Alaska, 2018

High Wind in Alaska, October 24 to 25, 2018

October 24 to 25, 2018 · NWS AJK · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

A rapidly developing storm center well off Vancuover Island deepened to 964 MB off Dixon Entrance during the afternoon of Wednesday 10/24. The strong associated front moved onto Prince of Wales Island during the early morning of 10/25 as the storm center deepened to 963 MB over the central Gulf.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

A rapidly developing storm center well off Vancuover Island deepened to 964 MB off Dixon Entrance during the afternoon of Wednesday 10/24. The strong associated front moved onto Prince of Wales Island during the early morning of 10/25 as the storm center deepened to 963 MB over the central Gulf. This storm finally dissipated over the western Gulf on the afternoon of 10/25. Minor damage and power outages were reported for several areas of SE Alaska including blown-in windows in Sitka. The highest wind reported was 94 mph at Salmon Landing in Ketchikan.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 24, 1:55 PM AKST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 24, 1:55 PM AKST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
255 PM AKDT Wed Oct 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...Forecast still appears to be on track today as a
storm force low continues to work its way up the eastern gulf
coast, and very little changes were made to the forecast for the
tonight through tomorrow night time period. Observations of gusts
up to 45 mph have already been reported this afternoon for
southern area sites, and some marine buoys in the area are
reporting sustained winds of 40 kt. Canadian buoy 46208 located
just west of Haida Gwaii is currently reporting a gust of 52 kt,
and with sea heights at 26 ft, the gust is more than likely acting
as the sustained wind representation. Rain coverage has also
increased north as the low continues to strengthen, with rain
being reported as far as Gustavus. Areas are beginning to lose
the offshore flow component ahead of the low. Winds will continue
to be the main threat tonight through tomorrow until the low moves
west of Cape Suckling by tomorrow afternoon. Storm force winds
are expected along the eastern gulf marine zones, and strong gales
40-45 kt will work their way through Chatham and Clarence Straits
this evening through tonight. All other inner channel marine zones
can expect 25 to 35 kt winds. High Wind Warnings concerning gusts
to 60 mph remain in effect for Zones 22, 23, and 27, which
include the cities of Sitka, Klawock, and Hydaburg. For many other
locations, gusts between 40 and 55 mph are expected.

Winds should begin to diminish throughout most of the inner
channels tomorrow and tomorrow night as the low tracks further
north and west. As cooler air wraps into the low as it matures,
instability will increase providing the opportunity for potential
thunderstorms beginning late tonight for eastern gulf waters and
areas in the southern panhandle, the possibility extending all the
way into Ketchikan and north into Sitka. This also means that
rain tonight will take on a more convective shower regime by
tomorrow, with more breaks in the precip possible by tomorrow
night. Temperatures tonight through tomorrow night will also be a
struggle to keep up with. Generally, highs will be in the low to
mid 50s and lows will be in the mid to upper 40s, a very weak
diurnal range due to precipitation and cloud cover. However, some
locations may reach their high temps overnight due to mixing from
the winds and possible downslope flow for certain areas.

.LONG TERM.../Friday through Wednesday as of 10 pm Tuesday/
Upper trof will extend from western AK into the Gulf of AK at
beginning of long range period. The trof will move slowly E during
the weekend as upper pattern becomes a bit more progressive. After
the weekend, the flow pattern becomes tricky as models differ on
placement of key shortwave features. At the sfc, looks like a low
or lows will head N into the gulf for the weekend, with important
model differences on track and strength of the low(s). Given the
differences, decided to stick with current forecast for the longer
term period.

One aspect of the longer range forecast that will need to be
monitored is the wind for the weekend. Models suggest the low(s)
will have at least gale force winds, but given the differences in
track, did not have enough confidence in where to boost winds.
Left in the 25-30 kt winds for that time frame for the gulf.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 10 PM AKDT this evening through Thursday
     morning for AKZ026.
     High Wind Warning until 10 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ027.
     Strong Wind from late tonight through Thursday afternoon for
     AKZ025.
     High Wind Warning from 4 AM to 10 AM AKDT Thursday for AKZ022.
     High Wind Warning from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM AKDT Thursday
     for AKZ023.
     Strong Wind from late tonight through Thursday morning for
     AKZ020.
     Strong Wind through Thursday morning for AKZ021.
     Strong Wind until 1 AM AKDT Thursday for AKZ028.
     Strong Wind Thursday afternoon for AKZ018.
     Strong Wind from Thursday morning through Thursday afternoon for
     AKZ017.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ022-041>043-051-052.
     Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-021-031>036-053.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011.

&&

Voveris/RWT

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Event by event

4 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area

When
October 24, 3:00 PM AKST to October 25, 12:00 AM AKST
Where
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
62 kt (71 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS

Prince of Wales Island got hammered by wind on the evening of 10/24. Hydaburg AWOS 62 mph around 1500 on 10/24. Lincoln Island had 54 mph around midnight.

| No damage reported except for power outages.

High Wind, Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area

When
October 24, 6:00 PM AKST to October 25, 6:00 AM AKST
Where
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Unknown

Windows were blown-in at one home in Sitka after freight-train-like gusts during the night of 10/24. Cape Decision had a max gust 64 mph during that evening. Max gust at AML was 54 mph. Max gust in Sitka Harbor was 59 mph at around 1900 on 10/24.

High Wind, Southern Inner Channels

When
October 24, 6:49 PM AKST to October 25, 12:00 AM AKST
Where
Southern Inner Channels forecast zone
Measured
82 kt (94 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

The Clarence Strait area got hammered by wind on the evening of 10/24. Salmon Landing measured a gust 94 mph around 1900 on 10/24. No damage reported except for power outages.

High Wind, Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area

When
October 25, 3:00 AM AKST to 9:00 AM AKST
Where
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
Reported by
C-MAN Station

The coast around Cross Sound got hammered by wind on the night of 10/24 and the morning of 10/25 . Maximum gust at Cape Spencer was 60 KT or 72 mph at 0300 10/25. No measurements were made at Elfin Cove Tide Gauge, and no damage was reported.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, October 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 782988, 782968, 782986, 782981.