Oklahoma, 2018

Wildfire in Oklahoma, January 27, 2018

January 27, 2018 · NWS OUN · 1 event in 1 county or zone

The Barick and Meachum fires burned approximately 993 acres in Custer county on the 27th.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.

The Barick and Meachum fires burned approximately 993 acres in Custer county on the 27th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 27, 11:38 AM CST, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 27, 11:38 AM CST, 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1138 AM CST Sat Jan 27 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions to continue.

Some gusts will persist into the first few hours of the forecast
across southern sites before diminishing. Otherwise, light winds
with only a few passing high clouds expected.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 501 AM CST Sat Jan 27 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Aviation discussion for the 12 UTC TAFs is below.

AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at all sites over the next
24 hours.

North to northeasterly surface winds are expected to be gusty
across southern Oklahoma and north Texas 15-22 UTC.

MBS

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 349 AM CST Sat Jan 27 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will continue over the next several days.

No significant changes were made to the previous forecast.
Besides southeastern Oklahoma this morning, no significant or
widespread precipitation is forecast over the next seven days.

Today, drier air will continue to move into the area, allowing
for abundant sunshine. A few light showers will linger near and
just ahead of the cold front, southeast of Waurika to Seminole
line before 9 am this morning. Surface winds will be lighter than
yesterday in most places. 00 UTC MOS guidance highs appeared
reasonable and were accepted with readings 5-10F above average
for this time of year. The air will be very dry and preferred the
lower 00 UTC ECMWF/latest HRRR model surface dewpoints.

Tonight into Sunday, mostly clear and quiet weather will
continue. Surface winds will increase slightly across northern
Oklahoma late Sunday ahead and just behind an approaching cold
front. Went below 00 UTC MOS guidance lows tonight with surface
high pressure overhead. Sunday should be slightly warmer
than today.

Sunday night through Monday night, cooler weather will occur.
Lowered highs on Monday a few degrees. Mostly clear skies are
expected to continue.

By Tuesday, southerly surface winds will increase across the area
allowing for a breezy to windy day. Some gusts across western
Oklahoma may be near 40 mph. Highs will be much warmer than
Monday, though latest models were not a robust with the warming
trend east of US Highway 81 (Enid to Duncan). Models may be too
fast with low level moisture return.

By Wednesday, latest models depicted a cold front moving into and
through the area. The timing of the front remains uncertain.
Above average temperatures are likely south of the front,
especially in southwestern Oklahoma and western north Texas where
highs may be well into the 70s, not too far from record levels.
Breezy conditions may occur on either side of the front. The lack
of moisture, should keep conditions dry during the day
on Wednesday.

Wednesday night through Friday, cooler conditions will occur,
though not sure how cold temperatures will be. The 00 UTC GFS was
much colder than the 00 UTC ECMWF during this time frame.
Slightly prefer the warmer 00 UTC ECMWF due to the lack of nearby
snowpack. Added low chances for precipitation on Thursday east of
I-35, though confidence remains quite low.

MBS

FIRE WEATHER...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected
today due to very dry and warmer than average conditions, though
surface winds will be lighter than Friday. ERC values remain above
average, generally in the the 75th to 90th percentile for this
time of year across Oklahoma and north Texas. Issued a RFD (Fire
Danger Statement) account for the high wildfire potential.

Still appears most models are too high with surface dewpoints and
a bit too low with surface winds over the next few days (today
through Wednesday). Accounted these bias in the latest forecast.

Conditions on Sunday will be very similar to today with elevated
to near critical fire weather conditions expected.

Cooler conditions on Monday along with light surface winds and
slightly higher surface humidity will allow for lower
wildfire potential.

Critical fire weather conditions will be possible on Tuesday,
especially in western Oklahoma and western north Texas due to
windy, warm, and dry conditions.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions may occur on
Wednesday south of a cold front and near/west of a developing
surface dryline. Western north Texas and southwestern Oklahoma may
have the highest potential for critical fire weather conditions
on Wednesday.

MBS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  60  28  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         58  25  62  27 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  60  28  63  30 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           57  21  63  23 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     59  23  62  23 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         63  32  64  32 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

30/04/01
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 27, 11:22 AM CST, 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1122 AM CST Sat Jan 27 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281230-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1122 AM CST Sat Jan 27 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will be possible
this afternoon across portions of western Oklahoma and western
north Texas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions could be
possible Sunday and Wednesday afternoons with more intense,
critical conditions possible Tuesday. The most likely area to be
affected with these conditions are parts of western Oklahoma and
western north Texas.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

Kurtz

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Custer

When
January 27, 12:00 PM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where
Custer forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
35.639, -99.001 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oklahoma in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, January 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 733570.