A cold front brought more showers and thunderstorms to the region on the 13th and 14th. This rain fell on ground that was very moist from the excessive rainfall in March and early April.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A cold front brought more showers and thunderstorms to the region on the 13th and 14th. This rain fell on ground that was very moist from the excessive rainfall in March and early April. As a result, rapid runoff caused the St. Francis River to exceed flood stage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 14, 1:03 PM CST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 203 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018 There will continue to be a tropically connected train of rainfall streaming into/across our eastern third of the FA thru the overnight hours, as the upper Low spins toward us from the west. Upwards to 1-2 inches may still fall in our farthest eastern counties (see ESF). The occluding surface features will move east of the FA by tmrw morning, and the upper Low will make its pass about 12-18 hours after that. Til then, anticipate lingering clouds/showers, wind. After that, cooler/drier air works in/gradually down/throughout the column. Sunday dew points drop into the 30s with 20s perched to our west. Sunday night lows, despite lingering cloud and wind that will preclude widespread frost, drop to near freezing. Monday will be 40s/50s for highs despite more earnest return of sunshine, and we see those dew points in the 20s work in. Lows Mon night will again near freezing, across our north, where diminishing wind/cloud make frost most likely, and a potential future headline. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018 Above normal confidence in much of the extended forecast with tranquil weather expected for much of this period. On Tuesday morning, upper level ridging is working into the area from the west, as troughing is located across both the eastern and western U.S. A progressive pattern is expected, with the upper level trough shifting east into our region by Wednesday night into Thursday. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to be centered across the southeast U.S. on Tuesday, with it's influence stretching into our area. A dry warm front looks to lift northward through the day, as low pressure develops across the central Great Plains. Southerly winds will usher in warmer conditions (near to slightly above normal) for Tuesday, lasting into Wednesday. The aforementioned low pressure will pivot eastward into the Great Lakes region, pushing a cold front through the region sometime on Wednesday. With the lack of appreciable moisture return from the Gulf, very little measurable rain is expected. Some models do spit out a few hundreths of QPF, with the best chance of that appearing to be in our eastern counties at this point. However, continued with silent PoPs for now as models disgree on the timing on Wednesday. Cooler below normal temperatures return on Thursday and Friday, but not as pronouced as the early week cold spell. Our next decent chance of rain waits until sometime next weekend (yes possibly another wet weekend, unfortunately). As is typically the case 7 days out, models disagree on the exact timing. && .AVIATION... Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018 Periodic restricted cigs in the MVFR range will continue to plague terminals thru the pm hours. Redeveloping/more concentrated rainfall will be in the east, primarily an impact for KEVV/KOWB, where vsbys may also entertain restrictions in shower activity. Don't anticipate cigs improving a whole lot during this package, but better conditions for that will be tmrw, when winds become more westerly oriented and draw in some drier air. Until then, gusty southerlies are the rule. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 135 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-151000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 135 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight The thunderstorm chance has diminished, and severe storms are not expected. Locally heavy rain may still occur, particularly east o the Lakes in western Kentucky. Refer to the Hydrologic Outlook product for additional details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Freezing or near freezing temperatures are forecast Sunday night, but a little wind and cloud should preclude a widespread frosting. Better frost chances are slated for Monday night, particularly across northern portions of the region, with clearing skies, lighter winds, and lows forecast near freezing. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred on the St. Francis River. Low-lying woods and fields near the river were inundated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, April 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 746789.