Storm Surge/Tide, Baldwin Coastal
- When
- September 4, 3:00 PM CST to September 5, 9:00 AM CST
- Where
- Baldwin Coastal forecast zone
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 30.661, -87.750 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall just west of the Alabama-Mississippi at 1015 PM CDT on September 4, 2018 with estimated maximum sustained winds of 70 mph. Gordon then tracked northwest into portions of inland southeast Mississippi late on the night of September 4th into the early morning of September 5th.
Every event with a place to put it; 9 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.
Tropical Storm Gordon made landfall just west of the Alabama-Mississippi at 1015 PM CDT on September 4, 2018 with estimated maximum sustained winds of 70 mph. Gordon then tracked northwest into portions of inland southeast Mississippi late on the night of September 4th into the early morning of September 5th.
Gordon produced sustained tropical storm force winds Greene and George counties in Mississippi, coastal Alabama, as well as Escambia County in Florida. The strongest winds were confined to the immediate coast, with Dauphin Island experiencing gusts to hurricane force in the northern eyewall. Wind gusts to hurricane force were reported on Dauphin Island with sustained tropical storm force winds reported as far north as the |Mobile Regional Airport. Some homes on Dauphin Island experienced roof and siding damage. Isolated to scattered down trees and power outages were reported in southern mobile county. Further east, tropical storm force winds, primarily in gusts, impacted areas of Baldwin county south of interstate 10 with the strongest winds along the immediate coast. Strong tropical storm force winds were felt on the Ft. Morgan peninsula where a few homes suffered some siding or roof damage. The steeple was blown off of the Romar Beach Baptist church in Orange Beach. Some trees were downed and scattered power outages were reported. In Escambia County, FL, tropical storm force wind gusts impacted the southern half of the county, especially in the Pensacola metro and the immediate coast. Sustained tropical storm force winds were reported at Pensacola NAS. One fatality was reported near Pensacola when a tree fell onto a mobile home and killed a small child. In Greene and George counties in Mississippi, tropical storm force winds downed trees and power lines, particularly in the Merrill and Richton communities. One home in Richton was significantly damaged by a downed tree.
Storm surge inundation peaked between 2 to 3 feet across coastal Alabama and Escambia County, FL. This resulted in flooding of typically low lying areas of Mobile and Baldwin Counties, including the west end of Dauphin Island and the US Highway 90 Causeway. The Fort Pickens area in Florida experienced significant coastal flooding and beach erosion.
Rainfall totals of 6-12 inches were recorded to the east of the center, primarily over Baldwin, Washington, Choctaw, Clarke, Escamba AL, Escambia FL, and Santa Rosa FL. The highest total measured was 12.45 inches 7 miles ENE of Gulf Breeze, FL. This resulted in areas of flash flooding, along with some significant river flooding. The Styx River reached major flood stage while the Fish River reached moderate flood stage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 4, 10:58 AM CST, 4 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1158 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018
.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...
Widespread MVFR conditions currently exist across the flying area
with gusty easterly surface winds. Conditions are expected to
deteriorate through the day into the evening as winds strengthen
and ceilings/visibilities decrease into the early evening as
Tropical Storm Gordan moves northwestward over the Gulf of Mexico
intensifying to a Hurricane before making landfall along the the
north central Gulf coast. Winds will gradually abate tonight and
flying conditions are expected to improve to VFR/MVFR tomorrow
morning. /08
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1057 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018/
DISCUSSION...See updated information for land and marine areas below.
UPDATE...Tropical Storm Gordon experienced some shear overnight
which disrupted inner core convection. Shear appears to have
relaxed late this morning allowing for better development and
banding of deep convection into the center of circulation. This
suggests a phase of intensification may be taking place and Gordon
is still projected by the National Hurricane Center to strengthen
to hurricane status prior to making landfall along the MS Gulf
coast this evening. Radar is showing rainbands, which will likely
mix down brief but strong wind gusts, moving west and gradually
northward off the Gulf. These bands will increase occur with more
frequency as Gordon gains latitude.
All tropical hazards remain unchanged. The main takeaway
forecasters want to emphasize is that the bulk of the impacts,
being strong winds/heavy rains in squalls, coastal flooding/surge,
and the potential of tornadoes later today and tonight will be on
the right side of where Gordon makes landfall. Remember impacts
from landfalling tropical systems can occur well away from where
the center makes landfall. Stay tuned. /10
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 650 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018/
DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
AVIATION...
