Strong to severe thunderstorms developed ahead of a strong cold front. These thunderstorms produced high winds and an isolated tornado which caused damage.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.
Strong to severe thunderstorms developed ahead of a strong cold front. These thunderstorms produced high winds and an isolated tornado which caused damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 5:17 PM CST, 58 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 517 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 .DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... 00Z issuance...Main impacts for departures and arrivals overnight will be a lowering in cigs and vsby to IFR/LIFR categories. Some areas could experience onset of localized dense fog reducing vsby to half mile or less. Scattered, to at times numerous shra/and a few tsra lifting northward over the central Gulf coast tonight. Winds mostly south 5 to 10 knots. /10 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 413 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018/ NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/...A vigorous mid level short wave trof mostly to the west northwest of the forecast area this afternoon will continue to track eastward across northern and central parts of MS and AL tonight and early Tue helping to initiate better rain chances across much of the forecast area tonight and during most of the day on Tue. Most of the guidance continues to show the better lift and higher omega values generally to the north of the forecast area through the the next 24 hours limiting the threat for severe weather further south across Southwest AL..Southeast MS and the Western FL Panhandle. The best shear and forcing in the lower levels, mostly from a departing 50 to 60 knot 850 jet, will be squirting northern sections of the forecast area later this evening and overnight coupled with limited instability in the boundary layer during this time frame mainly due to diurnal cooling overnight. Model soundings tonight also depict somewhat of a warm layer between 10 and 15kft helping to keep mid level lapse rates in check, generally running around 6 c/km or less. Plenty of dry air is noted aloft through the period which could help transfer some forward momentum to the surface resulting in gusty winds with some of the stronger thunderstorms later this evening and overnight. As a result expect a few strong thunderstorms to track across the forecast area tonight and early Tue, especially to the north, remaining mostly below severe limits through the near term period. Showers and thunderstorms will be moving out generally from west to east by Tue afternoon with maybe some breaks of sun across extreme northern sections of the forecast by mid to late afternoon. For tonight we also see a good signal for the development of fog late this evening and overnight with some areas possible become dense before the sunrise. Will have to monitor the fog for possible advisories especially near sunrise Tue. Temperatures will be above seasonal norms through tomorrow afternoon due to the increased warm air advection ahead of the short wave trof passing mostly to the north. Lows tonight will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s for most inland areas and the middle 70s near the coast. Highs tue will range from the middle to upper 70s generally along and north of highway 84 and the lower 80s to the south. 32/ee SHORT TERM /Tuesday night Through Thursday night/...A large and broad upper trof over the CONUS amplifies significantly over the central states Thursday into Thursday night in response to a powerful Canadian system. During this period, a series of shortwaves move across the region along with strong surface high pressure building over the central states and into the southeast states. The shortwaves lead to development of a series of surface waves which move along a frontal boundary in the general area while the building surface high pressure later shifts the front into the marine area. The frontal boundary will initially be near the coast Tuesday evening then shifts northward into central Alabama/Mississippi overnight in response to a surface wave progressing along the front from Texas. Will have chance pops near the coast Tuesday evening as the front moves northward with otherwise mainly slight chance pops for the remainder of the night. The front then moves southward back through the forecast area on Wednesday then into the marine area Wednesday night as surface high pressure builds into the region. With the front returning southward through the area along with a continuing series of shortwaves moving across the region, will have likely pops on Wednesday and primarily good chance pops Wednesday night. In response to the amplifying upper trof, an inverted surface trof gradually develops over the area Thursday into Thursday night. Will have likely pops generally over the eastern portion of the area on Thursday where the best coverage of precipitation is expected, with chance to good chance pops further to the west. Chance pops follow for Thursday night. /29 LONG TERM /Friday Through Monday/...The amplified upper trof over the central states takes on a negative tilt while moving off across the interior eastern states through Friday night. The cold front initially over the forecast area Friday morning moves quickly east of the area during the day followed by a dome of cool surface high pressure building into the eastern states through Saturday. Will have likely pops over the southern portion of the area on Friday as a continuing series of shortwaves move across the area along with the exiting front, tapering to chance pops further inland. Dry conditions then develop by Saturday and continue into Sunday. A series of powerful shortwaves move out of western Canada and into the central states, leading to another amplified upper trof developing over the central states and beginning to advance into the eastern states through Monday. Another surface low develops well to the north in response to this next system, and is expected to bring a reinforcing cold front across the Plains and eventually through the forecast area on Monday. No precipitation is expected with the front due to dry deep layer air in place over the region, and a dry forecast continues through Monday. The coldest night of the period looks to be Saturday night when lows range from the upper 30s inland to the lower 40s at the coast. /29 MARINE...Areas of fog, possibly dense, will form mostly over inland bays and sounds and along the immediate coast this evening and overnight then slowly lift through midday. A light to moderate southerly wind flow is expected through early Thu. Later in the week a strong cold front will move south across much of the northern Gulf beginning late Thu night into Fri. A moderate to strong offshore flow is expected in the wake of the front late in the week. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be late tonight through Tue morning followed by better coverage Wed through Fri morning. 32/ee && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Mobile AL 532 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 ALZ056>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-061145- Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland- Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal- Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland- Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal- 532 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Dense Fog Advisory. Moderate risk of rip currents today through Tuesday night for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. ALZ051>055-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-061145- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone- George- 532 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Some strong storms are possible late tonight into Tuesday morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-061145- Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 532 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Small craft should exercise caution across the Gulf waters tonight through the middle of the week. A few strong storms will be possible over the coastal waters Monday night into Tuesday. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 63 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:13 UTC.
1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A food services building and perimeter fence were damaged at the Okaloosa Correctional Facility. Based on an analysis of radar data and pictures from emergency management, the damage was the likely result of a very brief EF-0 touchdown.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2018Warnings in Florida, November 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 791906.