Connecticut, 2018

Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Connecticut, November 15 to 16, 2018

November 15 to 16, 2018 · NWS OKX · 8 events in 8 counties and zones

A wave of low pressure developed along the Middle Atlantic coast during Thursday November 15, 2018. The low was associated with a closed upper level trough across the Midwest.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.

A wave of low pressure developed along the Middle Atlantic coast during Thursday November 15, 2018. The low was associated with a closed upper level trough across the Midwest. As the trough translated eastward into Friday November 16, 2018, the low pressure moved up the northeast coast. The antecedent air mass ahead of the low was cold and dry for the middle of November with temperatures during the morning and afternoon of November in the upper 20s and low 30s. The moisture associated with the trough and low pressure was able to produce moderate to heavy bands of snow as the precipitation began across the entire Tri-State area due to the cold air in place. Once the low drew warmer air from the south, the precipitation gradually changed to a wintry mix and then plain rain, especially for coastal Connecticut. The moderate to heavy wet snowfall impacted the evening rush hour with 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates. Numerous accidents were reported in Southern Connecticut and many motorists were stranded on roads until the early morning hours the next morning. Many tree limbs and branches being brought down by the weight of the snow, which also caused power outages.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 2:48 PM EST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 2:48 PM EST, 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
248 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal storm will impact the region into Friday. High
pressure builds in from the Ohio Valley over the weekend. A cold
front will likely approach from the Great Lakes Sunday night
into Monday. High pressure settles across the area Tuesday and
through the middle of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
A 1009 mb low was analyzed along the SE NC coast. This low will
track up the coast today as high pressure drifts towards the
Canadian Maritimes, then over or just off Long Island Fri AM,
and past Cape Cod by Fri aftn.

Significant update based on latest radar trend snowing hand of
heavier precip developing from DC metro to southern NJ, which
high resolution guidance including the NAM/HRRR/RAP bring into
the area during late afternoon and earlier evening. Despite
easterly flow, temps upstream along the south coast of New
England were in the mid 30s with dewpoints in the lower 20s, so
do not expect too much in the way of maritime moderation at
least into this evening. So the overall trend is for colder and
snowier going into early this evening. NAM may be a bit too
cold in the blyr, but we also started out the day with lower
dewpoints and so greater potential for temps to crash close to
freezing with onset of steady precip this afternoon. Period of
steady snow looks to be heavier and of longer duration than
initially expected, and warmer air aloft does not look to make
it in until about 23Z-00Z around NYC, and to interior sections
til late evening.

With the above in mind, issued winter storm warnings for the
interior where snowfall amounts have been bumped up into the
4-8 inch range, and winter wx advisories have been extended
into NYC and Long Island for 2-5 inch snowfall, with the higher
amounts generally farther away from the immediate coast. Also
bumped up amts along the CT coastline, and the coastal zones
could see some 6-inch amounts north of I-95. Timing of snow in
most places should cause significant disruptions to the
evening commute.

Warm/dry slot should work its way in tonight, with precip
changing over to sleet and then freezing rain. Up to 2 tenths of
an inch ice accretion fcst for portions of the interior. Storm
total snow and ice graphics are posted.

Bl should warm sufficiently along the coasts to limit the fzra
threat there. Should winds there not behave as fcst and back to
the N, perhaps due to the influence of a developing cstl front,
a period of icing would be possible in NYC and portions of wrn
Long Island early this eve.

Wind speeds have been increased in the fcst as well. Speeds of
50 kt were evident blw 2kft in the 00Z NAM. The other modeling
was weaker, so for now a wind advy was not issued. Gusts however
have been increased to 45 mph at the coasts. Peak winds are
tngt, although another burst is possible early Fri as the storm
exits.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
As the low pulls away Fri, there may be another burst of snow on
the back end as the upr low tracks thru and the column cools
rapidly. Convective pcpn is suggested by the models. The primary
area of concern for this is Orange county, perhaps into Putnam,
where a quick additional inch or so could accumulate over
already icy areas.

For all areas, a quick increase in NW winds is expected after
the passage of the low. Borderline advy lvl. For now, wind gusts
are up to 45 mph in the fcst.

Temps are expected to fall thru the day as the colder air spills
in behind the low.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Dry and quiet weather Friday night and into the weekend as high
pressure builds into the area from the Ohio Valley. Temperatures
will be below normal through the weekend with highs ranging between
the upper 30s to mid 40s  and lows ranging between the upper 20s to
low 30s. A cold front then moves across the area from the Great
Lakes bringing scattered snow showers Sunday night into Monday with
dry weather returning as high pressure builds back into the region
Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures for Monday and through the
middle of the week will remain below normal.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A coastal storm will impact the region late today and tonight.

