West Virginia, 2017

Flash Flooding and Flood in West Virginia, November 6, 2017

November 6, 2017 · NWS RLX · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

In an unseasonably warm airmass, thunderstorms formed along a cold front moving into Ohio from the west on the afternoon of the 5th. These storms were aided by a strong upper level system.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$14,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS RLX wrote it up.

In an unseasonably warm airmass, thunderstorms formed along a cold front moving into Ohio from the west on the afternoon of the 5th. These storms were aided by a strong upper level system. As the cold front moved through that night, training of showers and storms resulted in areas of around 2.5 inches of rainfall. An additional half inch of rain fell on the 6th. Isolated flash flooding occurred during the predawn on the 6th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 6, 3:45 AM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 6, 3:45 AM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
345 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front crosses today. Waves of low pressure move along
the front just south of the area Tuesday and Wednesday. Cooler air
moves in for the end of the work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 225 AM Monday...

A weakening MCV will move across southeast Ohio and northern
West Virginia through the predawn hours, helping to keep the
rain and embedded thunder going. Flash flood watch will continue
as a result with another inch of rain expected across those
locales. The remaining portions of the forecast area will see an
uptick in showers as dawn approaches. Once the MCV feature exits
to the northeast, the cold front will make inroads into the
area. Timing of the boundary puts it along the Ohio River
12-13Z...central WV 14-15Z...and exiting the mountains by 18Z.
Expect coverage of showers to decrease this morning with the
exiting convective system, before increasing along the front as
it crosses. Some storms are possible with the front, especially
east this afternoon...though severe is not expected. Ceilings
will lower behind the front with a period of drizzle possible.
Drier air will allow low stratus to lift a bit across southeast
Ohio and northern West Virginia late afternoon.

Low stratus hangs tough along and south of the I64
corridor this evening while fog tries to develop across the
north/mountain valleys. Attention quickly turns to the next
system. A surface wave will traverse through the
Tennessee Valley tonight and arrive in our area by morning.
Good isentropic lift will aid in allowing rain to overspread
much of the area from west to east during the predawn hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 310 AM Monday...

Models showing several waves moving along the front south of the
region, causing rain over portions of the area Tuesday and
Wednesday. Confidence with the first wave on Tuesday is fairly high.
Timing and placement of the waves then varies for subsequent waves,
leading to lower confidence.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 310 AM Monday...

Models have a reinforcing front moving through Thursday or Thursday
night. The intensity of the cold air behind the front and any
potential upslope snow is still questionable. High pressure will
then build in for Saturday with yet another system possible by the
end of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 115 AM Sunday...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to overspread the area
thru the 12Z with general MVFR vsby amid brief bouts of IFR. An
MCV feature will track across southeast Ohio and across
northern West Virginia in the 8-10Z time frame. General IFR
vsby was coded up for PKB/CKB as it moves through. A broken line
of showers/storms from this feature will move across HTS/CRW
during this time with tempo IFR vsby groups to cover this.

The cold front will cross HTS/PKB 12-13Z...CRW/CKB 14-15Z...and
EKN/BKW 16-18Z. Expect cigs and vsby to lower with fropa with a
broken line of showers and perhaps a few storms. Behind the
front, IFR cigs will quickly develop with a period of -dz
possible helping to keep vsby down into MVFR, possibly IFR.
Conditions will gradually improve from north to south this
afternoon with IFR cigs lifting into general MVFR and any -dz
coming to an end. The exception being BKW where LIFR conditions
should hold through the remainder of the TAF period.

SW winds 10 to 15 kts shift to NW with fropa with a period of
gusts 15 to 20 kts as the front passes. Gusts could be higher
dependent on any convection within the frontal band today.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and effects of showers with the
front may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                   MON 11/06/17
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16
  17
EST 1HRLY       01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11
  12
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    H    M    L    M
   L
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    H    L    H    H    M    M    M
   L
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    L    M    M    M    M    L
   M
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    L    M    L    M    M    M    L
   M
PKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    M    M    H    M    H    H    M    H    H
   M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    H    M    H    H    M    H    M
   L

AFTER 06Z TUESDAY...
IFR possible in stratus in and near the mountains Monday afternoon
and night, and in rain Tuesday into Tuesday night. and then stratus
again Wednesday morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...Flash Flood Watch until 6 AM EST early this morning for OHZ066-
     067.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RPY/30
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...30
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 6, 2:28 AM EST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
228 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

OHZ066-067-070730-
Perry-Morgan-
228 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-
024>034-039-040-515>526-070730-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-Vinton-
Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-
Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-Wirt-
Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-
Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
228 AM EST Mon Nov 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, portions
of southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia and much of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 6, 4:36 AM EST, 24 minutes before
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The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 110 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:02 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Wood

When
November 6, 5:00 AM EST to 9:00 AM EST
Where
Wood County, 1.72 mi ESE of Stewart Arpt to 1.06 mi ENE of Parkersburg
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.292, -81.520

Flash flooding along Worthington Creek resulted in the closure of Old St. Marys Pike and Core Road.

Flash Flood, Ritchie

When
November 6, 5:30 AM EST to 7:30 AM EST
Where
Ritchie County, 2.69 mi N of Toll Gate to 1.25 mi N of Beech Grove
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
39.309, -80.927

Several streets in Pennsboro flooded due to high water on Bunnell Run. A trained spotter also reported 2.50 inches of rain in Harrisville.

Flood, Wood

When
November 6, 9:00 AM EST to 12:00 PM EST
Where
Wood County, 1.7 mi E of Stewart Arpt to 0.61 mi WSW of Boreman
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
39.299, -81.518

Following flash flooding earlier in the day, lingering high water kept some roads closed through late morning. A car became stranded in high water along Old St. Marys Pike and the driver had to be rescued.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in West Virginia in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in West Virginia, November 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 721674, 721687, 721758.