Virginia, 2018

Flash Flooding in Virginia, October 11 to 12, 2018

October 11 to 12, 2018 · NWS AKQ · 23 events in 16 counties and zones

Tropical Cyclone Michael tracked from South Carolina northeast and off the Mid Atlantic Coast from Thursday morning, October 11 into early Friday morning, October 12. Showers and scattered thunderstorms associated with the Tropical Cyclone produced heavy rain which caused flash flooding across portions of central and south central Virginia, the Virginia Northern Neck, and the Middle Peninsula.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
23

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.

Tropical Cyclone Michael tracked from South Carolina northeast and off the Mid Atlantic Coast from Thursday morning, October 11 into early Friday morning, October 12. Showers and scattered thunderstorms associated with the Tropical Cyclone produced heavy rain which caused flash flooding across portions of central and south central Virginia, the Virginia Northern Neck, and the Middle Peninsula.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 11, 2:18 PM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 2:18 PM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
318 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical cyclone Michael will track across southeastern Virginia
this evening, then get pushed offshore after midnight as a strong
cold front crosses the area. High pressure builds into the region
from the west Friday. A trof of low pressure crosses the area early
Saturday. Please refer to forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center regarding Michael.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
As of 200 PM EDT Thursday...

Latest MSAS has Michael moving ne across central NC with the cold
front approaching the mts. Models agree in tracking the center of
Michael ne across sern VA this eve, across the Delmarva around
midnight then out into the Vacapes after 06Z. This just ahead of the
cold front that will sweep east across the area tonight.

Tornado watch continues thru 01Z although it appears the threat
will shift east of I95 over the next few hrs where the best instab
will be. The other concern over the next few hrs will be the band
of hvy rainfall now approaching the NC/VA border. This will likely
be the main player this evening for the heaviest rainfall amounts.
The heaviest rainfall then shifts east and continues through the
evening and into the early morning hours before tapering off late,
especially across the west. Adjusted grids a bit but the overall
jist of the forecast has not changed since this morning. Widespread
rain of 3-6 inches will likely result in areas of flash flooding.
Locally higher amounts possible ivof the I85 corridor and interior
srn VA. Gusty NNW winds behind both the departing system and cold
front between 35-50 mph inland with 50-60+ mph along the coast. Lows
mid 50s nw to mid 60s se.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Thursday...

Michael continues to accelerate to the ne Fri with any pcpn quickly
ending by 12Z along the coast. High pressure builds in from the west
resulting in mstly sunny skies along with diminishing winds. Highs
mid 60s nw to lwr 70s se.

The next quick moving system (trof) moves north of the area Friday
night and Sat morning. Models show just enough moisture to carry
slght chc pops with this feature across northern most zones. High
pressure builds in behind the trof re-inforcing the cooler air in
for the weekend. Lows Fri night in the mid 40s nw to mid 50s se.
Highs Sat in the 60s to near 70 se. Lows Sat night in the 40s exept
50s along the coast. Highs Sun mid 60s nw to mid 70s se.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 12 PM EDT Thursday...

Cool and quiet conditions are expected to start the medium/long
range forecast as high pressure at the surface will move east of the
area on seasonally strong zonal winds aloft. As the surface high moves
away, winds will become increasingly southerly Sunday night
into Monday morning which will allow moisture to return to the
region with dewpoints increasing through the day Monday into the
mid 60s. An approaching trough of low pressure and an
associated cold front will serve to increase the chance for
showers and maybe a few rumbles of thunder for Monday afternoon
into the evening hours. Some timing differences remain among the
models as to the timing of the actual cold frontal passage with
the GFS and GEM bringing the front through shortly after sunset
on Monday while the ECMWF is a bit slower - closer to sunrise
Tuesday morning. Went with a blend but leaned toward the faster
timing of the GFS/GEM for frontal passage. The chance for
thunder will come to an end after the front clears any one spot,
but it appears that post-frontal showers will continue across
the area for Tuesday into early Wednesday before high pressure
builds into the region once again to close out the week.

High temperatures on Monday will feel quite warm after a cool
weekend with low 70s in the northwest ranging into the lower 80s
across the southeast. Overnight lows Monday into Tuesday will depend
on the eventual placement of the cold front but will generally range
from the low 50s NW to low 60s SE. Daytime highs on Tuesday will be
held in check with clouds and showers around, lower 60s across the
north and some low 70s to the south. Thereafter, highs in the 60s to
low 70s with lows dropping back into the 40s inland to upper 50s
near the water.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Thursday...

