Strong to severe thunderstorms developed during the morning hours of the 9th over central Oklahoma and north central Texas, along and ahead of a cold front that was moving into the area. The storms moved into and through eastern Oklahoma during the late morning and early afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TSA wrote it up.
Strong to severe thunderstorms developed during the morning hours of the 9th over central Oklahoma and north central Texas, along and ahead of a cold front that was moving into the area. The storms moved into and through eastern Oklahoma during the late morning and early afternoon. The strongest storms produced damaging wind gusts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 9, 5:48 AM CST, 3 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 648 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 .DISCUSSION... The discussion for the 12Z TAF forecast can be found below. && .AVIATION... CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG. Multiple rounds of showers and storms expected today at the sites. Used tempo or prob30 groups to highlight best time windows. MVFR cigs will overspread the region and will persist thru the period. Lacy && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 254 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018/ DISCUSSION... Main concerns in the short term include the potential for heavy rain/flooding and possibly severe thunderstorms mainly this afternoon and evening, with longer term concerns including another round of heavy rain and possible flooding over the weekend. Showers and scattered thunderstorms are ongoing across much of eastern Oklahoma early this morning in association with a modest low level jet atop the region. This activity is expected to remain below severe limits this morning with locally heavy rainfall the lone potential impact with the strongest cells. Later today, additional showers and thunderstorms will develop ahead of the approaching cold front as the vort max and associated upper jet currently near the Big Bend of Texas swing northeastward on the eastern periphery of the main upper trough. Much of the recent CAM guidance indicates and the ECMWF hints that the late morning and early afternoon development will be more widespread and farther east than especially the NAM and to some extent the GFS depict. If the faster solutions verify as the current radar data tend to indicate they might, the amount and intensity of severe weather this afternoon should be reduced across much of the area due to rather limited instability. The exception appears to be across parts of southeast Oklahoma and perhaps into west central Arkansas, where even the data with the most aggressive early daytime development show some higher CAPEs during the late afternoon and early evening. Due to the above reasoning, will limit the explicit severe mention in the forecast to areas along and south of Interstate 40 this afternoon and to the southeast of a McAlester to Fayetteville line this evening. Given the strong wind fields, damaging winds and perhaps a few tornadoes would be the main severe weather threats. Regarding the heavy rain and flood potential today and tonight, the system overall continues to look fairly progressive, especially this afternoon and into the overnight, and as such, will not issue a Flash Flood Watch at this time. The highest forecast amounts through tonight are in areas that have not seen a lot of rainfall in the past couple of days. The cold front will push completely through the area by Wednesday afternoon, bringing substantially lower temperatures and moisture levels through at least Thursday. The favored cold spots could even drop into the upper 30s Thursday morning. Heavy rain and flooding concerns increase again toward the weekend as moisture from current Hurricane Sergio moves into the central and southern Plains. Although some uncertainty remains in the placement of the heaviest rains across the area in response to the increasing moisture, the latest data continue the trend of placing the axis across roughly the northern half of the forecast area. Will go with fairly high POPs but not super high QPF at this point. Expect changes to this forecast for this time frame over the upcoming couple of days. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 77 52 65 44 / 100 90 0 0 FSM 79 63 72 49 / 80 90 20 0 MLC 77 55 67 47 / 90 90 0 0 BVO 76 50 63 38 / 100 90 0 0 FYV 76 60 66 39 / 80 90 20 0 BYV 77 63 68 43 / 80 90 40 0 MKO 77 54 67 45 / 90 90 10 0 MIO 78 54 64 40 / 90 90 10 0 F10 77 52 67 45 / 100 90 0 0 HHW 79 61 71 50 / 90 90 10 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && AVIATION.....30
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 534 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101045- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 534 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 ...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Limited. AREA...Along and south of I-40. ONSET...After 2 PM. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Along and south of I-40. ONSET...After 2 PM. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. DISCUSSION... There is an elevated risk of severe storms this afternoon and evening, mainly across southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. A limited risk of severe storms is forecast across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Damaging winds to 70 mph, isolated tornadoes, and isolated large hail will be possible with these storms. A band of thunderstorms is expected to develop to the west of the region this morning in advance of a strong upper system and cold front, and will intensify as it progresses across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas this afternoon and evening. The greatest instability and severe threat will be located across southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. Pockets of locally heavy rainfall will occur with the band of storms as it moves thru the region this afternoon and tonight. The progressive nature of the heavy rain producing storms will mitigate the flood threat somewhat, though isolated flooding is possible. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards. SATURDAY...Heavy Rain Potential. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Some potential for storms will linger into Wednesday ahead of the cold front across western Arkansas, however weak instability by this time will mitigate the severe weather threat. The remnants of Hurricane Sergio in the Pacific are expected to move across the region on Saturday, ahead of a strong cold front. Very heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible. The exact track of the remnant moisture is still uncertain, but the latest trends in the data suggest that the heaviest rainfall will fall across northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. Lacy
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tulsa OK 945 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018 OKZ067-070-071-091530- Muskogee OK-Wagoner OK-McIntosh OK- 945 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL MCINTOSH... SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER AND NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT... At 944 AM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles northeast of Council Hill, moving north at 30 mph. Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations in or near the path include... Muskogee... Wagoner... Coweta... Haskell... Porter... Oktaha... Taft... Boynton... Council Hill... Rentiesville... Tullahassee... Wainwright... Summit... Redbird... Jamesville... Choska... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM CDT for southeastern, northeastern and east central Oklahoma. LAT...LON 3550 9549 3555 9570 3602 9566 3599 9530 TIME...MOT...LOC 1444Z 196DEG 28KT 3560 9558
The Norman radar (KTLX), 65 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:47 UTC.
10 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong thunderstorm wind blew down trees northwest of town.
Strong thunderstorm wind snapped large tree limbs.
A storm chaser measured thunderstorm wind gusts to 62 mph.
Strong thunderstorm wind blew down a tree near the intersection of E 101st Street and S 129th E Ave.
Strong thunderstorm wind snapped large tree limbs.
Strong thunderstorm wind snapped large tree limbs and damaged a privacy fence near Liberty Elementary School.
Strong thunderstorm wind snapped large tree limbs and damaged the roof of a home.
Strong thunderstorm wind damaged the roof of a home.
A swath of strong thunderstorm wind blew the roof decking from a home, uprooted small trees, and snapped large tree limbs intermittently in at least a 3.5 mile long area.
Strong thunderstorm wind destroyed two barns and snapped large tree limbs across a small area on the northwest side of Sallisaw.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, October 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 788914, 788915, 788916, 788917, 788918, 788919, 788920, 788921, 788922, 788923.