California, 2018

Flash Flood and Debris Flows in California, November 28 to 30, 2018

November 28 to 30, 2018 · NWS STO · 9 events in 3 counties and zones

Heavy snow brought travel delays in the mountains, with nearly 4 feet of snow at and above pass levels. Heavy rain brought ash flows and debris flows over some recently burned areas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$200,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

Heavy snow brought travel delays in the mountains, with nearly 4 feet of snow at and above pass levels. Heavy rain brought ash flows and debris flows over some recently burned areas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 27, 3:32 PM PST, 8 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 27, 3:32 PM PST, 8 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
332 PM PST Tue Nov 27 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
An unsettled weather week will keep rain and wind in the valleys
and snow in the mountains. Snow will remain along the highest
peeks tonight through Wednesday, with scattered rain showers in
the valley. A stronger/colder weather system will move in
Wednesday night through early Friday, bringing some of the lowest
snow levels thus far this season. A brief break Friday before yet
another system moves in Saturday. Keep those umbrellas handy and
snow supplies in your car if heading in the mountains the next 5
days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The first in a series of weather systems is moving through NorCal
today. A band of rain and high elevation snow has been slowly
moving through NorCal all day, and is currently pushing through
the Sacramento valley this afternoon. Scattered valley rain
showers will linger in the valley through this evening and
overnight hours with snow continuing to impact passes above 6000
feet. Therefore, the winter weather advisory will remain in affect
through Wednesday.

A second, more impactful system, is on the heels of this first
system later Wednesday night and Thursday. This next system will
have heavier precipitation, possible thunderstorms, gusty winds
and heavy snow over the mountains with lowering snow levels. Due
to the potential for thunderstorms, have issued a flash
flood/debris flow watch for the Camp, Mendocino Complex and Carr,
Hirz-Delta fires for late Wednesday night through Thursday morning.
The winter storm watch has been upgraded to a warning for the
Sierra Nevada mountains and extreme southern Cascade Range.

Somewhat drier and more settled weather returns Friday, but
shower chances linger over the mountains.

MEAD
&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Saturday THROUGH Tuesday)

The third and final disturbance within the trio of Pacific
systems will take aim at the Northern California coast on
Saturday morning. While well advertised by the latest model
guidance, uncertainty still looms with expected impacts over the
region. The GFS and European solutions offer different
perspectives of this system with the former continuing to favor
heavier precipitation. Given this feature currently resides near
the Aleutians across far southwestern Alaska, much will likely
change in the upcoming days. At this point, expect additional
rainfall to the region with further snow accumulations over the
mountains. Snow levels could drop to as low as 4,000 feet given
the cold air accompanying this third system. One to two additional
feet of snow is possible which would be on top of what falls the
next few days. Ultimately this may lead to challenging mountain
travel on Saturday.

In the wake of this system, some lingering showers may be
possible over the mountains on Sunday as a weakening upper trough
sits overhead. Residual cloud cover should encourage slightly
below normal daytime temperatures to conclude the weekend. Looking
into next week, a lull in the pattern is anticipated as the next
weather maker sits well offshore. Light northerly flow is expected
at the surface with wind fields calming overnight supporting
chilly overnights. On Monday and Tuesday mornings, Valley lows
are forecast to be in the low to mid 30s with teens prevailing
over mountain locales. Abundant sunshine during the daytime should
bring numbers a bit closer to climatology. The next rainfall
chances should hold off until the middle of next week, but a great
deal of uncertainty exists. BRO

&&

.AVIATION...

Low visibility/ceilings continue at all sites due to rain or
lingering valley fog. Periods of rain will continue overnight
along with IFR/MVFR ceilings/visbys. Another round of
precipitation enters the southern Sacramento valley near 10Z
tomorrow. Timing of this next precipitation may still need to be
adjusted in later forecasts.
&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST Wednesday for West Slope
Northern Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas County/Lassen Park.

Flash Flood Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
morning for the Mendocino Complex, the Carr, Delta-Hirz and Camp
burn areas.

Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM Wednesday to 4 AM PST Friday above
4000 feet for West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada-Western Plumas
County/Lassen Park.