12Z issuance...MVFR to IFR cigs and visibilities through 05.12z.
Lower cigs and visibilities mostly in heavy rain bands associated
with Tropical Storm Gordon moving inland along the MS coast late
today or this evening. Expect easterly winds at 15 to 20 knots
early today gradually increasing to 25 to 35 knots by late this
afternoon or this evening with possible gusts to near hurricane
force or around 64 knots mostly at KMOB and KBFM this evening and
overnight. 32/ee
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 506 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018/
NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday night/...Tropical Storm Gordan is now
well over the southeast gulf moving northwest around 15 kt,
progged by the National Hurricane Center to move inland along the
Mississippi coast by this evening. Gordan is looking a little
better over the open gulf waters this morning with an intensity of
55kt from the latest invest. Some shear generally from the west
is noted in the latest satellite and hi res data though this shear
is still forecast to weaken later today before landfall possibly
leading to a minimal hurricane before reaching the coast. As a
result hurricane warnings remain in effect for coastal and central
parts of Mobile and Baldwin counties including the adjacent gulf
waters of from Pascagoula to Pensacola out to 60 nm and the
offshore waters from 20 to 60 nm out from Pensacola to Destin.
Tropical Storm Warnings are also in effect for the adjacent zones
or counties to the north and west which includes Greene and Stone
counties in Mississippi, inland portions of Mobile and Baldwin
counties in Al, all areas of Escambia County in FL and coastal
areas of Santa Rose County also in FL. For this morning expect the
onset of showers and thunderstorms over the coastal waters of AL
and NWFL from 0 to 60 nm out, including most coastal counties of
Al and NWFL generally from the I-10 corridor and southward, then
over remaining areas of the forecast area this afternoon and
evening, then coastal and western sections of the forecast area
from midnight through 7 am Wed morning. With the onset of heavy
rain with Gordon combined with a rather saturated ground surface
for most locations a flash flood watch also remains in effect
which includes all counties over inland southeast Mississippi
stretching east over parts of southwest Al and western sections of
the NWFL. As the system nears and move onshore a marginal threat
for tornadoes also exists. Storm surge advisories and warnings are
also in affect mainly for all coastal areas from Navarre Beach FL
to Pascagoula Ms which includes all inland bays and sounds.
Temperatures will continue to be moderated somewhat due to clouds
and rain, running a few degrees below average during the day and a
few degrees above average overnight and early Wed morning.
High risk for rip currents along the gulf beaches will also continue
through tonight and possibly later the week. 32/ee
SHORT TERM /Wednesday Through Thursday night/...Wednesday into
Wednesday evening, weakening Gordon moves slowly north over the
Lower Mississippi River Valley, bringing continued high chances of
rain to mainly southwestern portions of the forecast area. This
rain and increased cloud cover will help to limit high
temperatures across the area to the low to mid 80s over the
majority of the area, with northeastern portions of the forecast
area seeing highs closer to 90. Flooding issues may continue to
be a problem over the southwestern half of the forecast area,
with continued band of rain from Gordon falling on areas that have
already saw large rainfall amounts. Currently, general rainfall
amounts for this event ending at 7pm CDT Wednesday evening are 3
to 5 inches with local 6 to 10 inches. A Flash Flood watch is in
effect until 10 pm Wednesday evening for Wayne County, Mississippi
to Escambia County, Alabama and counties south. Gordon is
expected to remain close enough to the north-central Gulf coast
Wednesday into Wednesday night to warrant Tropical Storm/Hurricane
Warnings lasting into late Wednesday night before easing.
For the rest of Wednesday night into Friday morning, a surface
ridge over the eastern Conus gets squeezed by a surface front
moving south across the Northeastern Conus/Northern Mississippi
River Valley and another upper system moving west over the
Caribbean. This shifts low level flow from southeasterly to
easterly, bringing drier air over the forecast area. Combined with
increased subsidence from the upper ridge moving across the
forecast area, rain chances decrease to around seasonal levels
(isolated to low end scattered afternoon/early evening showers
and thunderstorms). Highs Thursday rise to around seasonal levels
(upper 80s). Lows Thursday night (low 70s inland to mid 70s along
the coast) remain a bit above seasonal.
