Parts of the area were still dealing with unsettled weather from late March and rivers remained high. Stoner Creek at Paris started the month above flood stage.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LMK wrote it up.
Parts of the area were still dealing with unsettled weather from late March and rivers remained high. Stoner Creek at Paris started the month above flood stage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 6:26 PM EST, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 726 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017 ...Updated Aviation Discussion... .Short Term...(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 328 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017 Cool cyclonic flow continues to dominate our weather pattern this afternoon. Mostly cloudy skies with scatter showers mainly east of I-65 were noted. Temperatures were cool with readings mainly in the mid 50s. Cold air advection was working in from the northwest and readings across NW KY had already dropped into the upper 40s. For the remainder of the afternoon, we expect mostly cloudy skies with the best chance of showers to be east of the I-65 corridor. Temperatures will hold steady in the mid 50s, but will cool into the 40s this evening. For tonight, the upper low will continue to pull slowly away from the region with showers pushing out of the eastern sections of the forecast area. Low-level moisture will remain trapped near the surface, so cloudy skies are expected overnight. Lows look to drop into the lower 40s in many areas. For Saturday and Saturday Night, high pressure will continue to nose in from the north/northwest. Low-level cloudiness will likely remain entrenched across the region, especially in the Bluegrass region. Best chances of clearing look to be in our far west and southwest areas. Highs will be on the chilly side for Saturday with highs ranging from 50-55 in the Bluegrass region to the 55-60 range in the I-65 area and points west. Skies should continue to scour out Saturday night with lows dipping into the upper 30s to the lower 40s. .Long Term...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 320 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017 The long term period will start off dry with a warming trend in temperatures expected on Sunday. Combination of surface and mid level ridging is expected to be in place on Sunday with mainly sunny conditions and high temperatures in the upper 60s to the lower 70s. Lows Sunday night will drop into the lower-mid 50s. Active weather pattern will persist through much of next week as several large upper level low pressure systems roll eastward through the CONUS. The first system is still on schedule to roll through the region and bring unsettled weather to the region Monday through early Tuesday. While the overall track has continued to trend slightly northward, the bulk of the jet dynamics and associated synoptic scale lift will remain to our south. In addition, much of the model guidance is developing a large convective shield over much of the southern states down into the Gulf. This may result in less deep moisture transport into the region for the development of strong convection in the Ohio Valley. Nonetheless, widespread showers with some thunderstorms are expected for much of Monday, Monday night, and into early Tuesday. Some partial clearing may take place on Tuesday, but the models really struggle with low-level moisture scouring out in the wake of the closed lows moving through the region. So much of Tuesday could remain cloudy, especially in the NE sections. Highs Monday will be above normal with highs in the upper 60s to the lower 70s. Lows Monday night will cool into the lower 50s. Highs Tuesday should warm into the upper 60s, but we could push 70 in the south if clouds scour out faster than expected. Lows Tuesday night will cool into the lower 50s. We'll see a small break in the action on Wednesday morning as mid- level heights rise in advance of the next upper level wave moving toward the region. The upper level wave approach in the afternoon likely resulting in another round of showers and thunderstorms. Conditional threat of strong/severe storms is there, however uncertainty remains in the quality and quantity of return moisture on the backside of the early week system. Highs Wednesday will be mild with upper 60s to lower 70s expected. Overnight lows will drop into the 40s. By Thursday and into Friday, a deep trough axis will engulf much of the eastern third of the country and result in below normal temperatures as we close out the week and head into the weekend. In the cold wrap around, it is possible that some wintry weather could potentially affect the northern and northeastern portions of our forecast area. However, the larger threat could be the potential for us to have some sort of frost/freeze next weekend. && .Aviation...(00z TAF Issuance) Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017 MVFR/IFR cigs on the backside of an upper level low expected through tonight and tomorrow morning across the region. Could see some very light showers or sprinkles early this evening in central KY, but activity should diminish over the next few hours. Drier air will begin working into the area tomorrow morning, starting in southwest portions of the CWA first (near BWG) before spreading northeastward toward SDF/LEX. Should see VFR cigs by late afternoon tomorrow across all TAF sites. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. KY...None. && Short Term...MJ Long Term....MJ Aviation...DM
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Louisville KY 335 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-011945- Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison- Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt- Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford- Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle- Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln- Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell- Cumberland-Clinton- Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 335 PM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017 /235 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Indiana and Central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. An active weather pattern is expected across the outlook area next week. There are chances for thunderstorms on Monday and again Wednesday afternoon and evening. At this time, the threat of widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected through the weekend. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville. MJ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1119 PM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0929 PM HAIL 3 NNE WATSON 38.39N 85.67W
03/30/2017 M1.00 INCH CLARK IN PUBLIC
REPORT CORRECTED FOR TIME.
&&
AMSThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Stoner Creek at Paris crested at 19.05 feet early on April 1st before dropping below flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, April 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 681351.