Arizona, 2018Dust Devil in Arizona, June 7, 2018
June 7, 2018 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Prior to cloud and thunderstorm development that afternoon, a dust devil formed during the morning hours, causing damage and one injury in Sierra Vista.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Prior to cloud and thunderstorm development that afternoon, a dust devil formed during the morning hours, causing damage and one injury in Sierra Vista.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 7, 10:05 AM MST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 10:05 AM MST, 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1005 AM MST Thu Jun 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS...Isolated thunderstorms may occur over Cochise County
this afternoon and for areas east of Tucson Saturday. Otherwise, dry
conditions with seasonably hot temperatures into this weekend. There
is potential for increased moisture next week raising the chance for
additional afternoon and evening thunderstorms.
&&
.DISCUSSION...No changes to inherited forecast.
&&
.AVIATION...Valid through 08/18Z.
Clear skies or few clouds above 20k ft AGL west of KTUS through
Friday morning. KTUS vicinity eastward few to scattered clouds at
10k-15k ft AGL into this evening then mainly clear skies late
tonight into Friday morning. Isolated -TSRA/-SHRA this afternoon and
evening east of a KSAD-KFHU line. Surface wind swly/wly 10-15 kts
with gusts near 25 kts. Surface wind variable in direction less than
12 kts at other times. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions will prevail for much of the area
through Monday. The exception is a slight chance of thunderstorms
across far southeast Arizona during the afternoon today and again on
Saturday. Thunderstorm coverage may increase significantly by Tuesday
of next week. Dry lightning and gusty outflow winds will be a
concern with any storms that do develop. Outside of thunderstorms,
20-foot southwest winds will be around 15 mph this afternoon and
again on Sunday. Otherwise, winds will be less than 15 mph except for
some afternoon gustiness due to strong daytime heating.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION /300 AM MST/...Looks like it was an interesting
Wednesday afternoon over Cochise County with our first Severe
Thunderstorm Warning of the season issued.
The forecast for this afternoon is a bit more problematic.
Currently, dewpoints are significantly lower at this time and
looking at that alone there would be no concern. That said, GFS, NAM
and their convective allowing UA WRF versions point to an increase
in moisture from the south later this morning allowing for some
convective development. Looking at their surface fields and model
soundings the southerly flow develops around sunrise 2-6kft above
ground level near the border with moisture rising thereafter through
late morning then drying as we mix it out in the afternoon with the
flow becoming more westerly. The NAM is the most aggressive and has
been leaned away from although last nights UA WRFNAM is fun to look
at with storms developing near the Rincons (supported by the
National Blend as well). The GFS and SREF have the moisture
increase, just not as significant or extensive. With the lack of
observations south of the border, not much real data to go on
although GOES16 does show higher PW values slowly creeping north
over Mexico. For now, I decided to add a slight chance of afternoon
T-storms to the SE half of Cochise County, a smaller area than
yesterday and see how the morning progresses with respect to the
moisture advection.
Outside of that, temperatures rather similar or a degree or two
warmer than yesterday with plenty of sunshine. A light westerly
breeze is expected as well.
At this time, Friday looks to be dry area wide although moisture
continues to lurk just south of the border with storms forming over
the northern Sierra Madre Occidentals. Will need to keep an eye on
potential moisture surging into the SE part of the forecast area. We
do expected some northward moisture creep Saturday and we have a
slight chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for areas east of
Tucson and that still looks good at this time. Remaining quite warm
with highs remaining 4-8 degrees warmer than normal.
Sunday should trend drier thanks to a system passing by well to the
north and westerly flow shunting moisture off to the east and south.
Heights remain fairly high for continued above normal temperatures.
Late Monday onward models continue to point to more of a south to
southeast flow developing with moisture gradually shifting northward
to varying degrees. It does not appear to be a slam dunk as models
have been varying on the degree of moisture transport but it should
be good enough for periods of convection across parts of southeast
Arizona next week.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
Francis
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Cerniglia
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Dust Devil, Cochise
- When
- June 7, 10:30 AM MST
- Where
- Cochise County, 1.94 mi ENE of Sierra Vista
- Injuries
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Newspaper
- Coordinates
- 31.556, -110.268
A dust devil damaged several tents at a farmers market in Sierra Vista. One person suffered a broken wrist and hand when a tent landed on her hand.
- Dust Devil
- A small rotating column of dust from surface heating that caused damage or injury.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood and Flood in Iowa, June 7 to 9, 2018$800,000 · 18 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Texas, June 7 to 8, 20181 injured · $645,000 · 100 kt wind · 13 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Oklahoma, June 7, 2018$48,000 · 1.25 in hail · 36 events
- Tornado and Flash Flood in Montana, June 7, 2018EF1 · 25 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Montana, June 7, 20182.5 in hail · 26 events
- Damaging Winds and High Wind in Texas, June 7 to 8, 2018$19,000 · 56 kt wind · 9 events
- Volcanic Ashfall in Hawaii, June 7 to 13, 201819 events
- Flooding and Heavy Rain in Iowa, June 7 to 11, 2018$4,000 · 11 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Texas, June 7, 20181.75 in hail · 7 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, June 7, 201855 kt wind · 6 events
- Hail in South Dakota, June 7, 20181.5 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Florida, June 7, 20181 in hail · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 782361.