/16
LONG TERM /Friday Through Monday/...A shortwave system that has
moved over the western Caribbean meanders northwest across the
eastern Gulf of Mexico, pushing the upper ridge over the Southeast
northward. Highs (upper 80s to around 90) remain at or above
seasonal levels Friday through Saturday, then drop a bit as the
weakening upper system approaches. Lows(upper 60s to low 70s) drop
closer to, but remain a bit above seasonal. Rain chances remain at
near seasonal levels early in the Long Term, then slowly increase as
the upper system approaches the north- central and northeastern Gulf
coast.
/16
MARINE...Marine...Hurricane warnings continue over the adjacent gulf waters
from Pensacola to Pascagoula from 0 to 60 nm out and from Destin to
Pensacola from 20 to 60 nm out, including all inland bays and sounds
from Pensacola west. Tropical Storm warnings also continue for all
other marine zones in the forecast area. Sea up to 20 ft offshore
can be expected later today and tonight and 3 to 4 feet over the
lower end of Mobile Bay and the Mississippi Sound east of
Pascagoula. Southerly winds and seas will begin to subside quickly
as Gordan moves inland overnight with a light to moderate east to
southeast wind flow to continue over the marine area through the
remainder of the week. 32/ee
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ261-262.
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for ALZ052-059-
261>266.
Hurricane Warning for ALZ263>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ201-202-204-206.
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for FLZ201>204.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ075-076-078-079.
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ634-635-655.
Hurricane Warning for GMZ630>633-650-670-675.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mobHazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 ALZ265-266-051045- Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. Hurricane Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. Hurricane Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. ALZ263-264-051045- Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Hurricane Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Hurricane Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. ALZ261-262-FLZ201-MSZ075-076-078-079-051045- Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Escambia Inland-Perry-Greene-Stone- George- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. ALZ051-053>058-060-FLZ205-051045- Choctaw-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Covington- Okaloosa Inland- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Locally heavy rainfall and potential of flooding possible over portions of the area through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Locally heavy rainfall and potential of flooding possible over portions of the area Tuesday and Tuesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. ALZ052-059-FLZ203-MSZ067-051045- Washington-Escambia-Santa Rosa Inland-Wayne- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. FLZ202-204-051045- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. Tropical Storm Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. Tropical Storm Warning. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. FLZ206-051045- Okaloosa Coastal- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. Tropical Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. Tropical Storm Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. GMZ630>633-650-670-675-051045- Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Perdido Bay- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Hurricane Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Hurricane Warning. GMZ634-635-655-051045- Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay- Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL out 20 NM- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Tropical Storm Warning. GMZ636-051045- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 532 AM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Hazardous conditions for small craft expected through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous conditions expected.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
352 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 PM TROPICAL STORM 15 SSE ROMAR BEACH 30.07N 87.55W
09/04/2018 GMZ650 AL BUOY
BUOY 42012 REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35
KNOTS (40 MPH) AND GUSTS TO 47 KNOTS (54
MPH.).
&&
JFBThe Mobile radar (KMOB), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:59 UTC.
11 flash flood, 5 tropical storm, 4 storm surge/tide, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A flooded roadway near Cottage Hill and Bobwhite trail is impassable and blocked off by police.
Heavy rain caused water to cover the road near Highway 98 and State highway 181.
Water over the road on CR 87.
Water over the road near Toddtown Road and Highway 43 between Jackson and Grove Hill.
Buxton Chapel Road closed due to washout from flooding.
Cars were stalled in high water over the road in the Malbis area.
County Road 37 was closed due to a wash out from flooding.
Flood water entered the Library at Wilson Hall Middle School.
Wiggins Road closed due to a washout from flooding.
Old Locke One Road was closed due to flooding.
Wallace Mcneely road and Old Lock 2 road closed due to flooding.
Donovan Circle in the Seminole Landing community along the Styx River was flooded.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, September 2018The 2018 hurricane season
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 785001, 785002, 784993, 784994, 784995, 784996, 784997, 784999, 785000, 785117, 785123, 785125, 785126, 785127, 785348, 785129, 785150, 785151, 785333, 785347, 785152.