Snow has moved into the terminals lowering cigs to IFR/LIFR.
Expecting conditions to remain low until the changeover happens
later tonight. Vsby will also go down in any heavier snow bands
that develop.

There is some uncertainty as to how long it takes for the snow
to changeover, but all rain is expected by about 00Z in the city
terminals.

For the Lower Hudson Valley terminals, precipitation will begin
as snow before transitioning first to a mix of snow and sleet,
then to a period of freezing rain between 23-02Z.
Frozen/freezing precipitation will linger the longest at KSWF,
which has the potential to see an 8-12 hour period of freezing
rain beginning tonight and lasting into Friday morning.

ENE winds will become gusty late this afternoon into the overnight
hours, with gusts of 35 kts at coastal terminals and gusts of 25-35
kts elsewhere. Gusts should subside briefly towards 12Z as
winds begin to shift back to the NW.

     NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Timing of wintry precipitation this afternoon may
be off an hour or two, and amendments are likely. Snow
accumulations of 3 to 4 inches expected.

KLGA TAF Comments: Timing of wintry precipitation this afternoon may
be off an hour or two, and amendments are likely. Snow
accumulation of 3 to 4 inches expected.

KEWR TAF Comments: Timing of wintry precipitation this afternoon may
be off an hour or two, and amendments are likely. Snow
accumulation of 4 to 6 inches expected.

KTEB TAF Comments: Timing of wintry precipitation this afternoon may
be off an hour or two, and amendments are likely. Snow
accumulation of 4 to 6 inches expected.

KHPN TAF Comments: Timing of wintry precipitation this afternoon may
be off an hour or two, and amendments are likely. Snow
accumulation of 4 to 6 inches expected.

KISP TAF Comments: Timing of wintry precipitation this afternoon may
be off an hour or two, and amendments are likely. Less than 1
inch of snow accumulation is expected.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
.Friday afternoon...VFR. N-NW winds gusting G20-30KT.
.Friday night-Sunday...VFR. NW winds G15-20kt possible on Saturday.
.Sunday night-Monday...MVFR or lower possible in possible rain
or wintry mix. NW winds G15-20KT Monday.
.Tuesday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas will increase to sca lvls by this aftn, and up to
gale tngt. The gales will diminish from w to e Fri. SCA level
conditions expected across the area waters Friday night and into
Saturday morning. Seas and winds subside to below SCA
conditions by Saturday afternoon. A frontal system could produce
SCA conditions Sunday night into Monday, mainly on the ocean.
As high pressure builds back across the area waters seas fall
below SCA conditions Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Liquid equivalent precip of 1.0-1.5 inches expected into Fri.
Much of this across the interior will fall as snow or a wintry
mix. Elsewhere, minor urban and poor drainage flooding may be
possible.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strengthening E winds will result in tidal departures of 3 ft
above astronomical tides around the times of high tide tonight.

Vulnerable south shore back bays should exceed minor coastal
flooding thresholds, and western Long Island Sound locations.
Coastal flood advisory will be posted for these areas.

Elsewhere, will issue a coastal flood statement for more
localized minor flooding, including eastern Long Island and
the lower NY Harbor.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) will remain off
the air for an extended period of time.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Friday for CTZ005>008.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM EST this evening for
     CTZ009>012.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Friday for CTZ009-
     010.
NY...Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Friday for NYZ068>070.
     Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for NYZ071.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ072>075-176>179.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 AM to 8 AM EST Friday for NYZ071-
     073-078-177.
     Winter Storm Warning until 10 AM EST Friday for NYZ067.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 6 AM EST Friday for NYZ080-
     178-179.
NJ...Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Friday for NJZ002-103.
     Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST this evening for NJZ004-
     104-105-107.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     NJZ006-106-108.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ330-
     335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
     Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Friday for
     ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-355.
     Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EST Friday for
     ANZ338.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMC/Fig/Goodman
NEAR TERM...JMC/Goodman
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...Fig
AVIATION...CB
MARINE...JMC/Fig
HYDROLOGY...JMC/Fig
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 12:47 PM EST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

