A line of thunderstorms over Central and Southeast Texas produced localized wind damage over Anderson County before moving southeast of the forecast area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A line of thunderstorms over Central and Southeast Texas produced localized wind damage over Anderson County before moving southeast of the forecast area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 2:41 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 341 PM CDT Wed Oct 31 2018 .DISCUSSION... Main focus is the potential for strong to severe storms, as well as heavy rain and localized flooding over the next 3-5 hours before today's storm system exits to the east. A surface cold front extends from roughly Canton to Groesbeck to Temple as of 330 PM with a vigorous upper trough digging towards the region. Ahead of this front, unseasonably warm and moist conditions have contributed to large SBCAPE on the order of 2000 J/kg. Deep layer wind shear of 40+ kts will contribute to rotating thunderstorms in this area through the evening, which will pose a threat for some severe weather. Low-level wind fields across our southeast counties have begun veering in the past hour or two, and are limiting storm-relative helicity values slightly. As a result, the tornado potential isn't terribly high, but mini- supercellular structures already observed today certainly suggest a non-zero potential. Storm motion roughly parallel to the frontal boundary is also contributing to storms becoming elevated rather quickly, also limiting surface-based thunderstorm hazards. A threat for hail will exist with stronger storms through late afternoon and evening, including those elevated behind the front. However, modest lapse rates through the mid-levels have limited the hail threat thus far today. Otherwise, a threat for damaging winds still exists with storms immediately along the front, especially if any more robust segments can organize as the front pushes east. The boundary is expected to push through the remainder of the forecast area over the next 4-5 hours, ending the tornado potential along with most of the severe weather threat. A Tornado Watch remains in effect for our southeastern zones through this evening, but will be trimmed accordingly as the front moves through. Aside from the severe potential, heavy rainfall and flooding is also of concern, particularly across our southern and eastern zones where training of convection may occur. Rain rates have not been terribly high thus far, but it also won't take a great deal of rainfall to aggravate flooding issues given the antecedent saturated soil conditions. Rainfall totals of 1-2 inches can be expected across our southern and eastern zones, while lighter totals will occur the farther northwest one's location. One of the main concerns for folks today will be the forecast for evening holiday activities. Fortunately, most or all of the lightning activity should have shifted east of the forecast area by 7 or 8 PM. However, lingering intermittent light to moderate rainfall will be possible through the late afternoon and early evening hours just about anywhere in the forecast area as weak ascent from the upstream shortwave continues to move overhead above the post-frontal airmass. This activity won't amount to much more than just a nuisance for those with outdoor plans late tonight and into the early morning hours. Some lingering wrap-around moisture will contribute to continued chances for light rain and widespread cloudiness on Thursday morning. However, some clearing should occur from west to east through the late morning and afternoon as the trough exits the area to the east. The post-frontal northerly winds will switch back to the west/southwest on Friday, which should allow for temperatures to climb back to near normal in the upper 60s and low 70s. A secondary upper trough is progged to dig southeastward towards North Texas Saturday and Sunday, along with another surface low and cold front. Additional showers or a few storms will be possible with this system, although it appears moisture won't have much time to recover after being scoured by Wednesday's cold frontal passage. This should limit rain totals, as well as the potential for strong/severe storms due to a lack of instability. Today's GFS run came in much wetter with the weekend system, but it is been an outlier among today's ensembles as well as time- lagged ensembles. Will keep PoPs a bit lower over the weekend and continue to monitor the next trough over the next few days. The active pattern will continue with a deep, broad upper trough persisting across the Central US into next week. This should allow another frontal passage to occur around midweek, with a lack of deep moisture continuing to limit thunderstorm potential. -Stalley && .AVIATION... /Issued 1221 PM CDT Wed Oct 31 2018/ /18z TAFs/ A cold front is draped SW-NE between DFW and Waco, with widespread convection ongoing both along and behind the front. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will affect TAF sites through this afternoon as upper forcing continues to overspread the area. TSRA will impact DFW area airports through about 21z, before robust convection shifts to the southeast. Waco can expect TSRA impacts a couple hours later, from about 19-22z. The cold front will continue to push south rather slowly, causing winds at Waco to switch to the northwest around 19-20z. Behind the front, persistent NNW winds at 10-20 kts can be expected through most of the TAF period. Aside from convective impacts, low cigs will also prevail at TAF sites through most of the TAF period, at least until Thursday morning. IFR cigs should prevail through this evening, but may begin lifting into MVFR overnight as drier low-level air filters into the region. By mid-morning, borderline MVFR/VFR cigs should be prevailing at most TAF sites as the low pressure system exits to the northeast. Skies should clear from west to east through Thursday afternoon with northerly winds continuing. -Stalley && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 49 58 46 70 48 / 40 10 0 0 0 Waco 50 62 45 73 49 / 40 5 0 0 0 Paris 50 54 43 65 44 / 80 30 5 5 0 Denton 48 58 45 70 47 / 40 10 0 0 0 McKinney 49 56 45 67 46 / 40 20 0 0 0 Dallas 51 58 47 71 49 / 40 10 0 0 0 Terrell 52 57 45 70 47 / 60 10 0 0 0 Corsicana 51 58 44 68 48 / 70 5 0 0 0 Temple 49 64 45 73 49 / 40 5 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 47 61 44 71 46 / 30 5 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 26/91
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 257 PM CDT Wed Oct 31 2018 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 257 PM CDT Wed Oct 31 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Chances for thunderstorms will continue into the evening hours. A threat for strong or severe storms exists ahead of a cold front moving through Central Texas. Areas roughly southeast of a Killeen to Canton line have a chance for severe thunderstorms through 9 PM, with damaging winds being the primary hazard. Hail around 1 inch could occur with the strongest thunderstorms. In addition, a tornado or two cannot be discounted. Areas to the north, behind the cold front, will continue to see rain with embedded thunderstorms, with lightning being the main threat through early this evening. Also, heavy rain may result in localized flooding, as well as rises on rivers, creeks, and streams. Thunderstorm chances will end from west to east later this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. After a brief dry period through the end of this week, thunderstorm chances will return on Sunday and may continue into early next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Limited spotter activation may be requested late this afternoon and evening across parts of Central Texas.
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 188 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:43 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Broadcast media reported a couple of large trees blown down and a steeple blown off of a church.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 789839.