Summer convection produced flash flooding in Wise County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MRX wrote it up.
Summer convection produced flash flooding in Wise County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 2:11 PM EST, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 311 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight and Tomorrow)... Isolated-to-scattered convection will continue during the overnight hours as an upper level disturbance approaches our area from out of the southwest out ahead of an incoming trough. Some of these showers and storms will still pose the risk of localized heavy rainfall due to the high PWS that are in place. Overnight lows will be mild with near 70 north and low-to-mid 70s south. Tomorrow will feature the best rain chances we've had in quite some time as an upper level disturbance gets absorbed into an incoming trough and swings across the area through the day. This upper level disturbance originated in the Gulf of Mexico and brings with it near record PWS for this time of year. Soundings PWS top out around the 2 inch mark for most areas. Very high PWS combined with long skinny CAPE profiles, 15 to 16k foot freezing levels, and a southwesterly mean flow will lead to the threat of heavy rainfall. Models in fairly good agreement that the main precip axis will stay off to our north. Having said that, our northern most areas from the Northern Plateau and up through Southwest Virginia will be closest to the main axis and will therefore have the best chances of seeing heavier rains. All other locations could still see periods of localized heavy rain throughout the day. We will continue to monitor trends to see if there is any southward shift in the main QPF axis. Increased clouds and precip will allow for temps in the mid to upper 80s by tomorrow afternoon. Incoming trough will also make for a breezy day across the valley with sustained winds from 10 to 15 kts with occasional gusts up to 20kts. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)... Low to our southwest that has been riding around the ridge will likely move just north of our area as we head into the end of the work week. This will help to bring a breakdown in the ridge and bring in increased moisture that is wrapped up with this system. Precipitable water values will increase to around or above 2 inches on Thursday leading to chances to see heavy rainfall with storms in the area. Highest PW values and best lift associated with this system looks to be closer to Eastern Kentucky into the Virginias, but that doesn't rule out the possibility of some of our counties receiving heavy rain Thursday into Friday. In addition to heavy rainfall in some locations, enough CAPE/shear could combine with the impulse moving through to provide an environment where strong to severe storms might be possible. If strong storms do form, the biggest threats would be locally heavy rainfall and strong winds. One thing to watch, in regards to storm strength, will be cloud coverage during the daytime, as increased cloud coverage would likely inhibit daytime destabilization of the atmosphere. After this system moves through we will be under a broad upper level trough that will help keep temperatures near normal and allow for several weaker impulses to move through the region and bring continuous chances for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon/evenings. Ridge begins to move in from the west towards the end of the forecast leading to increasing temperatures and decreasing rain chances. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 75 89 73 88 / 40 60 50 50 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 74 88 71 86 / 50 60 60 50 Oak Ridge, TN 74 86 71 86 / 50 70 60 50 Tri Cities Airport, TN 70 87 69 84 / 50 70 60 50 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. TN...None. VA...None. && SR/ABM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 321 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016 NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002- 005-006-008-281930- CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS- SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN- NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE- SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER- SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS- SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE- SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE- WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON- 321 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016 /221 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... AN APPROACHING MIDDLE LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE MAIN THREATS. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS THAT SEE REPEATED ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
406 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
NCZ060-TNZ086-087-272030-
CHEROKEE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-NORTHWEST MONROE-
406 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE AND
SOUTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTIES...
AT 405 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHWEST
OF MURPHY...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TELLICO PLAINS...HIAWASSE DAM...COKER CREEK...CITICO...
VIOLET AND UNAKA.
LAT...LON 3510 8429 3516 8430 3521 8429 3521 8431
3545 8435 3548 8396 3545 8397 3541 8402
3539 8401 3537 8401 3535 8404 3533 8403
3531 8404 3530 8402 3515 8407
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 181DEG 8KT 3526 8417
MJBSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
536 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
TNZ035-067-272215-
ROANE-MORGAN-
536 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL ROANE AND
SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTIES...
AT 536 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF WARTBURG...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OAK RIDGE...KINGSTON...WARTBURG...MIDTOWN...HARRIMAN...OAKDALE...
FROZEN HEAD S.P....COALFIELD...DEARMOND AND PETROS.
LAT...LON 3586 8459 3623 8461 3615 8445 3614 8445
3613 8443 3611 8442 3611 8440 3608 8437
3584 8443
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 183DEG 11KT 3603 8448
MJBSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
555 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
TNZ086-272245-
NORTHWEST MONROE-
555 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTY...
AT 555 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MADISONVILLE... MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SWEETWATER...MADISONVILLE...VONORE...TELLICO PLAINS...
MOUNT VERNON AND FORT LOUDON S.P..
LAT...LON 3537 8441 3540 8441 3540 8443 3542 8443
3543 8444 3545 8443 3546 8445 3546 8444
3551 8447 3563 8448 3561 8421 3535 8428
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 186DEG 15KT 3548 8438
MJBSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
625 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
TNZ067-272300-
ROANE-
625 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL ROANE COUNTY...
AT 625 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FAIRVIEW...OR
NEAR KINGSTON...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSTON...ROCKWOOD...FAIRVIEW...MIDTOWN...HARRIMAN AND PAINT ROCK.
LAT...LON 3571 8463 3573 8464 3572 8465 3593 8465
3586 8437 3572 8449 3571 8452 3570 8452
3569 8453 3568 8453 3568 8452 3567 8453
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 196DEG 5KT 3581 8454
MJBThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 109 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:46 UTC.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water briefly went over a roadway and entered a home.
Water covered Railroad Avenue and entered a home.
Water covered Stephens Road and entered a home.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 656761, 656763, 656764.