Isolated areas of flash flooding occurred due to locally heavy rainfall.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 11, 11:16 AM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1116 AM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 ...UPDATE... .AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. The current heaviest rain will come to an end within the first couple of hours of the valid TAF period, but drizzle and light fog will keep visibilities largely in the MVFR range. IFR ceilings will continue as well. Additional showers and some thunderstorms will develop ahead of the approaching cold front this evening and into early tomorrow morning. Will continue the TEMPO groups at the NE OK and far NW AR terminals for thunderstorms. Winds will increase and become gusty from the west and northwest behind the cold front tonight. VFR conditions will return after daybreak tomorrow. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 936 AM CST Mon Feb 11 2019/ ..UPDATE... DISCUSSION... The main precipitation axis this morning is shifting into northeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas, with a temporary lull in activity expected through early afternoon across much of southeast Oklahoma. Another increase in coverage is likely to occur across parts of eastern Oklahoma late afternoon and into the evening as the main upper system approaches, eventually spreading eastward into western Arkansas tonight. Nonzero chance of an isolated thunderstorm late this afternoon, but expect that the greater chance of this will remain in the evening as previously forecast. Main changes to the going forecast were to show drier conditions through the rest of the morning and into the early afternoon across much of southeast Oklahoma with a subsequent increase during the late afternoon. Update already out. PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 528 AM CST Mon Feb 11 2019/ AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. Mainly IFR conditions expected through Today with conditions improving later Tonight in the wake of the cold front that is expected to move through this Evening into Tonight. PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 404 AM CST Mon Feb 11 2019/ DISCUSSION... The areal coverage of rain is expected to increase over the next few hours, and this will help to dissipate the fog that is beginning to thicken up across the northwest part of our forecast area. Thus will not issue a dense fog advisory at this time. If the rain does not become as widespread as expected between now and sunrise, an advisory may eventually be required. As the main upper system and cold front approach this evening, isolated thunderstorms will become possible, but instability looks to be insufficient for severe storms. It appears all rain will end before temperatures fall below freezing late tonight. A major warmup is on tap for Wednesday and Thursday just ahead of the next cold front. Much of the forecast area will see temperatures warm into the 70s Thursday afternoon. With the warmer temperatures and breezy south winds, fire danger will also be on the rise Wednesday and Thursday. Much colder weather will return for Friday into early next week. A potential winter storm looks to affect the area just beyond this forecast period, with multiple wintry precipitation types appearing possible. Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days. && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && AVIATION.....22
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1246 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121130- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 1246 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...This Evening. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...Late Tonight. DISCUSSION... Additional showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions of western and central Oklahoma late this afternoon and into early evening ahead of an approaching cold front and surface low and move into parts of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas this evening and overnight. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Winds will shift to the west and northwest and increase in speed following the cold frontal passage late tonight. Wind gusts up to 30 mph are expected. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. TUESDAY...No Hazards. WEDNESDAY...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential. THURSDAY...High Wind Potential. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Rapid fire spread potential will become more of a concern toward the middle of the week, as winds increase and temperatures warm into the 60s and possibly 70s ahead of a late week cold front. Behind the front, gusty northerly winds could continue fire weather danger through the end of the work week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 24 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:34 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Portions of Highway 252 were closed due to flooding between Sullivan Road and Highway 217.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 807327.