California, 2018

Wildfire and High Wind in California, July 23 to 31, 2018

July 23 to 31, 2018 · NWS STO · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

Large wildfires developed across Northern California at the end of July during a period of high temperatures, low humidity and unusually dry fuels. A powerful fire whirl developed with the Carr Fire, creating significant wind damage to western Redding and rapid fire growth.

The toll

Deaths
9
Injuries
22
Property damage
$1.6 billion
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS STO wrote it up.

Large wildfires developed across Northern California at the end of July during a period of high temperatures, low humidity and unusually dry fuels. A powerful fire whirl developed with the Carr Fire, creating significant wind damage to western Redding and rapid fire growth. The Mendicino Complex became the largest wildfire in California history. A state of emergency was declared at state and federal levels due to the fires.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 1:26 PM PST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 1:26 PM PST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
226 PM PDT Mon Jul 23 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Hotter weather returns this week, peaking Wed/Thu. Potential for
an isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm in the mountains
continues into Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Strong upper ridging extending from the Desert Southwest will
result in hotter temperatures across portions of Interior NorCal
this week. AMS warms under increased subsidence with triple digit
heat expanding over the Central Valley through midweek. Wednesday
into Thursday look to be the hottest days this week. Although
marine layer depth is expected to remain somewhat shallow, a
moderate to strong Delta breeze will help to taper some of the
heat in the Delta region, and to a lesser extent in the Southern
Sacramento and Northern San Joaquin valleys.

Afternoon visible satellite imagery showing TCU over our portions
of the Coastal Range and from the mountains of Eastern Shasta
south to the higher terrain of the Northern Sierra Nevada.
Isolated afternoon to early evening showers or thunderstorms will
be possible in these areas, but bulk of activity looks to be near
the Sierra Nevada crest eastward. On Tuesday, midlevel flow begins
to take on a SWly component, with slight chance of afternoon
thunderstorms confined to near the Sierra Nevada crest. SWly
becomes more dominant Wednesday, and thus expect any afternoon
storms will be east of the Sierra Nevada crest.

PCH
&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Friday THROUGH Monday)

High pressure will continue to bring hot temperatures across most
of the region through the extended period. Both GFS and ECMWF
guidance hint at an amplification of the pattern toward the
weekend into next week with the ridge building into the Great
Basin. This could result in stronger onshore flow through the Bay
Area, and modest cooling in Delta Breeze influenced locations.

Dang

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions the next 24 hours. Isolated thunderstorms possible
higher terrain through 03Z. Southwest winds 15-25 kts with gusts
up to 30 kts near the Delta, elsewhere generally less than 10 kts.

IDV / Dang

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 11 PM PDT Thursday for
Central Sacramento Valley-Clear Lake/Southern Lake County-
Motherlode-Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Northern Lake
County-Northeast Foothills/Sacramento Valley-Northern Sacramento
Valley-Northern San Joaquin Valley-Shasta Lake Area / Northern
Shasta County.

&&

Event by event

2 wildfire, 1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Northern Sacramento Valley

When
July 23, 3:00 PM PST to July 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Northern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Deaths
2 direct, 2 indirect
Property damage
$1.5 billion
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue

The Carr Fire began on the afternoon of July 23, 2018, at the intersection of Highway 299 and Carr Powerhouse Road, near French Gulch in Shasta County. The fire is reported to have been started accidentally by a vehicle towing a trailer that had a tire blow out, causing the steel rim to scrape along the pavement, generating sparks that ignited dry vegetation along the edge of the highway. Local winds generated by the fire are reported to have caused the fire to spread quickly.

At the end of July, the fire was the sixth most destructive fire in California history at 112,888 acres, with 1,378 structures destroyed, 965 of them homes. The fire was not fully contained until August 30, reaching 229,651 acres in size with a total of 1,079 residences, 22 commercial structures, 503 outbuildings destroyed. There were also 190 residences, 26 commercial structures, and 61 outbuildings damaged. About 38,000 people were evacuated from their homes. There were a total of 8 deaths from the fire, 3 of them firefighters. A large fire whirl in Redding has been reported as being responsible for 4 of the deaths, and this has been listed as a separate event. Damage costs to insured buildings are estimated at $1.5 billion for the Carr Fire.

High Wind, Northern Sacramento Valley

When
July 26, 7:30 PM PST to 8:00 PM PST
Where
Northern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
Measured
134 kt (154 mph) estimated gust
Deaths
4 direct, 0 indirect
Injuries
6 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey

A powerful fire whirl developed within the Carr Fire in western Redding, CA on July 26th, with winds estimated in excess of 143 mph, equivalent to an EF3 tornado. The fire whirl was estimated to be on ground from 7:30 8:00 p.m. The fire whirl caused extensive tornado-like damage while rapidly spreading the fire. The winds crumpled high tension electrical transmission towers, damaged homes, and debarked and uprooted trees. Wind damaged areas included locations untouched by fire, and included signs of ground scouring. The damage path was 2 miles long, with an estimated width of about half a mile. Three people were killed inside their Redding home after the structure's walls were blown out and the roof collapsed on the occupants. Several other homes suffered significant roof damage. A firefighter was killed while driving his vehicle near the fire whirl. Three bulldozers were impacted by flying debris, rocks, embers, smoke and intense heat, with the operators suffering injuries including burns and cuts from broken glass.

Wildfire, Mountains Southwest Shasta County to Northern Lake County

When
July 27, 12:15 PM PST to July 31, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Mountains Southwest Shasta County to Northern Lake County forecast zone
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Injuries
12 direct, 4 indirect
Property damage
$56 million
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue

The Mendocino Complex Fire (made up of the River and Ranch Fires) spread across Colusa County, Glenn County, Lake County, and Mendocino County, becoming the largest wildfire in California history at 459,123 acres. The Mendocino Complex Fire was not contained until September 18. There were 157 residential buildings destroyed, 123 others destroyed. In addition, there were 13 residential buildings and 24 other buildings damaged. The fires caused at least $56 million in insured property damage. The city of Lakeport, communities of Kelseyville, Lucerne, Upper Lake, Nice, Saratoga Springs, Witter Springs, Potter Valley, and Finley, parts of Hopland, and the tribal communities of Hopland Rancheria and Big Valley Rancheria were evacuated. There was 1 firefighter killed (on August 13), 4 firefighters were injured.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Wildfire, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-28UnknownDirect
Wildfire, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-2881MaleHeavy Equipment/ConstructionDirect
Wildfire, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-08-0940MaleHeavy Equipment/ConstructionIndirect
Wildfire, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-2421MaleHeavy Equipment/ConstructionIndirect
High Wind, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-2637MaleVehicle/Towed TrailerDirect
High Wind, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-265MaleVehicle/Towed TrailerDirect
High Wind, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-264FemaleVehicle/Towed TrailerDirect
High Wind, Northern Sacramento Valley2018-07-2670FemaleUnknownDirect
Wildfire, Mountains Southwest Shasta County to Northern Lake County2018-07-2742MaleUnder TreeIndirect

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in California, July 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 774715, 774718, 774723.