Kansas, 2018High Wind in Kansas, March 16, 2018
March 16, 2018 · NWS DDC · 11 events in 6 counties and zones
Strong west to northwest winds behind a trough of low pressure or Pacific front occurred across the western half of the area during the morning.
Every event with a place to put it; 11 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 11
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong west to northwest winds behind a trough of low pressure or Pacific front occurred across the western half of the area during the morning.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 16, 2:45 AM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 2:45 AM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
345 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018
...Updated Short Term and Long Term Sections...
.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 342 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018
Water vapor loop and RAP analysis revealed very well-structured mid
latitude cyclone deepening across far west central Kansas. Mid level
dry intrusion was nosing up into northwest Kansas as the mid level
potential vorticity anomaly was making its way across far southwest
Kansas. Wrap-around shower activity was pushing into the far western
counties from Baca-Prowers County, CO. This axis of shower activity
is expected to wane through 13-14Z, and will carry 20-30 POPs in the
far west for this. Very strong winds in the 35 to 50 mph range will
likely accompany these early morning showers, with perhaps an
isolated gust to 60 mph.
Later on today, once insolation sets in, the boundary layer will
deepen and we will start to mix down some 40 to 50 knot winds to the
surface in gusts out of the northwest. The High Wind Warning remains
in effect. The NAM model appears to be too weak with kinematics as
compared to the GFS and ECMWF, thus is discounted. We added a few
more counties to the HWW (Ness, Pawnee, Stafford, Pratt), especially
considering that the latest ECMWF continues to maintain near 65
knots at 700mb. As far as temperatures go this afternoon, there
should be a fairly decent gradient from lower 50s up in Scott County
to lower 70s across southern Barber County this afternoon.
By sunset, winds will decrease markedly to around 15 mph, with a
further decrease through the late night hours. Clearing sky and
light winds will allow temperatures to bottom out in the upper 20s
to around 30 most locations.
.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 342 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018
A very intriguing forecast for Sunday Night and Monday. There is now
increasing confidence in at least a moderate precipitation event
across a fair portion of southwest Kansas...and if the past couple
runs of the ECMWF hold any weight (which it usually does!), then
potentially major precipitation event. The ECMWF remains the
farthest south and strongest solution with respect to the 500mb low
development. In fact, it has a 500mb low deepening from 548 to 541
decameters to the south of southwest Kansas late Sunday through
early Monday. This would be a classic path along with deepening at
the right time for southwest Kansas heavy precipitation. It is no
surprise, then, that the ECMWF is showing a large area of 1-inch
plus QPF from DDC to HYS and surrounding region. It is important
to note, however (and this cannot be stressed enough!), that this
track forecast is still subject to change, and if the ECMWF
trends more toward the northern GFS solution and/or speeds up then
much less precipitation will occur over southwest Kansas.
Nevertheless, official POP and QPF grids continue to increase.
Some folks (and maybe a lot?) across Kansas are going to see a
very nice amount of rain with this storm as it appears to be
shaping up given the vast amount of upward vertical motion with
such a deepening, compact mid level cyclone. Portions of south
central and even southwest KS will see thunderstorms as well on
Sunday Night. As the nose of some lower 50s dewpoints pull back
northwestward, MUCAPE will increase and it is distinctly possible
we could see a marginally severe storm or two across far southern
Kansas, perhaps including our southeastern counties.
After this storm passes by Monday Night, we will see temperatures
slowly climb back through the 50s (Tuesday), 60s (Wednesday), and
eventually lower 70s by Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018
Winds will be the main story this TAF period as they veer around
from the current south direction to the northwest later on today.
We will be seeing high wind conditions with sustained speeds of 30
to 35 knots and gusts to around 50 knots at times at DDC and GCK
during the afternoon. This will probably lead to some patchy
blowing dust which may affect DDC and GCK terminals with reduced
visibility below 6 miles, although confidence in visibility
reduction is not high enough to include in this TAF. Otherwise,
VFR flight category is expected, even at HYS, as precipitation and
any ceiling should remain well to the north toward southern
Nebraska.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC 61 31 65 38 / 0 0 0 0
GCK 58 29 65 37 / 20 0 0 0
EHA 67 33 66 38 / 0 0 0 0
LBL 67 32 66 37 / 0 0 0 0
HYS 54 29 60 35 / 20 0 0 0
P28 71 34 64 38 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ today to 8 PM CDT /7
PM MDT/ this evening for KSZ043>045-061>066-074>081.
Red Flag Warning from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ today to 8 PM CDT /7
PM MDT/ this evening for KSZ061-062-074>078-080-081-084>090.
&&
SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Umscheid
AVIATION...Umscheid
High Wind, Stanton
- When
- March 16, 4:00 AM CST
- Where
- Stanton forecast zone
- Measured
- 65 kt (75 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 37.563, -101.784 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Report of an overturned pivot irrigation sprinkler 2 miles northeast of Big Bow.
High Wind, Stevens
- When
- March 16, 4:15 AM CST
- Where
- Stevens forecast zone
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 37.192, -101.312 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Hugoton airport.
High Wind, Seward
- When
- March 16, 4:41 AM CST
- Where
- Seward forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 37.193, -100.851 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Liberal airport.
High Wind, Haskell
- When
- March 16, 5:15 AM CST
- Where
- Haskell forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 37.562, -100.871 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Sublette airport.
High Wind, Seward
- When
- March 16, 5:15 AM CST
- Where
- Seward forecast zone
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 37.193, -100.851 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at a location 4 miles northeast of Hayne.
High Wind, Finney
- When
- March 16, 10:54 AM CST
- Where
- Finney forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 38.044, -100.737 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Garden City airport.
High Wind, Finney
- When
- March 16, 11:07 AM CST
- Where
- Finney forecast zone
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 38.044, -100.737 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Garden City airport.
High Wind, Ford
- When
- March 16, 11:21 AM CST
- Where
- Ford forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 37.692, -99.888 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Dodge City airport.
High Wind, Ford
- When
- March 16, 11:25 AM CST
- Where
- Ford forecast zone
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 37.692, -99.888 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Semi truck overturned by the high wind.
High Wind, Ford
- When
- March 16, 11:55 AM CST
- Where
- Ford forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 37.692, -99.888 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at a location 3 miles west of Bloom.
High Wind, Finney
- When
- March 16, 1:42 PM CST
- Where
- Finney forecast zone
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 38.044, -100.737 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Observed at the Garden City airport.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Rip Current in Texas, March 16, 20181 death · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Missouri, March 16, 2018$95,000 · 1 in hail · 10 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in South Dakota, March 16, 201824 events
- Winter Weather in South Dakota, March 16, 201816 events
- Flooding in South Dakota, March 16 to 27, 20189 events
- Winter Weather in Iowa, March 16, 20189 events
- Hail in Kentucky, March 16, 2018$10,000 · 1.75 in hail · 6 events
- Winter Storm in Nebraska, March 16, 20185 events
- Winter Storm in South Dakota, March 16, 20185 events
- Winter Storm in Nebraska, March 16, 20183 events
- Wildfire in Oklahoma, March 16, 20183 events
- Drought in Texas, March 16 to 29, 20182 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 747970, 747965, 747968, 747964, 747966, 747971, 747973, 747972, 747974, 747975, 747976.