This forecast based on the effects of Michael, which is
currently moving ne across central NC with the cold front
approaching the mts. Models agree in tracking the center of
Michael ne across sern VA this eve, across the Delmarva around
midnight then out into the Vacapes after 06Z. This just ahead of
the cold front that will sweep east across the area tonight.

Forecast will start off with MVFR-VFR CIGS and VCSH per current
radar trends. Conditions quickly go downhill toward sunset as
widespread mdt to hvy rainfall associated with the pcpn banding
overspread the area. Kept thunder mostly out of the forecast for
now given low confidence of where any storms will form over the
next several hrs. Expect VSBYS to go low in the hvy rain with
CIGS bordering on IFR.

The next concern tonight will be the gusty NW winds as the
system exits off the Delmarva around midnight followed by strong
CAA behind the cold front. Gusts 30-40 kts psbl this eve and
erly morning hrs across the Piedmont and 30-50 kts through most
of the night along the coast.

Conditions rapidly improve after 12Z Fri as the system accelerates
off to the ne resulting in clrg skies and diminishing winds.

OUTLOOK...
A trof of low pressure to the north may produce a few shwrs at
RIC/SBY Sat morning. Otw, dry weather/VFR conditions are expected
through Sun.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 315 PM EDT Thursday...

Winds will continue to increase through this evening and into
tonight due to a combination of Michael and the approaching strong
cold front from the northwest. Models still remain in good agreement
on the mesoscale details. On this track, winds are expected to pick
up out of the S/SE this evening across the southern waters with
gusts as high as 45 to 50 knots possible. Winds then turn to the NNW
late tonight into early Friday morning, behind the frontal passage
and as the remnant low moves offshore. Winds may gust in excess of
45 knots over a majority of the waters and persist through the
morning hours before diminishing from SE to NW. The strongest winds
over the coastal waters will be roughly between 03Z and 12Z. Winds
may gust as high as 50 to 60 knots during this time frame.  The
current forecast has the strongest winds roughly between 06 and 12Z
Friday morning. The strongest winds diminish through Friday morning,
but breezy NW winds will linger through the day Friday as high
pressure builds over the Ohio Valley. Thus, expect a round of SCA
will be needed for a period after current slate of marine headlines
can be lowered.

With respect to headlines, a Storm Warning is now in effect for all
coastal waters, Ches Bay, and Lower James River through Friday
morning. Gale Warnings remain in effect for the upper rivers. For
land areas, the High Wind Warning was modified slightly to include
Somerset MD, coastal MD, the Northern Neck, and portions of NE NC. A
wind advisory remains in effect for a majority of the region besides
the far NW. Even across the far NW, winds may still briefly gust to
40 mph later this evening.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Based on the projected QPF forecast and latest radar trends,
went ahead and issued several river flood warnings. See FLWAKQ
for details.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 550 AM EDT Thursday...

Have continued the coastal flood advisory from thu aftn through
Fri morning for NC locations adjacent to the Currituck and
Albemarle sound (including nearby rivers). Southerly to
southeasterly winds are already pushing water levels higher
along the northern shore of the Albemarle Sound based upon
several tide gages at Edenton and Elizabeth City. As Tropical
Storm Michael approaches this afternoon and evening, expect the
winds to increase and water levels should continue to rise an
additional foot to 2 feet.

