Montana, 2017

Winter Storm in Montana, September 15, 2017

September 15, 2017 · NWS TFX · 5 events in 4 counties and zones

A deep upper-level trough and embedded low pressure center moved southeastward from the Gulf of Alaska. Ahead of this system, isentropic lift generated widespread precipitation.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A deep upper-level trough and embedded low pressure center moved southeastward from the Gulf of Alaska. Ahead of this system, isentropic lift generated widespread precipitation. This included accumulating snow in the mountains, especially above 6000 feet MSL. Greater snow amounts were realized in the Central and Southwest Montana mountains compared to farther north.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 4:27 AM MST, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 4:27 AM MST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
527 AM MDT Fri Sep 15 2017

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SYNOPSIS...

Widespread rain and mountain snow will continue to develop across
the area today and continue into Saturday. This is the first
significant snowfall of the season for higher elevations, and the
first significant rainfall for much of the area since June. An
overall cooling trend is expected through the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Today through Sunday night...

There remains little change with the forecast through the first
half of Saturday. Impressive upper-level low just to our west
along with equally impressive mid-level isentropic lift are
combining to produce widespread rain across north-central and
southwest Montana. Rain, and mountain snow, will end from west to
east Saturday with the passage of the upper-level trough. The
westerly mid-level flow behind this system will help induce a
surface lee-side trough late Saturday into Sunday. This should
help produce some cross-barrier flow across the Rocky Mountains
and the Continental Divide overnight Saturday night into Sunday
morning, which should in turn provide just enough wind to keep
temperatures from dropping to freezing or below over the adjacent
plains. However, this is still somewhat low confidence and will
bear watching. Flat, progressive upper-level ridging moves
overhead Sunday before another storm begins to approach from the
Northeast Pacific late Sunday night.  CC

Monday through Friday...All models continue in good agreement
with a very strong upper level disturbance swinging across the NW
US in the beginning of next week. For this region, a fast-moving
cold front will eject eastward which will likely cause some rain
showers, or perhaps a few thunderstorms for central and southern
areas during the afternoon and evening hours on Monday.
Simultaneously, a deep lee-side surface low will begin to develop
just across the Canadian border to the north. This will lead to
increasing pressure gradient winds, coupled by increasing 700mb
winds aloft to create breezy conditions beginning on Tuesday. The
aforementioned upper level disturbance will then likely close off,
allowing for the surface low to stall just to the north which
will keep the area in an unsettled pattern through the rest of the
week along with continued windy conditions. Expect chances of
rain showers, persistent cloud cover and cool temperatures to last
well through the end of the week with temperatures ranging 5 to
15 degrees below climatological normal for this time of the year.
KLG

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 1127z.

Upper level low pressure trough will remain over the Northern Rocky
Mountain region through tonight, then eject east across our area
Saturday. Widespread low- and mid-level cloud cover will produce a
mix of LIFR/IFR/MVFR ceilings with periods of precipitation and fog
lowering visibilities as well. Snow levels have dropped to near 5000
feet with clouds and areas of heavy snow producing mountain
obscurations. Reduced ceilings and visibility should prevail through
the entire forecast period for most of the forecast area. CC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  44  36  49  35 / 100 100  70  10
CTB  46  34  51  32 /  80  60  50  10
HLN  43  36  50  34 / 100 100  70  10
BZN  44  35  48  31 / 100 100  70  10
WEY  41  31  43  27 /  90  80  60  10
DLN  41  33  48  32 / 100 100  60  10
HVR  51  40  52  36 /  70  70  60  20
LWT  42  35  46  33 / 100 100  80  30

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning until noon MDT Saturday above 5500 feet for
Broadwater...Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...
Jefferson...Judith Basin...Meagher...Southern Rocky Mountain
Front.

Winter Storm Warning until noon MDT Saturday above 6500 feet for
Beaverhead...Gallatin...Madison.

Winter Weather Advisory until noon MDT Saturday above 6000 feet
for Northern Rocky Mountain Front.

&&

weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 15, 5:52 AM MST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
652 AM MDT FRI SEP 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     SNOW             14 NW WOLF CREEK        47.17N 112.25W
09/15/2017  M1.0 INCH        LEWIS AND CLARK    MT   NWS EMPLOYEE

            1 INCH OF SNOW HAS ACCUMULATED AT THE ALICE CREEK FIRE
            ICP AND IT IS STILL SNOWING. THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND
            SNOW IS MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO MOVE FIRE EQUIPMENT
            AROUND. ELEVATION 4700 FEET.

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Sep 15, 6:34 AM MST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
734 AM MDT FRI SEP 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 AM     HEAVY RAIN       8 SE ULM                47.35N 111.39W
09/15/2017  M1.51 INCH       CASCADE            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EVENT TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 730 AM. STILL RAINING.

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Sep 15, 6:47 AM MST, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
747 AM MDT FRI SEP 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     HEAVY RAIN       15 SE CHECKERBOARD      46.42N 110.33W
09/15/2017  M1.00 INCH       MEAGHER            MT   PUBLIC

            RAINFALL TOTAL THUS FAR THROUGH THE EVENT ALSO 24HR
            TOTAL FOR THURSDAY... SEPTEMBER 14TH

&&

MOLDAN

Event by event

5 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
September 15, 7:07 AM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

MT DOT webcam showed snow-covered roadway along MacDonald Pass. Also snowing steadily at the time. Elevation: 6320 feet MSL.

Winter Storm, Jefferson

When
September 15, 8:53 AM MST
Where
Jefferson forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

MT DOT webcam showed snow-covered roadway along I-15 at Boulder Hill. Visibility was also reduced greatly by falling snow. Elevation: 5600 feet MSL.

Winter Storm, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
September 15, 10:11 AM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service

Glacier Park reported Logan Pass was closed temporarily due to winter storm conditions.

Winter Storm, Beaverhead

When
September 15, 10:55 AM MST
Where
Beaverhead forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Trained spotter reported up to 4 inches of snow in Dillon. Also received multiple reports of vehicle slide-offs along I-15 on his scanner.

Winter Storm, Southern Lewis and Clark

When
September 15, 12:45 PM MST
Where
Southern Lewis and Clark forecast zone
Reported by
Public

Google Traffic showed very slow traffic flow over Rogers Pass. Likely due to falling snow per radar imagery.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, September 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 714655, 718921, 714660, 714658, 714668.