Two men visiting Assateague Island drown in rip currents.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
Two men visiting Assateague Island drown in rip currents.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 7, 1:03 PM EST, 57 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wakefield VA 203 PM EDT Sun Oct 7 2018 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will remain in control just off the coast through the middle of the upcoming week, keeping conditions warm with low chance of precip. The latter half of the week looks to be unsettled with increasing chances for rain and cooler temperatures in the extended period. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1030 AM EDT Sunday... Low stratus and patchy fog have mostly burned off across the area. With a strong upper-level ridge centered over the area (evident on GOES WV Satellite imagery), expect the remainder of the day to feature partly-mostly sunny skies and dry conditions. The decent amount of sunshine coupled with continued subsidence from the upper ridge will allow temps to climb well above climatological norms again today with highs topping out in the mid-upper 80s from central VA to NE NC, with low-mid 80s expected on the Lower Eastern Shore. Winds will be mostly from the southeast today which will keep a decent low level moisture feed into the area, making for yet another muggy day with dewpoints in the low 70s, not your typical October day across the area to say the least. Overnight low temperatures will be well above average, bottoming out in the upper 60s to low 70s. Patchy fog will again be possible tonight, especially over the western half of the forecast area. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 330 AM EDT Sunday... Strong high pressure aloft will finally make some eastward progress away from the area Monday and Tuesday but will influence the local weather with continued warm temperatures and low chances for rain. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s each day with lows once again in the upper 60s and low 70s. Toward the end of the period, the trough that has been anchored across the western CONUS will migrate eastward and allow for some slight chance PoPs to enter the western half of the area for Tuesday afternoon. Thereafter, all eyes are on a tropical disturbance forecast to be in the central Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday evening. Models continue to diverge with the exact track of this system but increasing chances for rain into mid to late week appear likely. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 200 PM EDT Sunday... Summer wx will come to an end in the extended period as strong hi pres that been dominant for the past week or so breaks down and a trough aloft/sfc cold front tracks E through the mid- Atlantic region (Thu-Fri). Deep layered SSW flow will bring substantial moisture into the mid-Atlantic region and additional moisture from a remnant tropical cyclone may add to the possibility for heavy RA. There are timing differences...w/ the 12Z/08 GFS faster than the 00Z/08 ECMWF is pushing the cold into/across the FA. Given uncertainty in timing of the front...and the remnant tropical cyclone...used a blend of the model guidance. Will increase PoPs to 40-60% Wed night...then cap PoPs at 70% for most of the FA (Thu- Thu night). After that...lowering PoPs (from W-E) Fri. Dry/cooler wx expected next weekend. Refer to TPC for information and forecast track of TS Michael. Lows Wed night from the u60s-l70s. Highs Thu in the u70s W to the m80s SE. Lows Thu night in the u50s W to the u60s at the coast. Highs Fri around 70F N and W to the m70s SE. Lows Fri night from around 50F NW to the l60s SE. Highs Sat and Sun from the m60s NW to the l70s SE. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 135 PM EDT Sunday... Hi pres sfc-aloft remains over/near the local area this afternoon w/ mainly SCT CU and ESE winds aob 10 kt. Expecting another period of patchy/areas of low clouds/FG by late tonight/early Mon morning...introduced BKN CIGs 500 ft and VSBYs 3SM in FG at all sites but ORF after 07-09Z/08. Mainly VFR conditions expected then from late Mon morning through Wed although ST and late night/early morning FG will remain possible. Flight restrictions due to CIGS and RA Thu into Fri as a cold front and possible remnant tropical cyclone tracks across the local area. && .MARINE... As of 355 AM EDT Sunday... High pressure is currently located off the mid-Atlantic/NE coast and will settle across the region today into tonight. SCA headlines are still in effect for the coastal waters for seas to around 5 ft, but winds have become rather light (mainly less than 10 kt). Anticipate being able to drop the headlines later this morning or early this aftn as seas gradually subside to 3-4 ft. Otherwise, relatively benign conditions through midweek, though the E/SE winds will increase a bit Mon/Tue (to 10-15 kt) as the pressure gradient between the sfc high off the mid- Atlantic coast and sfc troughing along the SE coast. Seas 2-4 ft and waves 1-2 ft. Tropical system slowly pushing N from the Gulf of Mexico late in the week will get absorbed by an approaching trough/front from the NW, resulting in increasing southerly winds Thu and potentially strong NW winds in its wake Fri. At this time track uncertainty is still rather high (monitor the latest forecast from NHC for details). && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... As of 715 AM EDT Sunday... Have issued a coastal flood statement for the MD eastern shore for the upcoming high tide cycle this aftn as water level departures remain around +1.0 foot. Expect low- end minor flooding (primarily for Bishop's Head). && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...RHR NEAR TERM...ERI/RHR SHORT TERM...RHR LONG TERM...ALB AVIATION...ALB/RHR MARINE...JDM/LKB TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 529 AM EDT Sun Oct 7 2018 MDZ022>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092- 093-095>100-509>525-080930- Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Northampton- Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan- Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland- Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan- Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie- Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews- Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight- Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Accomack- Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen- Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 529 AM EDT Sun Oct 7 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. MDZ021-080930- Dorchester- 529 AM EDT Sun Oct 7 2018 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 57 year old male drown in a rip current around 2 pm.
An 18 year old male drown in a rip current around 2 pm.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Accomack | 2018-10-07 | 57 | Male | In Water | Direct |
| Rip Current, Accomack | 2018-10-07 | 18 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, October 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 789465, 789466.