Elsewhere, tidal departures currently avg around +1.0 ft in the
the Chesapeake Bay with gage locations in the Mid Bay having
reach near minor flood stage in the last high tide cycle. With
increasing southerly to southeasterly flow the next high tide
cycle should continue to build upon those anomalies and
continue to push higher water levels with minor flooding
possible along tidal portions of the Potomac River and also for
portions of the Lower Maryland Eastern Shore on the Bay side.
The subsequent high tide cycle tonight a few hours either side
of midnight might be the highest tide for the mid and upper bay
as the wind flow increases ahead of the arrival of the center of
Michael. How quickly the low moves past and the winds switch
could impact that tide cycle as a quick switch could actually
have a big impact for places like Cambridge where a quick switch
to the NW could push water straight into town. That switch to
the NW could also be a big impact in the southern Chesapeake Bay
where some coastal flooding could linger into Friday morning
with the next high tide cycle at locations like Sewells Point.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for MDZ021>025.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT Friday for MDZ021-022-024.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     MDZ021>023.
     High Wind Warning until noon EDT Friday for MDZ023-025.
     High Surf Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday
     for MDZ025.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for NCZ012>017-
     030>032-102.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT Friday for NCZ012>014-030-031.
     High Wind Warning until noon EDT Friday for NCZ015>017-032-102.
     High Surf Advisory until noon EDT Friday for NCZ102.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for NCZ015>017-
     031-032-102.
VA...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for VAZ048-060>062-
     064>069-075>090-092-093-095>100-509>525.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT Friday for VAZ060-061-065>069-075-
     076-079>085-087>090-092-093-096-512>524.
     High Wind Warning until noon EDT Friday for VAZ077-078-086-095-
     097>100-525.
     High Surf Advisory until noon EDT Friday for VAZ098.
     High Surf Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday
     for VAZ099-100.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for VAZ075-
     077.
MARINE...Storm Warning until noon EDT Friday for ANZ630>634-638-654-656-
     658.
     Storm Warning from 9 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday for
     ANZ650-652.
     Gale Warning until noon EDT Friday for ANZ635>637.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPR
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...MPR
LONG TERM...RHR
AVIATION...MPR
MARINE...AJB
HYDROLOGY...AKQ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AKQ
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 3:25 PM EST, 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

VAZ048-062-064-509>511-122030-
Fluvanna-Goochland-Caroline-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-
Western Hanover-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and north
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ015>017-032-122030-
Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Perquimans-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ012>014-030-VAZ060-061-065>069-076-079>083-087>090-092-093-096-
512>524-122030-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Prince Edward-Cumberland-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Richmond-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex-
Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, east central Virginia, south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ098-122030-
Virginia Beach-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ099-100-122030-
Accomack-Northampton-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ021-022-122030-
Dorchester-Wicomico-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ095-097-525-122030-
Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Hampton/Poquoson-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ024-122030-
Inland Worcester-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ023-122030-
Somerset-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ025-122030-
Maryland Beaches-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ084-085-122030-
Gloucester-Middlesex-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ078-086-122030-
Lancaster-Mathews-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ031-122030-
Chowan-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ077-122030-
Northumberland-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ075-122030-
Westmoreland-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ102-122030-
Eastern Currituck-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
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Event by event

23 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Amelia

When
October 11, 3:57 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Amelia County, 1.3 mi WNW of Amelia to 1.29 mi W of Amelia
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.340, -78.000

Patrick Henry Highway (Route 360) was closed at Amelia Avenue due to flash flooding. Several roads in the area were flooded.

Flash Flood, Lunenburg

When
October 11, 4:00 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Lunenburg County, 0.88 mi NE of Victoria to 1.18 mi NNE of Victoria
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
36.990, -78.220

Flash flooding was reported on several roads in the city of Victoria.

Flash Flood, Prince Edward

When
October 11, 4:00 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Prince Edward County, 3.83 mi SSE of Farmville Muni Arpt to 1.25 mi SE of Tuggle
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.300, -78.400

Flash flooding was reported on several roads throughout the county.

Flash Flood, Prince Edward

When
October 11, 4:09 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Prince Edward County, 2.14 mi NNE of Farmville to 1.74 mi N of Farmville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.330, -78.560

Route 690 was closed from Harris Creek Road to Chinquapin Road due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Fluvanna

When
October 11, 4:10 PM EST to 9:15 PM EST
Where
Fluvanna County, 1.76 mi NW of Troy to 1.5 mi NNW of Troy
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.950, -78.250

Flash flooding was reported near the 21000 Block of James Madison Highway.

Flash Flood, Nottoway

When
October 11, 5:22 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Nottoway County, 0.88 mi NW of Mutt to 0.79 mi NE of Burkeville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.190, -78.190

Patrick Henry Highway (Route 360) was closed near the intersection of Route 460 and Route 360 due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Amelia

When
October 11, 5:43 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Amelia County, 2.3 mi WNW of Maplewood to 2.39 mi WNW of Maplewood
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.330, -78.110

Flash flooding was reported at the intersection of Amelia Springs Road and Saint James Road.

Flash Flood, Prince Edward

When
October 11, 5:55 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Prince Edward County, 4.09 mi WNW of Rice to 3.23 mi WSW of Tuggle
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.290, -78.370

Water from flash flooding was reported entering homes, businesses, and government buildings across the county.

