Arizona, 2018Wildfire in Arizona, June 7 to 14, 2018
June 7 to 14, 2018 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone
The Judd Fire was sparked by lightning on the northeast side of the Mule Mountains on June 7th. It burned over 4000 acres before becoming fully contained a week later.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The Judd Fire was sparked by lightning on the northeast side of the Mule Mountains on June 7th. It burned over 4000 acres before becoming fully contained a week later.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 7, 3:50 PM MST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 3:50 PM MST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
350 PM MST Thu Jun 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS...Enough moisture for a slight chance of afternoon and
evening thunderstorms east of Tucson into this weekend. Dry
conditions to occur Monday followed by better thunderstorm chances
across the area by the middle of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered coverage of showers and
thunderstorms across about the southeast half of Cochise County this
afternoon. A couple of rain gauges have recorded just a few
hundredths of an inch, and these amounts are lower versus rain
amounts to near three-tenths of an inch that occurred Wednesday
afternon essentially across the same area. Expect showers and
thunderstorms to dissipate or move east of the area shortly after
sunset this evening.
Various 07/12Z models depict southwesterly mid-level flow to prevail
through Saturday, and the models also depict an enhanced moisture
axis to remain across eastern sections of this forecast area. Thus,
precip chances were adjusted to reflect a slight chance of afternoon
and evening showers/tstms to occur east of Tucson Friday and
Saturday.
Less coverage of showers/tstms should occur Sunday as the mid-level
flow becomes increasingly westerly. However, there should be enough
residual moisture to justify a slight chance of showers/tstms across
portions of Cochise County Sunday afternoon/evening. Have opted for
precip-free conditions area-wide Monday as high pressure aloft is
progged to consolidate over southeast Arizona or southwest New
Mexico. However, given recent model performance, forecast confidence
in a completely precip-free scenario for Monday is low.
Thereafter, the various 07/12Z models suggest increased coverage of
showers/tstms should occur next Tuesday through Thursday as the mid-
level flow becomes more southerly or even southeasterly. Given this
progged flow regime and per coordination with neighboring WFO's,
there is at least a slight chance of showers/tstms by next Thursday
mainly during the afternoon/evening hours.
Forecast high temps Friday through Sunday will generally be at least
a few degrees above normal, then daytime temperatures Monday through
Thursday should moderate closer to seasonal normals.
&&
.AVIATION...Valid through 09/00Z.
FEW-SCT clouds at 6k-10k ft AGL and SCT-BKN clouds 10k-15k ft AGL
mainly southeast of a line from KSAD to KFHU, along with isolated
-TSRA/-SHRA. North and West of a KSAD to KFHU line, clear skies to
SCT clouds at 9k-13k ft AGL. Clearing skies and diminishing
precipitation chance aft 08/04Z. Surface wind SWLY/SLY at 10-15 kts
thru 08/02Z, then surface wind less than 10 kts. Isolated -TSRA/-
SHRA developing again Friday afternoon and evening east of a KOLS-
KSAD line. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...There is a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms mainly east of a Nogales to Hannagan Meadow line
through Sunday. Dry conditions should prevail Monday, then the
coverage of showers and thunderstorms will gradually spread west
across much of the forecast area Tuesday into next Thursday. Dry
lightning and gusty outflow winds will be a concern with any storms
that develop. Outside of thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will generally
be 15 mph or less, except for some afternoon and early evening
gustiness due to the strong daytime heating.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
Wildfire, Dragoon/Mule/Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains
- When
- June 7, 6:00 PM MST to June 14, 6:00 PM MST
- Where
- Dragoon/Mule/Huachuca and Santa Rita Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- State Official
- Coordinates
- 31.834, -110.796 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Judd Fire was started by lightning on June 7th and was contained on June 14th. The fire burned 4,214 acres of scrub oak, brush and grass on the Mule Mountains.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood and Flood in Iowa, June 7 to 9, 2018$800,000 · 18 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Texas, June 7 to 8, 20181 injured · $645,000 · 100 kt wind · 13 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Oklahoma, June 7, 2018$48,000 · 1.25 in hail · 36 events
- Tornado and Flash Flood in Montana, June 7, 2018EF1 · 25 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Montana, June 7, 20182.5 in hail · 26 events
- Damaging Winds and High Wind in Texas, June 7 to 8, 2018$19,000 · 56 kt wind · 9 events
- Volcanic Ashfall in Hawaii, June 7 to 13, 201819 events
- Flooding and Heavy Rain in Iowa, June 7 to 11, 2018$4,000 · 11 events
- Dust Devil in Arizona, June 7, 20181 injured · $1,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Hail in Texas, June 7, 20181.75 in hail · 7 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, June 7, 201855 kt wind · 6 events
- Hail in South Dakota, June 7, 20181.5 in hail · 4 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 768459.