The Dobe Wildfire started around 1500 PDT on 07/13/17. The cause is under investigation.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.
The Dobe Wildfire started around 1500 PDT on 07/13/17. The cause is under investigation. As of the last report on 07/17/17, the fire covered 410 acres and was 100% contained. 750000 dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 1:53 PM PST, 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
253 PM PDT Thu Jul 13 2017
.DISCUSSION...Our summer pattern is destined to continue as
observations are supporting warm temperatures, clearing skies, and
no rainfall. Have only made minor changes to the previous
forecast which are for this weekend. In particular, took a closer
look at the thunderstorm potential for Friday and Saturday. For
Friday, have expanded the thunderstorm potential more over the
Cascades to include more of Crater Lake National Park as models
are indicating a higher chance for isolated storms.
For Saturday, have left most of the thunderstorm chances in the
forecast. This is because confidence regarding significant
changes is low because of the way the pattern will evolve. A
trough located off the coast of British Columbia will slide inland
on Saturday while a few disturbances associated with the remnants
of Tropical Cyclone Eugene will travel northeastward through
northern California and southern Oregon. With these disturbances,
it stands to reason that there will be some additional moisture
(which the models are not capturing extremely well) will be
brought in to the area. This moisture combined with the existing
instability and the disturbances themselves will allow for a
slight chance of thunderstorms occurring east of the Cascades and
in the Marble Mountains in western Siskiyou County. It is worth
noting that any storms will be higher in nature and therefore will
have limited rainfall associated with them. Meanwhile, have taken
out the thunderstorm chances across Modoc County as the models
have continued to show a dry spot over the area.
As far as temperatures are concerned, very warm temperatures are
expected to continue across inland areas through the weekend and
into next week. Temperatures are expected to be the warmest on
Friday. Slightly cooler (but still warm) temperatures are
expected inland on Saturday and Sunday as the trough off of
British Columbia slides eastward. Breezy to gusty afternoon
winds are also expected, especially for areas east of the
Cascades and in the Shasta Valley on Friday.
On Sunday, the upper trough shifts inland and to the east over
Canada. Models are in good agreement with dry conditions across
the area on Sunday and show the thunderstorm risk shifting east of
the forecast area. Temperatures are likely to stay warm with
highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s across inland valleys.
On Monday, models show a shortwave disturbance approaching the
area from the west in the afternoon and moving inland Monday
evening. This shortwave trough combined with some mid level
moisture and weak instability will bring additional slight chance
for thunderstorms to inland areas, mainly for Siskiyou County and
northeast into Klamath and northern Lake counties on Monday.
Moisture remains limited though and confidence is low on the
chance for storms to develop. -Schaaf/CMC
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Updated 230 PM Thursday, 13 July 2017... Hot,
dry, and breezy southwesterly winds east of the Cascades
(northwesterly west of the Cascades) are expected each afternoon
and evening through the weekend. Red Flag Warnings are in effect
for this afternoon and Friday afternoon for gusty winds and low
humidity in FWZ285 and southeastern FWZ624. The details on all of
this can be found at RFWMFR. Latest model data suggests a subtle
trend downward in winds and upward trend for RH for Saturday, so
we'll let the night shift take another look at the data to see if
another Fire Weather Watch is needed for Saturday afternoon.
Dryness and instability...Haines 6 values are expected to impact the
Hart fire this afternoon and the Ana, McCarty, and Hart fires on
Friday. Red Flag Warnings highlight these conditions.
Thunderstorms...Upper level disturbances and moisture will push
north Friday and will combine with moderate instability to bring
isolated thunderstorms from Western Siskiyou County mountains up
through the Siskiyous and into the Cascades. Favorable conditions
for thunderstorms tilt eastward some on Saturday, so the slight
chance of thunderstorms covers some of the East Side too. By Sunday
the axis of instability shifts far enough east so that our forecast
area should not see any thunderstorms.
Though confidence in near-term thunderstorms is not high, one thing
we are confident about is that upcoming thunderstorm coverage, if
any storms do form, will not reach the scattered category. Still, we
understand that it does not take many lightning strikes to be
problematic when fuels are drier than normal in the middle of July.
On Monday, the models are in pretty good agreement showing a
stronger shortwave approaching the area from the southwest and
reaching the coast Monday afternoon. In fact the past few model runs
have been showing this, but once again mid level moisture is lacking
and instability parameters are marginal at best. We have maintained
a slight chance of thunder mainly due to the expected strong impulse
moving through. What this impulse may impact most is the winds, so
enhanced southwest breezes are possible east of the Cascades on
Monday. SK/Petrucelli
&&
.AVIATION...13/18Z TAF CYCLE...Coast and Umpqua Valley...IFR
cigs finally made to KOTH this morning, though briefly. The marine
layer tonight should be thinner and offshore flow stronger...so
expect MFVR cigs... with potential for some clouds to seep into
the Umpqua Valley. Didn't have the confidence to put IFR in the
KOTH TAF, but can't rule out brief periods of IFR.
Rogue Valley and east of the Cascades... VFR conditions will
continue throughout TAF period, with gusty northwest winds in the
afternoon. -MSC
&&
.MARINE...Updated 200 PM PDT Thursday 13 July 2017...High
pressure offshore and a thermal trough near the coast will persist
for through next weekend. Winds will ease up some today into
Friday, but seas will remain steep. Saturday into early next
week, winds are expected to increase, with gales possible for the
southern waters by Sunday. -Petrucelli/BPN
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM PDT this evening for ORZ624.
Red Flag Warning from 2 PM to 8 PM PDT Friday for ORZ624-625.
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM PDT this evening for ORZ625.
CA...Red Flag Warning from 2 PM to 8 PM PDT Friday for CAZ285.
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM PDT this evening for CAZ285.
Pacific Coastal Waters...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM PDT Sunday for PZZ356-376.
BMS/NSK/BPNThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Dobe Wildfire started around 1500 PDT on 07/13/17. The cause is under investigation. As of the last report on 07/17/17, the fire covered 410 acres and was 100% contained. 750000 dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in California in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in California, July 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 702863.