Guam, 2018

Hurricane in Guam, September 10 to 11, 2018

September 10 to 11, 2018 · NWS GUM · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Typhoon Mangkhut passed across the Marianas Sept 10th and 11th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$7.6 million
Crop damage
$2.0 million
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GUM wrote it up.

Typhoon Mangkhut passed across the Marianas Sept 10th and 11th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Guam wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 7:05 AM UTC, 6 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 7:05 AM UTC, 6 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tiyan GU
505 PM ChST Sun Sep 9 2018

.Marianas Synopsis...
Typhoon Mangkhut is centered about 500 miles east of Saipan near
15N153E moving briskly west at about 23 mph. In the Marianas waters,
gentle east winds and combined seas around 3 feet are present. Only
very isolated showers are seen on radar.

&&

.Discussion...
Typhoon Mangkhut appears on track to plow through the Marianas
Monday through Tuesday as a Category 3 to Category 4 typhoon with
winds of 115 mph increasing to 130 mph near the center. At this
point, Rota is forecast to get a direct hit from the typhoon, while
for Guam on the south and Tinian/Saipan on the north, winds may
just exceed typhoon force. In such a situation, slight deviations to
the north or south would result in large changes in expected winds
for the individual islands.

&&

.Marine/Surf...
The passage of Typhoon Mangkhut is expected to bring winds over
100 kt and seas 30 ft or higher to portions of the Marianas waters
Monday afternoon and night, subsiding slowly on Tuesday.

&&

.Tropical Systems...
Typhoon Mangkhut is moving steadily west, but does not appear to
be intensifying very quickly at this point. Satellite shows a dry
slot spiralling in toward the center, and in general Mangkhut seems
a little starved for moisture. According to the latest guidance,
Mangkhut should be near its most northerly latitude now, and its
track is expected to begin bending back down to a bit south of due
west tonight on its way to hitting Rota Monday evening. The models
still agree on this taking place, but no sign of the turn is evident
yet. This will be closely monitored overnight, as a failure to make
the turn would have major effects on the forecast!

&&

.Eastern Micronesia...
A surface trough curves southeastward from Typhoon Mangkhut far
northwest of Pohnpei thru a weak circulation just east of Majuro
near 7N175E to beyond the Date Line. A few showers are moving over
Majuro this evening, but a surface ridge with fair weather and light
winds prevails over Kosrae and Pohnpei. The weak circulation with a
trailing pattern of convergence is expected to move slowly westward
in the coming days and cause patchy showers and a few thunderstorms
across the region later this week, perhaps to Kosrae late Monday
night or Tuesday, and for Pohnpei by Wednesday.

&&

.Western Micronesia...
The Yap and Koror forecasts were headlined for hazardous seas
developing by Wednesday.

ASCAT analysis shows a monsoon trough curving east-northeastward
from a weak circulation just NW of Yap at 10N137E across northern
Chuuk State into Typhoon Mangkhut, east of the Marianas at 15N153E.
Currently, patchy showers are just north of Chuuk while light winds
and very isolated light showers are seen near Yap and Koror. As
Mangkhut gradually moves west of the Marianas Tuesday, then westward
over the Philippine Sea, the monsoon flow will increase dramatically
over far Western Micronesia. Shower coverage, winds and waves will
increase by Tuesday and continue thru Thursday. Improving weather
is expected for Yap and Koror by Friday. Chuuk will see a few
lingering showers thru Monday, and some showers may arrive from
the east on Thursday, otherwise mainly fair weather is expected
this week.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...Typhoon Warning for GUZ001>004.

Marianas Waters...Typhoon Warning for PMZ151>154.

&&

Middlebrooke/Simpson/Ziobro

Event by event

1 hurricane (typhoon). Local standard time, as filed.

Hurricane (Typhoon), Guam

When
September 10, 12:00 AM GST to September 11, 12:00 AM GST
Where
Guam forecast zone
Category
2
Property damage
$7.6 million
Crop damage
$2.0 million
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey

A tropical disturbance was located over the Northern Marshall Islands on the morning of 7 Sept 2018. By the afternoon of the 7th the disturbance was classified as Tropical Depression 26W north of Kwajalein. By the morning of September 8th, 26W had intensified into Tropical Storm Mangkhut and was located 130 miles north-northeast of Enewetak. After further strengthening, Mangkhut became a typhoon by the afternoon of September 9th. The typhoon continued to move towards the Marianas and on 10 September the 21-mile-wide eye of Mangkhut passed over Rota about 30 miles to the northeast between 1700 and 1900 ChST. Despite moving away from the Marianas, Magkhut's continued intensification caused winds to decrease rather slowly over the islands. Even though it passed over Rota, the highest sustained wind and highest gust were not observed there, but over northern Guam at Andersen AFB. At Andersen, the winds reached 67 mph with a gust to 87 mph at 2101 ChST (1101Z) on the 10th. On Rota the highest wind observed was 58 mph with a gust to 82 mph between 1600 and 1700 ChST, although winds probably were higher than this over southern parts of Rota as the eye moved over that island. The remote observing system at the airport became inoperative after reporting the peak observation. The airport is located on the northern part of the island while the major population center is on the southern part of the island. There is no observing equipment there, but that location likely experienced the stronger winds. At the time of passage over Rota, Mangkhut was a Category 2 typhoon so sustained winds should have reached near 100 mph. Maximum estimated rainfall was recorded over Guam at Andersen AFB with 9 inches. Rota only measured 1.13 inches but this is in error as the recording rain gauge had no reports after 1800 ChST (08Z) as the the eye wall passed over the island. Rainfall reports in inches on Guam were: Umatic Rain Gauge (RG): 8.46 Almagosa RG near Santa Rita: 10.15 Fena RG at the Reservoir Pump Station, near Santa Rita: 9.1 Windward Hills RG near Talofofo: 7.89 Mount Chachao RG near Nimitz Hill, Piti: 7.74 Dededo RG near Dededo-Yigo boundary: 10.11 Mt. Santa Rosa RG near Pagat, Mangilao: 8.07 Geomag Observatory RG, Andersen AFB, Guam: 10.86 On Guam 1500 people had gone to the shelters, with shelters across northern Guam filled to capacity. As the storms passed over Rota, the strongest winds on Guam were over the northern half. These stronger winds destroyed or heavily damaged many of the tin and wood houses over the northern section of Guam. The typhoon temporarily knocked out 80 percent of the power on Guam, with 100 percent of the power knocked out on Rota. 662 families took to the shelters on Rota and only 76 families did the same on Tinian and Saipan. Preliminary estimates of infrastructure and repair costs were $4.3 million for Guam, and $3.3 million for Rota, Tinian, and Saipan.

What these are

Hurricane (Typhoon)
A tropical cyclone with sustained winds of 64 knots (74 mph) or more, filed per forecast zone for its wind, and with separate events for its flooding, surge and tornadoes.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Guam in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Guam, September 2018The 2018 hurricane season

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 860401.