Montana, 2017Winter Storm in Montana, September 15, 2017
September 15, 2017 · NWS TFX · 5 events in 4 counties and zones
A deep upper-level trough and embedded low pressure center moved southeastward from the Gulf of Alaska. Ahead of this system, isentropic lift generated widespread precipitation.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A deep upper-level trough and embedded low pressure center moved southeastward from the Gulf of Alaska. Ahead of this system, isentropic lift generated widespread precipitation. This included accumulating snow in the mountains, especially above 6000 feet MSL. Greater snow amounts were realized in the Central and Southwest Montana mountains compared to farther north.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 4:27 AM MST, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 4:27 AM MST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
527 AM MDT Fri Sep 15 2017
...Updated Aviation Discussion...
.SYNOPSIS...
Widespread rain and mountain snow will continue to develop across
the area today and continue into Saturday. This is the first
significant snowfall of the season for higher elevations, and the
first significant rainfall for much of the area since June. An
overall cooling trend is expected through the end of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Today through Sunday night...
There remains little change with the forecast through the first
half of Saturday. Impressive upper-level low just to our west
along with equally impressive mid-level isentropic lift are
combining to produce widespread rain across north-central and
southwest Montana. Rain, and mountain snow, will end from west to
east Saturday with the passage of the upper-level trough. The
westerly mid-level flow behind this system will help induce a
surface lee-side trough late Saturday into Sunday. This should
help produce some cross-barrier flow across the Rocky Mountains
and the Continental Divide overnight Saturday night into Sunday
morning, which should in turn provide just enough wind to keep
temperatures from dropping to freezing or below over the adjacent
plains. However, this is still somewhat low confidence and will
bear watching. Flat, progressive upper-level ridging moves
overhead Sunday before another storm begins to approach from the
Northeast Pacific late Sunday night. CC
Monday through Friday...All models continue in good agreement
with a very strong upper level disturbance swinging across the NW
US in the beginning of next week. For this region, a fast-moving
cold front will eject eastward which will likely cause some rain
showers, or perhaps a few thunderstorms for central and southern
areas during the afternoon and evening hours on Monday.
Simultaneously, a deep lee-side surface low will begin to develop
just across the Canadian border to the north. This will lead to
increasing pressure gradient winds, coupled by increasing 700mb
winds aloft to create breezy conditions beginning on Tuesday. The
aforementioned upper level disturbance will then likely close off,
allowing for the surface low to stall just to the north which
will keep the area in an unsettled pattern through the rest of the
week along with continued windy conditions. Expect chances of
rain showers, persistent cloud cover and cool temperatures to last
well through the end of the week with temperatures ranging 5 to
15 degrees below climatological normal for this time of the year.
KLG
&&
.AVIATION...
Updated 1127z.
Upper level low pressure trough will remain over the Northern Rocky
Mountain region through tonight, then eject east across our area
Saturday. Widespread low- and mid-level cloud cover will produce a
mix of LIFR/IFR/MVFR ceilings with periods of precipitation and fog
lowering visibilities as well. Snow levels have dropped to near 5000
feet with clouds and areas of heavy snow producing mountain
obscurations. Reduced ceilings and visibility should prevail through
the entire forecast period for most of the forecast area. CC
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF 44 36 49 35 / 100 100 70 10
CTB 46 34 51 32 / 80 60 50 10
HLN 43 36 50 34 / 100 100 70 10
BZN 44 35 48 31 / 100 100 70 10
WEY 41 31 43 27 / 90 80 60 10
DLN 41 33 48 32 / 100 100 60 10
HVR 51 40 52 36 / 70 70 60 20
LWT 42 35 46 33 / 100 100 80 30
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning until noon MDT Saturday above 5500 feet for
Broadwater...Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...
Jefferson...Judith Basin...Meagher...Southern Rocky Mountain
Front.
Winter Storm Warning until noon MDT Saturday above 6500 feet for
Beaverhead...Gallatin...Madison.
Winter Weather Advisory until noon MDT Saturday above 6000 feet
for Northern Rocky Mountain Front.
&&
weather.gov/greatfalls
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 15, 5:52 AM MST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
652 AM MDT FRI SEP 15 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0615 AM SNOW 14 NW WOLF CREEK 47.17N 112.25W
09/15/2017 M1.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT NWS EMPLOYEE
1 INCH OF SNOW HAS ACCUMULATED AT THE ALICE CREEK FIRE
ICP AND IT IS STILL SNOWING. THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND
SNOW IS MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO MOVE FIRE EQUIPMENT
AROUND. ELEVATION 4700 FEET.
&&
MARTINLocal storm report, Sep 15, 6:34 AM MST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
734 AM MDT FRI SEP 15 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0732 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 SE ULM 47.35N 111.39W
09/15/2017 M1.51 INCH CASCADE MT TRAINED SPOTTER
EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 730 AM. STILL RAINING.
&&
MARTINLocal storm report, Sep 15, 6:47 AM MST, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
747 AM MDT FRI SEP 15 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 AM HEAVY RAIN 15 SE CHECKERBOARD 46.42N 110.33W
09/15/2017 M1.00 INCH MEAGHER MT PUBLIC
RAINFALL TOTAL THUS FAR THROUGH THE EVENT ALSO 24HR
TOTAL FOR THURSDAY... SEPTEMBER 14TH
&&
MOLDANWinter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark
- When
- September 15, 7:07 AM MST
- Where
- Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
MT DOT webcam showed snow-covered roadway along MacDonald Pass. Also snowing steadily at the time. Elevation: 6320 feet MSL.
Winter Storm, Jefferson
- When
- September 15, 8:53 AM MST
- Where
- Jefferson forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
MT DOT webcam showed snow-covered roadway along I-15 at Boulder Hill. Visibility was also reduced greatly by falling snow. Elevation: 5600 feet MSL.
Winter Storm, North Rocky Mountain Front
- When
- September 15, 10:11 AM MST
- Where
- North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
Glacier Park reported Logan Pass was closed temporarily due to winter storm conditions.
Winter Storm, Beaverhead
- When
- September 15, 10:55 AM MST
- Where
- Beaverhead forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
Trained spotter reported up to 4 inches of snow in Dillon. Also received multiple reports of vehicle slide-offs along I-15 on his scanner.
Winter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark
- When
- September 15, 12:45 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
- Reported by
- Public
Google Traffic showed very slow traffic flow over Rogers Pass. Likely due to falling snow per radar imagery.
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Dense Fog in Minnesota, September 15, 20171 death · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, September 15, 2017$6.8 million · 1.5 in hail · 10 events
- Damaging Wind in Iowa, September 15, 2017$20,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Hail in Nebraska, September 15, 20171.25 in hail · 4 events
- Frost and Freeze in Oregon, September 15, 20173 events
- Tornado and Hail in South Dakota, September 15, 2017EF0 · 2 events
- High Wind in Alaska, September 15 to 16, 201769 kt wind · 2 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Wind in Lake Superior, September 15, 20171 event
- Winter Storm in Wyoming, September 15 to 16, 20171 event
- Frost and Freeze in Montana, September 15, 20171 event
- Heavy Snow in Idaho, September 15, 20171 event
- Damaging Wind in Florida, September 15, 201752 kt wind · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 714655, 718921, 714660, 714658, 714668.