Montana, 2017

Winter Storm in Montana, December 19 to 20, 2017

December 19 to 20, 2017 · NWS GGW · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

With moisture flowing in from the west and a strong cold front descending from the north, a significant winter storm brought accumulating snow to many northeast Montana locations. The higher snowfall amounts for this region were located in the higher elevations of central Montana and along and near US Highway 2.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

With moisture flowing in from the west and a strong cold front descending from the north, a significant winter storm brought accumulating snow to many northeast Montana locations. The higher snowfall amounts for this region were located in the higher elevations of central Montana and along and near US Highway 2.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 18, 7:43 PM MST, 8 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 7:43 PM MST, 8 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
743 PM MST Mon Dec 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...

730PM UPDATE:
Changes to the forecast focused on PoPs. Looking over confidence
in the upcoming event. As multiple parameters are coming into
agreement the chance for hundredth PoP has ramped up from 70
percent to nearly 100 percent for many areas Tuesday overnight.
Therefore, have also upgraded the winter weather advisory for
northern Phillips county to Winter Storm Warning. GAH

Afternoon Update (3pm MST):
Focus of the update was to the system coming tomorrow through
Wednesday. Snow totals have been updated to match closer to WPC
guidance. With continued increasing totals without decreases in
the interim, and run-to-run consistency increasing the confidence
of the impacts for this system, the Winter Storm Watch has been
upgraded to a Warning around the Little Rockies and Hwy-191, and
an Advisory for much of the rest of the region outside of Prairie
and Wibaux Counties, where accumulations do not look to be as
significant, and where some rain may also preclude some
accumulation by pre-wetting the ground. Temperatures continue to
be adjusted downwards in the near term to account for the expected
snowpack, but temperatures near the end of the period have been
brought up some from the past couple of forecast packages, as some
guidance have been starting to resolve a return to warmer weather,
thus decreasing confidence in such deep cold. Bigelbach

Morning Update (9am MST):
No significant changes to the forecast for the morning package.
Minor tweaks to temperature and wind grids comprised the main
areas of updating this morning. Bigelbach

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
A shift in the overall pattern is expected to lead to
accumulating snow by midweek, followed by much colder
temperatures.

A split upper trof is currently moving across the western CONUS,
with the northern portion heading across the northern Plains
states toward the Great Lakes, and the southern portion in the
form of a nearly entirely cutoff low over the Sonoran desert
region of the US and Mexico.

A surface boundary has set up over northern Montana, bringing
cloudy skies and a mixture of rain and snow showers this morning.
These will continue off and on throughout the day as this trof
slowly moves south and east through the region, and some locations
across far northeast Montana may see between half an inch to an
inch of snow.

Just behind this, a low pressure system will push into the area
from the northwest, allowing cold air to push into Montana from
the north. This system will bring snow to the region beginning as
early as Tuesday afternoon, which will persist into Thursday
morning. Currently, the highest snowfall amounts are anticipated
to be across the higher terrain of the Little Rockies. Areas of
northeast Montana north of the Missouri River should also see
higher snowfall amounts due to the surface boundary expected to
set up as cold air tries to push down from the north side of this
storm. Current forecast snow amounts look to be 5 to 8 inches over
the Little Rockies, and 3 to 5 inches over the rest of the area
north of the Missouri, with generally 2 inches or less south. As
these totals are anticipated from Tuesday morning through
Wednesday afternoon, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued for this
time period. Winds may also be somewhat breezy as this front
passes through, and we will keep an eye on that as the storm
approaches to determine how significant impacts from that will be.

Cold air will drop significantly as the system clears out from the
area, and with fresh snow cover, temperatures will drop to near or
below zero Wednesday night.

Cold northwest flow will keep temperatures cold, and there is
increasing model consensus regarding the probability of an upper
level low diving down in the Great Basin region from the Pacific
Northwest on Thursday. So have a chance of snow south of the
Missouri for Thursday night into Friday as this system passes,
although current thinking is that the precipitation will remain to
our south and over the Rockies with this storm.

Beyond this, model guidance diverges, although at this time it
looks like northeast Montana will remain cold under a generally
unstable northwest flow regime through Christmas.  Hickford

&&

.AVIATION...

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: Expect delays and accumulating snow on
runways from 00Z-00Z Wed to Thurs.

FLIGHT CAT: VFR-IFR

SYNOPSIS: Showers from earlier this evening have clear out of the
TAF sites overnight with VFR ceilings. However, by Tuesday
afternoon snow will begin to move into the terminals from west to
east. Ceilings will drop to MVFR overnight, and where snow starts
IFR visibilities will slowly set in and likely last through
Wednesday afternoon and evening. KGDV seems to be just far enough
south that it may remain out on the early snow and IFR until into
Wednesday afternoon.

WIND: West at 10 kts tonight. Flipping to the east and increasing
to 10-20 kts Tuesday afternoon.

GAH

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM Tuesday to 5 PM MST Wednesday
for Central and Southern Valley...Daniels...Dawson...Eastern
Roosevelt...Garfield...McCone...Northern Valley...Richland...
Sheridan...Western Roosevelt.

Winter Storm Warning from 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM MST Wednesday
for Central and Southeast Phillips...Northern Phillips...
Southwest Phillips.

Winter Weather Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 5 PM MST Wednesday
for Petroleum.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Northern Phillips

When
December 19, 4:00 AM MST to December 20, 4:00 PM MST
Where
Northern Phillips forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter located 6 miles west southwest of Chapman reported 8 to 10 inches of snow, primarily falling overnight on the 19th and into the 20th.

Winter Storm, Little Rocky Mountains

When
December 19, 8:00 AM MST to December 20, 2:00 PM MST
Where
Little Rocky Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.259, -107.913 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A trained spotter at the Buckhorn general store in Zortman reported 14 inches of snow, beginning at approximately 8:00 the morning of the 19th and ending at 2:00 PM the afternoon of the 20th.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, December 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 727978, 727968.