&&

The radar

The Beale AFB radar (KBBX), 24 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 08:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flood, 2 debris flow, 2 heavy snow, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Butte

When
November 28, 12:00 AM PST to November 29, 12:00 AM PST
Where
Butte County, 2.65 mi NNE of Durham to 2.64 mi NNW of Chico
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
39.684, -121.776

Flooding caused traffic delays and one hour of road closures on northbound and southbound Highway 99 from Neal Road to Estates Drive in Chico. Sheetflow was reported from heavy rain off of recently burned areas from the Camp Fire.

Debris Flow, Butte

When
November 28, 1:00 PM PST to 9:00 PM PST
Where
Butte County, 10.29 mi SSW of Merlin to 7.38 mi SW of Merlin
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
39.773, -121.452

There were 10 slides into drainage systems along SR70, withing the Camp Fire burned area. The Concow/Pulga area was still under a mandatory evacuation order due to the Camp Fire. An automated gage at Durham reported very heavy rain from 1-2 pm of 1.64 and a second hour between 2-3 pm of 1.80.

Flood, Butte

When
November 29, 10:02 AM PST to 2:02 PM PST
Where
Butte County, Pulga to 0.62 mi S of Pulga
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
39.800, -121.450

Storms with heavy rain caused mudslides and debris flows on Highway 70 in the Pulga area. Debris flows clogged drains along the roadway. Trees along on roadway had to be removed. Highway 70 east of the West Branch of the Feather River was closed.

Heavy Snow, West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada

When
November 29, 12:00 PM PST to November 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
West Slope Northern Sierra Nevada forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Heavy snow impacted mountain travel over Sierra passes, with snow totals of nearly 4 feet. Caltrans reported a storm total of 46 of snow measured by Castle Peak along I-80. Kirkwood Ski Resort reported 46, Squaw Alpine 45, Bear Valley 25, Kyburz had 10, with 1 down to Camino, elevation 3100'.

Heavy Snow, Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County

When
November 29, 12:00 PM PST to November 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Mt Shasta/Western Plumas County forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

Heavy snow impacted mountain travel with delays and chain controls. There was 32 of snow reported at Lower Lassen Peak.

Flood, Butte

When
November 29, 12:00 PM PST to 1:58 PM PST
Where
Butte County, 3.48 mi ENE of Durham to 3.66 mi ENE of Durham
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
39.670, -121.740

Heavy rain caused sheet flow from the Camp Fire burn scar, which flooded Highway 99 near Neal Road.

Flood, Butte

When
November 29, 12:00 PM PST to 2:19 PM PST
Where
Butte County, 1.48 mi SSE of Mullberry to 1.49 mi SSE of Mullberry
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
39.710, -121.770

Flooding was reported at Honey Run Road and Horse Run Lane in Chico, due to local ponding of water and runoff from the Camp Fire burn scar.

Flood, Butte

When
November 29, 12:00 PM PST to 2:36 PM PST
Where
Butte County, 2.33 mi NNE of Durham to 2.44 mi NNE of Durham
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
39.680, -121.780

A vehicle was reported stuck in flood waters up to mirrors in about 3.5 feet of water.

Debris Flow, Butte

When
November 29, 1:22 PM PST to 9:00 PM PST
Where
Butte County, 1.59 mi SSE of Mullberry to 1.51 mi SSE of Mullberry
Cause
Heavy Rain / Burn Area
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
39.709, -121.767

The Butte County Sheriff's Office issued an evacuation order for Honey Run Road due to flooding, from the 200 block to Skyway including Horse Run Lane. Nearly 100 cars were trapped for at least an hour on Honey Run Road, as two separate debris flows and flooding blocked cars from evacuating safely. Officials from the Butte County Sheriff’s Office confirmed the backup was up to two miles long. An automated gage at Durham reported very heavy rain from 1-2 pm of 1.64 and a second hour between 2-3 pm of 1.80.

Water rescuers were later called out to Honey Run Road in the lower area of Butte Creek Canyon after a white Jeep Cherokee was reported floating down Butte Creek. |The U.S. Army mobilized 19 high water vehicles to rescue the people who were trapped. Evacuation warnings were in place for the Hamlin Canyon and Lower Neal zones, and on the west side of the county at Hegan Lane south to Highway 162 to the Sacramento River.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in California, November 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 789601, 789598, 794023, 789562, 789572, 794025, 794026, 794027, 789599.