A lone severe thunderstorm brought localized wind damage to Monroe County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
A lone severe thunderstorm brought localized wind damage to Monroe County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 21, 6:43 PM EST, 16 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 743 PM EDT Thu Jun 21 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A weak stationary front just north of the area will sink south into the region tonight before stalling into Friday night. Upper level energy riding across the boundary will interact with tropical moisture in place to produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for the remainder of this week into this weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 725 PM EDT Thursday.. Convection has exited the east, with two areas in the mountains/foothills, one over southeast WV and another along the Blue Ridge in Alleghany/Surry County, NC south into Wilkes. This in association with a vort lobe moving across the southern Appalachians early this evening. High-res models have been running too hot on coverage, but location is not too bad, so expect best coverage the rest of the evening to stay in the mountains where models weaken the upper vort lobe, but keep deeper moisture convergence. Given the lack of very deep convection and the fact the storms are moving and not as organized, will refrain from issuing any flood watches. The 22z RAP has better handle on current radar trends and does try to redevelop more showers/storms from near Roanoke northward to the Alleghanys. Will reshape pops to lean toward this solution. Previous discussion from early afternoon... Main concern with convective coverage into this evening including possible hydro issues across the north near the surface front and severe potential south/east where have seen more sunshine/instability. However so far early arrival of showers over the mountains has acted to curtail more widespread heavy rainfall, while deeper convection has been slow to develop out east given lingering westerly downslope and lack of support. Latest models continue to show quite a band of showers with embedded thunder swinging from southwest to northeast this evening as the vort axis aloft heads northeast and interacts with the surface front oozing south. Most solutions support this scenario although differ in the strength of the convective band and also speed of movement with some Cam output very slow to move the heavier showers northeast. This would mainly be along the I-64 corridor, swinging southeast across Lynchburg and down into Southside Va this evening before lifting out toward midnight. Thus keeping a similar swath of categorical/likely pops this evening espcly north/east before diminishing to mostly chance or less coverage overnight as the initial shortwave lift/diffluence exits. Given the ongoing trend in seeing less organization, potential weakening of convection toward loss of heating, and rather high flash flood guidance, wont hoist a short term watch for now but rather keep mention in the HWO for more localized flooding per models 1-2 inches of QPF. Lows similar to the past couple of nights but perhaps slightly cooler low/mid 60s north/west where more showers appear likely. Surface front likely to be near the Blue Ridge early Friday with more weak wedging out east and continued southwest flow west. Midwest upper low to gradually shift east allowing another spoke of energy to push into the mountains during the afternoon. This should support another round of at least heavy rain producing showers and storms mountains where instability west of the surface front will exist. Also models indicate more shear as the low level southwest jet increases ahead of the upper system. Models suggesting a bit better severe threat from southwest sections per more heating, to along the front near the Blue Ridge including southern sections where likely to intersect more in the way of northeast flow resulting in better helicity. Continued tropical Pwats within a stronger more unidirectional southwest flow could also set the stage for multicellular bands capable of producing added heavy rain espcly along the Blue where a watch may be needed Friday pending rainfall from this evening. Otherwise after some fog early, running with chance pops to start before ramping up to likely and periods of categorical in the afternoon, with less deep convection over the far northeast within the weak wedge. Highs tricky pending where the front ends up and how expansive clouds/showers are by afternoon. Mav mos remains less aggressive with the wedge while the Met cooler espcly east where spots may stay in the cooler 70s all day. Therefore went closer to the warmer Mav west and a blend east which keeps quite a range from 80s southeast to only lower 70s far north. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 245 PM EDT Thursday... Low pressure in the Ohio Valley will lift northeast into New England by Saturday night. The closed upper low over the Mississippi Valley will move northeast and slowly open up. Positive vorticity advection associated with the upper low tracking out of the Ohio Valley will reach the Appalachians early Saturday morning. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue into Friday night, before departing to the northeast Saturday morning. Low temperatures Friday night will range from around 60 degrees to near 70 degrees in the piedmont. Mean trough will travel east Saturday across the Mid Atlantic region and pass to our east Sunday morning. Bulk shear Saturday will be decent, LIs around minus 1 to minus 3 and cooler mid level temperatures are all supportive of thunderstorms. SPC in day 3 has placed a marginal threat of severe weather to our east along the coastal plain north to Delmarva. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Saturday highs will be close to normal with readings from around 70 degrees in the northwest mountains to around 90 degrees in the piedmont. Saturday night low temperatures will vary from the the lower 60s in the west to the lower 70s in the east. Confidence for all elements is average. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 245 PM EDT Thursday... A split flow upper-level pattern across North America will gradually become more consolidated by the middle of next week. Upper trough axis will continue to rotate east Sunday into Sunday night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday with the best chance in the west. Shortwave crosses the region Monday along with a surface cold front. GFS is strong and further south compared to ECMWF. A large ridge builds over the eastern United States Tuesday and slowly moves east into Wednesday. 