Flash Flood, Cumberland

When
October 11, 6:41 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Cumberland County, 4.87 mi S of Lakeside Vlg to 4.62 mi S of Lakeside Vlg
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.600, -78.190

Flash flooding was reported across Game Farm Road in the northern part of the county.

Flash Flood, Dinwiddie

When
October 11, 7:00 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Dinwiddie County, 0.55 mi E of Dinwiddie to 0.55 mi ENE of Dinwiddie
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.080, -77.590

Flash flooding was reported at several locations on Route 1.

Flash Flood, Caroline

When
October 11, 7:30 PM EST to 11:30 PM EST
Where
Caroline County, 0.88 mi NW of Ruther Glen to 1.2 mi NNW of Ruther Glen
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.930, -77.480

Flash flooding was reported near the intersection of Jefferson Davis Highway and Page Road.

Flash Flood, Chesterfield

When
October 11, 7:30 PM EST to 10:25 PM EST
Where
Chesterfield County, 2.14 mi NNE of Walthal to 2.09 mi NNE of Walthal
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.350, -77.390

Flash flooding was reported at the intersection of Bottom Spring Road and Ramblewood Drive.

Flash Flood, Chesterfield

When
October 11, 7:30 PM EST to 10:40 PM EST
Where
Chesterfield County, 1.05 mi WNW of Midlothian to 1.09 mi WNW of Midlothian
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.504, -77.668

Flash flooding was reported along Otterdale Road.

Flash Flood, Richmond

When
October 11, 7:44 PM EST to October 12, 12:30 AM EST
Where
Richmond County, 42.31 mi WSW of Wellford to 43.78 mi WSW of Wellford
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.560, -77.430

Numerous roads were closed around the city of Richmond due to flash flooding. Water rescues were reported.

Flash Flood, Richmond

When
October 11, 7:45 PM EST to October 12, 12:30 AM EST
Where
Richmond County, 42.59 mi WSW of Wellford to 42.62 mi WSW of Wellford
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.540, -77.420

Flash flooding was reported on Mosby Street by the Mosby Express Mart.

Flash Flood, Lunenburg

When
October 11, 8:00 PM EST to 9:45 PM EST
Where
Lunenburg County, 6.05 mi NW of Nutbush to 5.97 mi NW of Nutbush
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.110, -78.360

South Meherrin Bridge was completely submerged by water from flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Henrico

When
October 11, 8:40 PM EST to 10:40 PM EST
Where
Henrico County, 0.88 mi SE of Short Pump to 0.7 mi SSE of Short Pump
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.640, -77.610

Three to four feet of water from flash flooding was reported on Three Chopt Road near John Rolfe Parkway.

Flash Flood, Richmond

When
October 11, 8:45 PM EST to October 12, 1:15 AM EST
Where
Richmond County, 1.29 mi ESE of Warsaw to 0.38 mi SE of Warsaw
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.960, -76.750

Several roads were flooded across the county with water rescues reported.

Flash Flood, King and Queen

When
October 11, 9:06 PM EST to October 12, 12:30 AM EST
Where
King and Queen County, 1.29 mi ENE of St Stephens Church to 1.19 mi ENE of St Stephens Church
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.810, -77.030

Route 360 was closed at Green Chambers Road due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Essex

When
October 11, 9:10 PM EST to October 12, 1:15 AM EST
Where
Essex County, 1.09 mi E of Dunbrooke to 0.83 mi ENE of Dunbrooke
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
37.900, -76.950

Route 620 was closed at Sunnyside Road due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, James City

When
October 11, 9:30 PM EST to October 12, 1:15 AM EST
Where
James City County, 2.22 mi SSW of Diascund to 2.14 mi SSW of Diascund
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
37.370, -76.896

Route 737 was flooded at Otey Drive.

Flash Flood, New Kent

When
October 11, 10:00 PM EST to October 12, 12:30 AM EST
Where
New Kent County, New Kent to 0.73 mi S of New Kent
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
37.520, -76.980

Numerous roads throughout the county were impassable due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Westmoreland

When
October 11, 11:24 PM EST to October 12, 1:15 AM EST
Where
Westmoreland County, 0.69 mi S of Chiltons to 0.73 mi SSE of Montross
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
38.110, -76.800

Numerous roads were closed across the county due to flash flooding.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, October 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 790711, 790715, 790727, 790734, 790739, 790746, 790747, 790750, 790751, 790752, 790753, 790755, 790756, 790757, 790758, 790759, 790760, 790761, 790763, 790764, 790765, 790766, 790767.