An upper level trough was approaching the region from over California and Arizona with an upper disturbance moving over West Texas and southeast New Mexico. Low-level moisture was also increasing across the area.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An upper level trough was approaching the region from over California and Arizona with an upper disturbance moving over West Texas and southeast New Mexico. Low-level moisture was also increasing across the area. There was large scale lift and steep mid-level lapse rates across the higher terrain of West Texas and into the southeast New Mexico plains. These conditions combined to create thunderstorms with heavy rain and large hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 8, 5:59 PM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 659 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016 .DISCUSSION... Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... A few showers are moving northeast across the area, though coverage is currently too sparse to include mention in the TAFs this evening. High-res guidance indicates more widespread precipitation developing and moving across the area overnight, thus have included -SHRA mention at terminals where confidence is highest, with best chance at CNM and HOB. While TS are possible, have not included mention as storms should remain isolated. VFR conditions are expected to prevail, with the only caveat being potential MVFR conditions in rain that may develop late tonight. Winds will remain breezy out of the southeast through Saturday morning, and then veer to the southwest with gusts to 20-25kt possible Saturday afternoon. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 155 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016/ DISCUSSION... Upper trough over CA and AZ... shortwaves ejecting off this trough will help storm chances today and tomorrow. After that a stronger cut off low rolls ashore the West Coast Saturday but weakens as it moves east. Have some weak troughs after that which should not have much impact but then a stronger low move over CA late next week. Visible satellite shows widespread cloud cover across the region extending from South TX westward to CA. Dewpts still mainly in the 30s with some 40s south... need to moisten up before can expect much in the way of rainfall. Temperatures will be moderated in the short term by the increased clouds but should be warm overall. There is a decent cold front expected to blow through late Monday. Tuesday looks to be the coolest day of the week with highs in the 60s north of the Pecos river and mainly 70s south of it. Warmer temps return Wednesday. As far as rain chances have storms in the forecast today... tonight... and tomorrow. Upper support should help initiate convection... especially when combined with daytime heating. Looking at qpf GFS is more generous than other models with bringing precip across the Permian Basin tonight... some push it northward. Currently have some light echos on radar mainly along and north of the Pecos River but not sure how much of this is reaching the ground. There is a marginal risk for severe storms for the SW part of the area today and tonight... could see a few strong to severe storms. Best chance of rain will be tonight with precip moving to eastern edge of the area Saturday. Could see a few afternoon/evening storms east Sunday along a dryline. Will be dry for a few days with increasing chances of rain toward next weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 53 77 56 83 / 50 30 0 20 Carlsbad 51 82 50 82 / 60 10 0 10 Dryden 59 84 60 89 / 30 10 10 10 Fort Stockton 55 85 57 87 / 40 10 0 10 Guadalupe Pass 49 75 52 73 / 70 10 0 10 Hobbs 50 77 51 81 / 60 20 0 10 Marfa 45 79 41 79 / 40 10 0 10 Midland Intl Airport 53 80 58 84 / 50 20 0 20 Odessa 54 80 59 85 / 50 20 0 20 Wink 53 84 52 86 / 60 10 0 10 && .MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NM...None. TX...None. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 148 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-091900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 148 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016 /1248 PM MDT FRI APR 8 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 812 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016 TXZ074-075-081-090200- BIG BEND AREA TX-PECOS TX-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA TX- 812 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER AND SOUTHWESTERN PECOS COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT... AT 811 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARATHON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MARATHON AND ELEPHANT MOUNTAIN WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND . && LAT...LON 2995 10342 3000 10351 3061 10333 3045 10287 TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 204DEG 37KT 3016 10335 44
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 221 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:17 UTC.
1 heavy rain, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Very heavy rainfall along with half inch hail fell near Marathon as a thunderstorm moved across Brewster County.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, April 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 622078, 622079.