Outflow generated by thunderstorms over Louisiana kicked off isolated thunderstorms across areas south of I-20 and east of I-35. One storm produced gusty winds which blew a couple of trees down in Navarro County.
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The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Outflow generated by thunderstorms over Louisiana kicked off isolated thunderstorms across areas south of I-20 and east of I-35. One storm produced gusty winds which blew a couple of trees down in Navarro County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 10, 1:59 PM CST, 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 259 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 .SHORT TERM... /Rest of Today and Tonight/ Early afternoon visible satellite imagery reveals pockets of agitated cumulus and some showers/isolated storms mainly across our southeastern counties where moisture is maximized. PWATs steadily fall off the farther west you go across our forecast area, and the relatively flat Cu field visually supports this. We'll keep a 10% mention of isolated storms going west of I-35 through sunset, with 20-40% PoPs to the east, highest from near I-45 up to I-20/30 into the evening hours. With large-scale ascent all but nonexistent today, any storms will be tied to the more vigorous PBL circulations with peak heating, or along outflow from storms across East Texas. Most storms will just produce a quick downpour and briefly cool things off, but the strongest storms will be capable of producing some strong gusty winds as their cores collapse. Convection will begin to dwindle around sunset with the loss of daytime heating, with precip-free conditions expected across the region late this evening. Thunderstorms currently developing across the Texas Panhandle will gradually track southeastward into the Rolling Plains and may hold together long enough to bring some shower and thunderstorm chances to our northwestern counties around midnight. Increasing inhibition and veering 925-850 mb flow will not favor convective sustenance, and all indications point to a pretty quick downtrend in convective vigor as any remnant activity marches eastward. As a result, we've confined overnight PoPs back west of I-35 and mainly north of I-20 and kep them at 20% or less. Some gusty outflow winds will be possible, but severe weather is not expected. Carlaw && .LONG TERM... /This Week Into Early Next Weekend/ A shortwave disturbance aloft currently moving out of New Mexico and across the South High Plains and Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles will arrive across Western North Texas by sunrise, then southeast across the entire area during the day. During the morning hours Monday, the atmosphere will be relatively inhibited with just a few showers possible across the northern CWA. By afternoon, I will carry low convective chances across the far eastern counties. This area will be within the area of richer PWAT values between 1.5-2 inches, while more drier air aloft and within the convective 850-700mb will be situated further west, which will likely help to keep the rest of area mostly convection-free through the day. In addition, some subsidence will occur in behind the shortwave as it approaches the southeast counties during peak heating Monday afternoon. I will hold onto less than 20 percent chances across the far eastern counties through early Monday evening and sunset, at which time loss of heating should result in a dissipation of any lingering showers and storms. Moving into Tuesday, the center of the upper high looks to reform across the Southern Rockies and across Oklahoma and North Texas. Meanwhile, a more sustained mid level weakness will evolve across the Gulf Coast and west across South/Southeast Texas. This pattern shift will allow the tropical easterlies to shift further northward which is pretty common for this time of the year. Periodic and subtle shortwave disturbances rotating along the southern periphery of the upper high anchored north of the Red River Valley will allow for the occasional seabreeze development each day. Mainly diurnal late afternoon and evening isolated showers and storms are possible the latter half of the week across our far southeast counties. The strength and eastward extent of the upper high becomes uncertain due to inconsistencies within the medium range models that any tropical development across the Gulf of Mexico by next weekend must be taken with a serious grain of salt, especially since we're looking at 7-9 days out here. One thing is for certain is confidence is very low at this time w/regard to any tropical development, tracking, and potential in the 7-10 day period. One must be careful not to just lock onto one particular model or solution this far out, even if they show a possible intensifying tropical storm. Warm core system are very tricky and do not act like cold core, extratropical systems with regard to steering currents, etc. Best advice is to follow our experts at the National Hurricane Center(NHC)regarding anything across the Gulf region. Otherwise, more heat and humidity will be around each day and night, as a more typical summertime longwave pattern begins to set in. Temperatures will be a little above normal and mostly in the lower-mid 90s, except a few reading in the upper 90s out west, but nothing extremely hot. Occasionally gusty south-southeast winds, especially during the daytime hours will keep heat index values in check and below advisory conditions. However, the usual outdoor rules will apply if you plan on being outside for long periods of time during the times of max heating in the afternoon and early evening hours each day. 05/ && .AVIATION... /Issued 1235 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018/ /18z TAFs/ VFR Cu will continue to bubble with daytime heating with bases steadily rising to around FL050-060 later this afternoon. While a pop-up shower/storm will be possible pretty much anywhere across North and Central Texas, the main signal is east of I-35 within a zone of higher moisture and reduced mid-level heights. As a result, convective chances remain too low to warrant an inclusion in the TAFs, but we'll closely monitor cloud and radar trends this afternoon, especially at Waco where the Cu field has become a bit more agitated recently. Otherwise, south to southeast winds around 15 kts with some gusts to 20 kts will persist through the TAF period. Any activity should begin to diminish around sunset, but we'll turn our attention to the west. A convective complex is expected to be moving into the Texas Rolling Plains, but should be weakening as storm-relative flow diminishes in response to the veering low-level jet and as it encounters increased inhibition. We'll maintain precip-free TAFs for the time being. At Waco, MVFR cigs may once again build northward, but the signal for widespread low clouds isn't as robust as it was this morning, so have contained any cigs within a TEMPO group. Any remnant outflow(s) from the decaying overnight activity may serve as a focus for renewed development Monday afternoon, but confidence in placing these features is simply too low for any precip mention in the DFW extended TAF. Carlaw && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 76 96 77 96 76 / 10 20 10 10 5 Waco 76 96 76 96 74 / 10 10 5 10 0 Paris 72 91 74 93 73 / 20 20 20 20 10 Denton 76 96 77 96 75 / 20 20 10 10 5 McKinney 73 93 73 93 74 / 10 20 10 10 5 Dallas 78 96 78 96 77 / 10 20 10 10 5 Terrell 75 95 75 95 74 / 20 20 10 20 10 Corsicana 75 93 75 93 73 / 20 10 10 20 5 Temple 74 95 75 95 73 / 10 10 5 5 0 Mineral Wells 73 97 75 97 73 / 20 20 10 5 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 05/90
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1059 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 1059 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible today west of I-35, with better chances to the east of I-35 and south of I-30. Brief heavy rain, strong gusty winds, and cloud to ground lightning will be the main threats with any activity. Additional thunderstorm chances will move in from the west prior to sunrise Monday. No severe weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A decaying line of storms will approach the Red River early Tuesday morning. Given thunderstorms will be weakening, no severe weather is expected. There will be low thunderstorm chances each afternoon between Tuesday and Saturday. The associated threats will be lightning, brief heavy rain and possible gusty winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 110 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:00 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Emergency management provided pictures indicating a couple of downed trees from an isolated thunderstorm near the towns of Eureka and Mildred, TX.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 770912.