Nevada, 2018

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Nevada, October 3, 2018

October 3, 2018 · NWS VEF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A strong Pacific low pressure system plus leftover moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Rosa produced thunderstorms over the Mojave Desert and southern Great Basin. Some storms produced flash flooding.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS VEF wrote it up.

A strong Pacific low pressure system plus leftover moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Rosa produced thunderstorms over the Mojave Desert and southern Great Basin. Some storms produced flash flooding.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 3, 9:33 AM PST, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 9:33 AM PST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1033 AM PDT Wed Oct 3 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through
the afternoon, with isolated heavy rainfall possible. An approaching
Pacific storm system will increase thunderstorm coverage this
evening, especially over Mohave County and adjacent areas of Clark
and Lincoln counties, where severe storms will be possible. Cooler
storm systems coming in from the north will bring unsettled
conditions with below normal temperatures over the weekend into
early next week.
&&

.UPDATE...Isolated thunderstorms were already firing this morning
over southeast Lincoln/northeast Clark counties. Lines of convection
were oriented from south to north and could be seen on satellite
loops becoming more enhanced. The upper low off the California Coast
will finally move inland over the next 12 hours and increasing
upward forcing and wind shear along the leading edge will produce
organized bands of thunderstorms especially across substantial
portions of southern Nevada and northwest Arizona...especially after
sunset through the overnight hours. Isolated severe thunderstorms
will be possible and the best threat areas will be over Lincoln,
northeast Clark and Mohave County. Since conditions for organized
thunderstorms will come together primarily after dark...storms will
not be quite as strong as they otherwise would with the aid of
daytime heating. Minor changes will be made to the PoP/WX/QPF grids
based on 12Z model input, but the going forecast detailed in the
previous discussion appear to be on track.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...232 AM PDT

.DISCUSSION...through Saturday night. Satellite and area radars
showed isolated showers and thunderstorms bubbling early this
morning in an arc from near Tonopah across Lincoln County and
southward into northern Mohave County. This general area should be
favored for more development this morning, then chances start to
increase across the western zones as the Pacific low off Point
Conception finally opens up and swings inland. This low will take on
a negative tilt as it comes inland this evening, enhancing difluence
and deep layer shear ahead of it. This will act on moderately
unstable air to kick off possibly severe thunderstorms late this
evening. The high resolution models are targeting Mohave County for
the brunt of it, with perhaps a secondary max in Lincoln County and
a few storms in far eastern Clark County. Previous forecast had this
idea pretty well in hand, and made only minor tweaks. Precip chances
will decrease from southwest to northeast tonight as the low moves
through. Leftover showers Thursday morning will increase in the
afternoon and evening across the southern Great Basin as a northern
stream shortwave trough passes through, leaving dry weather in its
wake Friday afternoon. This will be short lived however, as another
northern stream trough digs in and amplifies over our area Saturday,
with shower chances increasing from north to south as the day goes
on. Since these two waves will be coming from the Gulf of Alaska,
they will bring more chilly air, keeping temperatures below normal
over the weekend.
&&

.AVIATION...For McCarran...Southerly winds will prevail for the
upcoming TAF period. Speeds will remain between 8-11 knots for much
of the morning before gusts become more prevalent during the
afternoon with speeds up to around 20 knots through this evening.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening
in the vicinity of the terminal. Storms lingering into the overnight
period cannot be ruled out but confidence is not high in location or
timing so there is currently no mention of storms after 03z
Thursday. A scattered cloud deck around 8k feet will be possible
once again today; lowering with any showers or storms that directly
affect the terminal. Tonight southwest around 10 knots will be
likely.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...South to southwest winds will prevail for the period;
becoming gusty during the afternoon and early evening. Speeds should
remain between 10-15 knots gusting 20-25 knots. Scattered storms
will be possible again today across most areas. The highest coverage
will be during the afternoon and evening across Lincoln, Mohave,
Clark, and northern Inyo counties. Potential exists for isolated,
strong storms lingering into the overnight hours across southern
Nevada and northwest Arizona but confidence is low in specifics at
this time. Cigs between 6k-8k feet will be likely today; lowering
with any showers or storm activity. Gusts should become intermittent
after sundown.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Severe thunderstorms will be
possible Wednesday evening, especially in Mohave County and nearby
areas of Clark and Lincoln counties. Isolated flash flooding will
also be possible. We encourage spotters to report any significant
weather or impacts in your area.
&&

UPDATE...Adair
DISCUSSION...Morgan
AVIATION...Guillet

For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:

http://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter

The radar

The Cedar City radar (KICX), 145 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Lincoln

When
October 3, 11:15 AM PST to 1:00 PM PST
Where
Lincoln County, 1.01 mi E of Pioche to 1.03 mi E of Pioche
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.930, -114.451

Flash flooding on Main Street in Pioche left water and debris in the street and water in several buildings.

Thunderstorm Wind, Clark

When
October 3, 9:54 PM PST to 10:00 PM PST
Where
Clark County, 7.43 mi ENE of Boulder City to 5.22 mi SSW of Callville Bay
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
36.014, -114.744

Two sensors measured wind gusts to 60 and 58 mph.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nevada in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Nevada, October 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 780106, 780107.