500 MB heights over the Mid Atlantic region will be around 591dm. subsidence and warmer temperatures aloft will suppress widespread thunderstorm development. Will keep Tuesday and Wednesday near normal for temperatures and mainly dry. The ECMWF allows fore some isolated convection in the southwest portion of forecast area. A cold front approaches from the west on Thursday. && .AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 725 PM EDT Thursday... Mainly VFR this evening with some areas of MVFR with showers/isolated storms. Best threat of this will lie from Roanoke to Lewisburg, WV. Late tonight, looks like showers will fade and/or move northeast of our area, and amendments as necessary will occur if showers/storms approach other terminals. With higher lower level moisture the formation of a layer of low level stratus tonight with cigs 500 to 1500 feet including patchy fog is at least likely at most of the taf sites, with lowest cigs at LYH/BLF/BCB. Frontal boundary is expected to remain stalled over the region through Friday. This boundary will be the focus for showers/storms again on Friday mainly from 17z to the end of the taf period with varying VFR to MVFR in clouds/showers with local IFR in areas of heavier rainfall. Confidence is medium to high that sub-VFR cigs/vsbys occur late tonight at times at most sites, but lower as to extent/timing of improvement Friday morning. Confidence low to medium on timing of showers affecting the area around 04-9z, but higher that most will see a threat of showers/some storms Friday afternoon, but will not put thunder as predominate wx type and keep as VCTS with moderate showers. .Extended Aviation Discussion... The front will lift back north Saturday followed by another cold front passing through from the west on Sunday. This should result in improving conditions over the weekend with only periods of sub- VFR likely in more scattered nature showers and storms through Sunday or Sunday night. Increasing moisture from rainfall will also result in the opportunity for late night fog and stratus for much of the period. High pressure spills in from the north early next week perhaps finally making for a period of VFR for Monday and Tuesday. && .EQUIPMENT... As of 200 AM EDT Thursday... The NOAA weather radio transmitter in Hinton, West Virginia that is WXM72 and broadcasting at a frequency of 162.425 MHz is off the air. Parts are on order to repair the transmitter, but there is no known time of restoration. We apologize for any inconvenience. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && SYNOPSIS...JH NEAR TERM...JH/WP SHORT TERM...KK LONG TERM...KK AVIATION...JH/PM/WP EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 305 PM EDT Thu Jun 21 2018 VAZ019-020-023-024-034-035-045>047-WVZ507-508-221915- Alleghany VA-Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Campbell- Appomattox-Buckingham-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- 305 PM EDT Thu Jun 21 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south central Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Bands of showers and strong thunderstorms may result in very heavy rainfall which could lead to localized flooding through this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Strong thunderstorms with heavy rain may lead to localized flooding again on Friday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VAZ007-009>014-018-022-WVZ042>044-221915- Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Craig-Roanoke- Mercer-Summers-Monroe- 305 PM EDT Thu Jun 21 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Bands of showers and strong thunderstorms may result in very heavy rainfall which could lead to localized flooding into this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms containing damaging winds could occur on Friday. Very heavy rain may also lead to localized flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ003>006-020-VAZ016-017-032-033-043-044-058-059-221915- Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Carroll-Floyd-Patrick- Franklin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Halifax-Charlotte- 305 PM EDT Thu Jun 21 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina, northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia and west central Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms containing locally damaging winds are possible into this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms containing primarily damaging winds could occur on Friday. Very heavy rain may also lead to localized flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ001-002-018-019-VAZ015-221915- Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Wilkes-Grayson- 305 PM EDT Thu Jun 21 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and southwest Virginia. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Strong to isolated severe thunderstorms containing locally damaging winds are possible into this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Another round of strong to isolated severe thunderstorms may occur on Friday. Very heavy rainfall may also result in localized flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
457 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2018
VAZ047-212130-
Buckingham-
457 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2018
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL BUCKINGHAM COUNTY...
Until 530 PM EDT
At 457 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Tower Hill,
moving east at 25 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Buckingham...
Dillwyn...
and Toga.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
LAT...LON 3748 7842 3749 7875 3750 7876 3755 7879
3765 7853
TIME...MOT...LOC 2057Z 256DEG 21KT 3753 7871
DSSpecial Weather Statement National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA 459 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2018 VAZ046-212130- Appomattox- 459 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2018 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL APPOMATTOX COUNTY... Until 530 PM EDT At 458 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Appomattox, moving east at 20 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Appomattox... Hixburg... Appomattox National Historic Park... and Spout Spring. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. LAT...LON 3731 7888 3737 7893 3746 7874 3733 7865 TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 254DEG 16KT 3735 7885 DS
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
525 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2018
VAZ047-212200-
Buckingham-
525 PM EDT THU JUN 21 2018
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL BUCKINGHAM
COUNTY...
Until 600 PM EDT
At 524 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Dillwyn, moving
north at 10 mph.
Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central
Buckingham County east of Dillwyn and south of Gold Hill.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
LAT...LON 3751 7834 3747 7837 3747 7839 3759 7843
3761 7837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 171DEG 10KT 3752 7837
DSThe Roanoke radar (KFCX), 52 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:55 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Two large limbs of a tree were blown down by thunderstorm winds.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in West Virginia in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in West Virginia, June 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 754758.