Showers and thunderstorms developed ahead of a cold front. Storms affected the Delta region late in the evening on the 11th before moving across the region overnight.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
Showers and thunderstorms developed ahead of a cold front. Storms affected the Delta region late in the evening on the 11th before moving across the region overnight. Most of the storms that moved through overnight were not severe, but one storm did produce a tornado in Leake County during the early morning hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 11, 9:09 PM CST, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 909 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 .UPDATE... Updated for evening discussion. && .DISCUSSION... The edge of the pre-frontal rain has moved into the far northwestern reaches of our CWA this evening. After looking at the latest hi-res qpf values and the current radar, we decided to put in a limited threat of flooding for that area. The radar shows a moderate to heavy band of rain moving through there now. The front isn't going to move the rainfall out of that area until after 3am or so. While a couple inches of rain is expected, it's possible that there could be some locally higher amounts that could cause some flooding issues. Otherwise, the previous forecast looks pretty good. The bulk of the rain will move through early tomorrow morning. As it does so, there could still be some gusty winds along the line of showers/perhaps a storm. The front will usher in cooler air behind the rain and temps will fall after sunrise tomorrow. High temps will occur around 6am for most places. /10/ Prior discussion below: Through Tuesday: The sun has been able to break through the cloud deck this afternoon, helping temperatures climb into the upper 60s to mid-70s areawide. The development of instability across the region however has been meager. Although the threat for severe thunderstorms has been lowered, there could still be just enough instability and wind shear for some stronger storms to develop just ahead of an approaching cold front as it moves into our forecast area late tonight. Some hi-res guidance hints at a stronger storm or two moving through the Delta counties and parishes after midnight and before 4 a.m. Apart from any stronger thunderstorms, there will be a slight chance for thunderstorms as the front moves across the forecast area, with showers or storms helping to potentially mix down some stronger wind gusts as a 40-50kt low level jet develops overnight. Timing for the front has slowed down slightly from the previous forecast, so have held onto POPs in our east a few hours longer tomorrow morning. Temps through the afternoon tomorrow will actually hold fairly steady as warm air advection tonight will keep temps warm ahead of the front, while clearing skies behind the front tomorrow will moderate any post-frontal cooling tendencies during the daytime. Gusty winds will likely continue into the day tomorrow, however sustained and gust speeds look to remain below thresholds for mention in the HWO. /NF/ Tuesday night through Sunday: By Tuesday evening the cold front and rainfall will be southeast of our CWA. There may be a few lingering clouds in the east but, these will clear during the evening and a cooler and drier airmass will be in place over our CWA. Wl maintain northwest flow aloft but our surface winds will become near calm as high pressure builds in from the west by morning. This will allow for decent radiational cooling and morning lows back near normal in the mid to upper 30s. Wednesday our flow aloft will become near zonal as the surface high shifts east across our CWA. Near full insolation and a light return flow during the afternoon will allow temperatures to warm to slightly above normal in the low to mid 60s. The surface high will continue shift farther east Thursday allowing moisture to slowly return to the region and temperatures to remain above normal. PWATs look to start off below a half inch Thursday morning but increase back above one inch by Thursday evening. Models suggest a few light showers may develop in the north by late afternoon. There remain significant differences in the models Thursday night into the weekend concerning the potential development of a closed low and rain chances across our area Friday. The southern branch of the jet stream looks to set up across the southern tier of the CONUS by the end of the week favoring near zonal flow but the GFS and Canadian develop a closed low over the central CONUS Thursday night and swing it across our region Friday and Friday night while the ECMWF and ensembles have a much weaker wave traversing the region. Rain chances are expected to increase across the northern portions of the CWA Friday but rainfall amounts will be light. Have leaned more toward the ECMWF for this period leading to a cooler and drier weekend forecast. /22/ && .AVIATION... 00Z TAF discussion: Mostly VFR conditions across the region early this evening, although the exception is around GTR/CBM/NMM/MEI where lingering low clouds from this afternoon will cause some intermittent IFR concerns through the evening. Otherwise, the main story is a cold front coming through the region over the next 24 hours, bringing showers and embedded storms across from west to east starting this evening and clearing to the east before noon tomorrow. Rainfall and thunderstorm activity will be greatest around GLH/GWO later this evening and through the early morning hours where some gusty winds could also accompany storms. Expect low clouds to usher in MVFR flight cats ahead of most of the showers (mainly in the 3Z through 9Z time period) with winds at the surface picking up out of the south as well. Behind the front tomorrow, winds will gradually shift to out of the northwest with sustained winds from 15 to 25 mph and brief winds gusts over 30 mph possible. Anticipate MVFR flight cats and showers to linger in the wake of the front, but generally flight cats are expected to improve back to VFR levels by late afternoon to early evening tomorrow. /BB/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 60 64 37 63 / 66 81 3 0 Meridian 61 64 37 63 / 43 86 6 0 Vicksburg 59 64 38 63 / 83 63 2 0 Hattiesburg 60 66 37 64 / 70 84 6 0 Natchez 59 63 38 64 / 78 61 2 0 Greenville 57 61 36 60 / 100 37 2 0 Greenwood 60 63 36 61 / 100 62 2 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 819 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-025-034-130230- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Washington- 819 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, north central Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Tuesday FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Remainder of Tonight For the remainder of tonight, localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall is expected to result in 2 to 3 inch rainfall totals, with locally higher amounts possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Sunday. LAZ008-009-015-016-023>026-MSZ026>033-035>066-072>074-130230- West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA- Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster- Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston- Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper- Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln- Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 819 PM CST Mon Feb 11 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...The rest of Tonight and Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Sunday. 50 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *FLOODING* Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely. Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely and significant flooding is possible. Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely. Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 166 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 05:51 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
Eight power poles were blown down west of the Mid-Delta Regional Airport.
A tree was blown down onto a house in the Golden Acres Community, which resulted in one injury.
Multiple power lines and trees were blown down just northwest of the Natchez Trace near Thomastown.
This brief weak tornado touched down along Forest Grove Rd just west of the Natchez Trace and tracked northeast for a little over four miles. The greatest damage was across and near the Natchez Trace. Here, a few dozen trees were snapped or uprooted. A power line or two was blown down along with a tree on a car. The tornado continued northeast and went through the Yockanookany River bottom. The last damage seen was a few snapped pine trees as the tornado crossed Henry Rd where it intersects near Longhills Rd and St. Anne Rd. The maximum wind speed with this tornado was 90 mph.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Mississippi, 2019Warnings in Mississippi, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 797468, 799106, 797469, 797470.