Oregon, 2018

Cold in Oregon, November 12, 2018

November 12, 2018 · NWS MFR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 39 year old man was found deceased in an irrigation ditch in Medford on the morning of 11/12/2018. Evidence collected indicated that hypothermia was the cause of death.

Where it happened

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  • Cold
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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.

A 39 year old man was found deceased in an irrigation ditch in Medford on the morning of 11/12/2018. Evidence collected indicated that hypothermia was the cause of death. The low temperature in Medford that morning was 25 degrees.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 11, 7:56 PM PST, 5 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 11, 7:56 PM PST, 5 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
756 PM PST Sun Nov 11 2018

.DISCUSSION...Current observations are showing extremely dry air
across southern Oregon and northern California. The driest air is
occurring along the mid to upper slopes and ridges of the coast
range and in the Siskiyous/Marble Mountains. The dewpoint
temperature at KMFR is rising, and there are some thin cirrus
clouds moving overhead. This suggests that temperatures will be
cold once again tonight, but not nearly as cold as the crossover
temperature (the dewpoint temperature at the time of the afternoon
high temperature). The crossover temperature was around 12
degrees! I did drop temperatures a little below guidance across
the area, but do anticipate the cirrus clouds to help keep us
somewhat warmer than we could see.

The main concern for tonight will be the poor humidity recoveries
across the area. We have opted for a headline in our fire weather
products since the east winds won't be as strong tonight. Please
be cautious if you have to burn anything. -Schaaf

&&

.MARINE...Updated 800 PM PST Sunday 11 November 2018...Seas are
gradually subsiding and relatively light winds will turn southerly
overnight tonight. Southerly winds will gradually increase (but
remain below small craft advisory levels) Monday as a weak front
approaches. This front takes its sweet time moving in, and thus
sub- advisory south winds and seas continue through Tuesday. The
front finally moves onshore Wednesday, and we're not expecting
anything of significance to marine interests until late Wednesday
night when a steep westerly swell around 10 feet moves in behind
the front. BR-y/Keene

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 413 PM PST Sun Nov 11 2018/

Updated aviation discussion.

DISCUSSION...As anticipated yesterday, models continue to trend
towards higher heights and a very weak ridge pattern instead of a
zonal flow pattern as indicated yesterday. This will shunt the
bulk of the moisture north of the area with a few sprinkles
possible in northern Douglas and Coos county and north of Crater
Lake. With the offshore flow the very dry conditions, more like
something we would normally see in August, will continue into
Tuesday at least.

Even barrel burning has the potential be hazardous!

A weak ridge builds behind the exiting "front" with weak offshore
flow developing Friday, with will push out some of the moisture
from the onshore flow with the "front". The reticent stubborn
ridge is now showing to shift east even later and the next front
that bring actual precipitation now doesn't look to move in until
Monday. Sven

AVIATION...For the 12/00Z TAFs...VFR conditions are being
reported across most of the forecast area except for the immediate
coastline where some smoke is reducing visibility to 5SM near Gold
Beach. Aside from local smoke and the Umpqua Basin, all other
locations are expected to remain VFR through tomorrow. It's possible
that conditions remain VFR through the TAF period in the Umpqua
Basin, but confidence is low in this given the time of year and the
fact that low ceilings have occurred the past several nights. At
this point we expect a rather brief period of IFR conditions at KRBG
early Monday morning, clearing to VFR by mid morning.

Additionally, gusty downslope southeast winds over the southern end
of the Rogue Valley may create some bumpy conditions on approach
from or climb out to the south at KMFR. Br-y/Keene

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.

CA...None.

Pacific Coastal Waters...None.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Cold/Wind Chill, Jackson County

When
November 12, 1:00 AM PST to 9:00 AM PST
Where
Jackson County forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
42.432, -122.728 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 39 year old man was found deceased in an irrigation ditch in Medford on the morning of 11/12/2018. Evidence collected indicated that hypothermia was the cause of death. The low temperature in Medford that morning was 25 degrees.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Cold/Wind Chill, Jackson County2018-11-1239MaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Cold/Wind Chill
Cold or wind chill below warning criteria that caused deaths, injuries or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oregon in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, November 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 785131.