Montana, 2018

Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in Montana, February 4 to 5, 2018

February 4 to 5, 2018 · NWS GGW · 3 events in 1 county or zone

A cold front moved into the region from the northwest, crossing the northern Rockies. This brought a few inches of snow to much of northeast Montana, with up to 8 inches falling across Petroleum County.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

A cold front moved into the region from the northwest, crossing the northern Rockies. This brought a few inches of snow to much of northeast Montana, with up to 8 inches falling across Petroleum County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 4, 2:23 PM MST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 2:23 PM MST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
223 PM MST Sun Feb 4 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon Update (2pm MST): No major changes to the forecast were
made this afternoon. Radar returns show that the leading edge of
the next system is beginning to impinge upon the southwestern
portions of the region, consistent with the ramping up of PoPs in
that area. Headlines for the expected storm are unchanged as the
accumulations in that part of the region are still consistent with
the morning package. In the extended, the next potential storm to
move over the region on Thursday was ramped up just a bit from the
morning package, with a larger swath of greater accumulations,
however some model uncertainty as to the track of strongest
precipitation rates still exist, so confidence in amounts is
medium at best at the moment. The rest of the forecast was in good
shape. Bigelbach

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: Model data is fairly concise and in
excellent agreement, but the layout and timing of the various
winter weather hazards are a bit complex.

Wind Chills: Current ongoing threat of 25 below zero to 35 below
zero early this morning is for all of NE Montana, but after
sunrise today, near and north of Highway 2, wind chills of 20
below zero to 25 below zero will linger/persist through today,
then return a bit colder, say 25 below zero to 30 below zero, for
tonight through Monday morning. Locations south of Highway 2 will
not have cold enough wind chills to warrant an advisory there
after sunrise today.

Snow: Early this morning, excellent and consistent radar echoes
are showing the snowfall from late last night is now only barely
clipping the SW corner of our Petroleum County. This is in great
agreement with model consensus data which shows this snowfall
slowly diminishing and moving away toward the SW through the
remainder of this morning. By this afternoon or early this
evening, the next round of snowfall is expected to surge back into
the area and push into our western and southwestern zones. Careful
analysis of the model data indicates that snowfall there will be
persistent from then through Monday morning. As the majority of
that snow for our area will be over Petroleum County, we chose to
issue a Winter Storm Warning there for 6-7 inches of new snow. It
should be noted that models also showed a hint of freezing rain
mixing in with the snow from around 6PM tonight to midnight, but
current thinking is that snow will be the overwhelming dominant
precipitation type. A Winter Weather Advisory for 2-4 inches of
new snow seemed more appropriate for areas NE of the warning - our
SW Phillips County and Garfield County (west side). Later on
Monday, that snow will diminish but could linger over Petroleum
County a bit longer, so kept the Warning there going out through
Monday afternoon.

The weather pattern remains much the same throughout the rest of
the forecast package. Models are in fairly good agreement that
another round of snow will spread a wide swath of an additional
4-6 inches through most of NE Montana from Wednesday night through
early Friday morning.              BMickelson

&&

.AVIATION...

Expected Flight Category: VFR

Synopsis: A strong arctic cold front has pushed the cloud deck
well south and west of the sites, allowing for clear skies across
much of the region. Flying conditions for the rest of today
should be pleasant. Tonight, another surge of moisture brings
clouds back over the sites, though ceilings are expected to remain
at VFR levels. There is a slight chance that sites such as GGW
and GDV may be close enough to the expected snow band to receive
some vicinity flurries/showers, but confidence in that is low.

Winds: Expect light and variable at GGW, with southwest 7-12kt
winds at OLF/SDY/GDV today. Tonight, the winds turn at all sites
to northwest and remain around 5-10 kts.

Bigelbach

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Advisory until 11 AM MST Monday for Central and
Southern Valley...Daniels...Eastern Roosevelt...Northern
Phillips...Northern Valley...Sheridan...Western Roosevelt.

Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM MST Monday for Garfield...
Southwest Phillips.

Winter Storm Warning until 5 PM MST Monday for Petroleum.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 winter storm, 1 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Petroleum

When
February 4, 4:30 PM MST to February 5, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Petroleum forecast zone
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Petroleum County sheriff reported 8 inches of new snow with drifts up to approximately two to three feet deep. Light snow was still falling at 8 AM on the 5th but stopped shortly after.

Heavy Snow, Petroleum

When
February 4, 4:30 PM MST to February 5, 8:00 AM MST
Where
Petroleum forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Cooperative observers east northeast of Flatwillow and north northeast of Winnett reported 24 hour snowfall totals of six to eight inches.

Winter Storm, Petroleum

When
February 4, 6:00 PM MST to February 5, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Petroleum forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
47.118, -108.250 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Road conditions were treacherous due to drifting and blowing snow. At around 1 AM local time, Highway 200 was closed east of Winnett due to severe driving conditions and a semi trailer blocking the road. The Montana DOT road conditions web-site showed improving conditions by 7 AM.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 738489, 738505, 738490.