NJZ002-103-NYZ068>070-161800-
Western Passaic-Western Bergen-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NJZ004-104-105-107-161800-
Eastern Passaic-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Western Union-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ067-161800-
Orange-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072-074-075-161800-
Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-New York (Manhattan)-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ009-010-161800-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ005>008-161800-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ071-161800-
Southern Westchester-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ073-176-177-161800-
Bronx-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-355-161800-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ079-081-161800-
Northeastern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ178-179-161800-
Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ078-161800-
Northwestern Suffolk-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Snow late this afternoon should change to rain this evening. It is
possible that amounts higher than forecast could occur and that a
Winter Weather Advisory may need to be issued.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-161800-
Southwestern Suffolk-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Snow late this afternoon should change to rain this evening. It is
possible that amounts higher than forecast could occur and that a
Winter Weather Advisory may need to be issued.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ338-161800-
New York Harbor-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ011-012-161800-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
1247 PM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected that would meet NWS warning
criteria.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches...warnings and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 15, 2:23 PM EST, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
223 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

CTZ009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069>075-078>081-176>179-152045-
Southern Fairfield-Hudson-Western Union-Western Passaic-Eastern
Bergen-Eastern Union-Eastern Essex-Western Bergen-Western
Essex-Eastern Passaic-Southwest Suffolk-Northern
Nassau-Orange-Southern Queens-Bronx-Northeast Suffolk-Southern
Nassau-Rockland-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northwest
Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Southern Westchester-New York
(Manhattan)-Northern Westchester-Richmond (Staten Is.)-
223 PM EST THU NOV 15 2018

...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...HUDSON...
PASSAIC...UNION...BERGEN...ESSEX...SOUTH CENTRAL ORANGE...QUEENS...
RICHMOND...BRONX...KINGS...ROCKLAND...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...
SUFFOLK...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) AND NASSAU COUNTIES...

At 221 PM EST, an area of heavy snow was located along a line
extending from near Alpha to Sheepshead Bay to 6 miles east of Robert
Moses State Park. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Islip, Newark, Jersey City, Jamaica, Yonkers, Paterson, Elizabeth,
Stamford, Flatbush, Norwalk, New Rochelle, Flushing, Passaic, Bayonne
and Brentwood.

Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile in
this area of heavy snow.  Snowfall rates will average between 1 and
2 inches an hour.  Travel will be difficult and should be avoided
where possible.

Icy roads are possible as the snow melts on the roads then quickly
refreezes.

LAT...LON 4060 7446 4091 7427 4100 7430 4104 7450
      4109 7450 4123 7434 4112 7323 4100 7361
      4085 7376 4084 7375 4095 7349 4091 7322
      4098 7312 4099 7264 4110 7241 4104 7220
      4110 7207 4077 7270 4062 7322 4056 7392
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 236DEG 28KT 4070 7513 4060 7393 4061 7314

JE

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 winter storm, 2 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Southern Fairfield

When
November 15, 3:00 PM EST to 10:30 PM EST
Where
Southern Fairfield forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.285, -73.339 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotters, amateur radio, CoCoRaHS, and the public reported 4 to 7 inches of snow. There were major travel disruptions on the Metro North during the evening commute.

Winter Weather, Southern Middlesex

When
November 15, 3:30 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Southern Middlesex forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.451, -72.508 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotters and amateur radio reported 3 to 5 inches of snow.

Winter Storm, Southern New Haven

When
November 15, 3:30 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Southern New Haven forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.443, -72.965 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotters and amateur radio reported 4 to 7 inches of snow. There were major travel disruptions on the Metro North during the evening commute.

Winter Storm, Northern Fairfield

When
November 15, 3:45 PM EST to November 16, 10:00 AM EST
Where
Northern Fairfield forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
41.285, -73.339 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An Emergency Manager in Bethel reported 8 inches of snow. A trained spotter in New Fairfield reported 12 inches of snow. Trained spotters, Amateur Radio, CoCoRaHS, and the public reported 6 to 9 inches of snow.

Winter Storm, Northern Middlesex

When
November 15, 4:30 PM EST to November 16, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Northern Middlesex forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.451, -72.508 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotters and the Broadcast Media reported 6 to 7 inches of snow.

Winter Storm, Northern New Haven

When
November 15, 4:30 PM EST to November 16, 7:00 AM EST
Where
Northern New Haven forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.443, -72.965 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Trained spotters, Broadcast Media, Social Media, and the public reported 6 to 10 inches of snow.

Winter Storm, Northern New London

When
November 15, 5:00 PM EST to November 16, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Northern New London forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
41.504, -72.101 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The public reported 5 to 7 inches of snow.

Winter Weather, Southern New London

When
November 15, 5:00 PM EST to November 16, 10:00 PM EST
Where
Southern New London forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
41.504, -72.101 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

CoCoRaHS and trained spotters reported 4 to 5 inches of snow.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Connecticut in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Connecticut, November 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 795383, 793803, 795378, 793800, 793802, 793804, 793806, 793807.