California, 2016Flash Flood and Flooding in California, April 8 to 11, 2016
April 8 to 11, 2016 · NWS SGX · 6 events in 3 counties and zones
A pair of upper level lows brought showers and thunderstorms to Southern California from the 7th to the 11th. Though they were relatively small, the thunderstorms that formed were slow moving, allowing them to produce a few areas of flooding.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $360,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 6
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A pair of upper level lows brought showers and thunderstorms to Southern California from the 7th to the 11th. Though they were relatively small, the thunderstorms that formed were slow moving, allowing them to produce a few areas of flooding.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 8, 2:01 PM PST, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 8, 2:01 PM PST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
301 PM PDT FRI APR 8 2016
...A STRONGER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS/LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...
.SYNOPSIS...
A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH DELIVERED RAIN TO SOUTHERN CA THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH
LESSENING RAIN CHANCES THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ANOTHER
STRONGER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM HAS EYES ON SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
ARRIVES BY SATURDAY NIGHT...MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD...PARTICULARLY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A WEAKER SYSTEM FOLLOWS IMMEDIATELY
BEHIND THIS ON MONDAY...BUT WITH LIGHTER PRECIP FORECAST. RIDGING
FINALLY BUILDS IN TUE-WED...PROMISING TRANQUIL WEATHER THEN.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM DIVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EPAC/WESTERN U.S.
WITH POSITION/STRENGTH TOO UNCERTAIN TO DECIPHER WHETHER IT WILL
BRING MORE RAIN TO THE AREA OR NOT AT THIS TIME.
&&
.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...
MID/UPPER LOW CENTER IS MOVING NORTH ACROSS NORTHWESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AS OF THIS WRITING. THE BROAD ROTATION OF THIS
LOW HAS BEEN CLEARLY DEFINED NOT ONLY IN MOVING SATELLITE
IMAGERY...BUT ON RADAR LOOPS AS WELL. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT. DRYING WAS OCCURRING SOUTHWEST
OF THE LOW. HAVE TRENDED POPS DOWN...AND UNLESS WE SEE MORE
ACTIVITY DEVELOPING SOON OVER THE OCEAN...POPS MAY NEED TO BE
LOWERED EVEN FURTHER. JUST DID NOT WANT TO GO TOO LOW AS
ADDITIONAL SHOWER DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR. CERTAINLY NO WIDESPREAD
RAINS ARE EXPECTED AS THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE IS
DEPARTING THE AREA.
A BREAK IN THE ACTION TAKES PLACE TONIGHT-EARLY SATURDAY AS WE LIE
IN BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS. THE NEXT STRONGER PACIFIC LOW ARRIVES
LATE SATURDAY. MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN SLOWER WITH THIS
SYSTEM...DELAYING THE HEAVIEST PRECIP NOW UNTIL SATURDAY
EVENING/NIGHT. HOWEVER...AS THIS LOW APPROACHES DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY...MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN IN AGAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST
WITH GFS/ECMWF SHOWING PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASING INTO THE
1-1.1 INCH RANGE...VERY HIGH BY APRIL SOCAL STANDARDS. THIS COULD
ALLOW FOR ISOLATED-SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP.
INSTABILITY WILL BE INCREASING WITH THE COLD CORE LOW MOVING IN
LATE SATURDAY. HOWEVER...THERE WAS A SUBTLE SHIFT SOUTH ON THE
12Z MODEL RUNS...TAKING THE BRUNT OF THE ACTION INTO NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...NOT HOLDING FIRM ON THAT
SOLUTION...AND MODELS STILL SHOW DECENT QPF LOCALLY. INSTABILITY
AND MOISTURE INCREASING ON SW FLOW AHEAD OF THIS COLD LOW SHOULD
SET THE STAGE FOR AN ACTIVE PERIOD FOCUSING ON SATURDAY NIGHT NOW.
CONCERN IS THERE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN FROM THE PACIFIC
OCEAN WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ALSO...DEVELOPMENT OF LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAIN/TSTORMS ON UPSLOPE FLOW OF PARTICULARLY THE EAST-WEST
ORIENTED MOUNTAIN RANGES...NAMELY THE SAN BERNARDINOS. SEE
HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW FOR FORECAST RAIN/SNOW AMOUNTS.
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE OVER THE AREA
INTO SUNDAY WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. TSTORMS WILL POSE A RISK OF LIGHTNING
STRIKES...HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND EVEN A LOW POTENTIAL OF
WATERSPOUTS.
A WEAKER SYSTEM MOVES IN ON MONDAY WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF
PRECIP...BUT WITH LESSER INTENSITY AND AMOUNTS. HIGH PRESSURE
FINALLY BUILDS INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TUE-WED...ALLOWING FOR A
DRY PERIOD TO TAKE HOLD...AT LEAST FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS...AND
PERHAPS BEYOND. THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR LATE NEXT WEEK IS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN WITH REGARDS TO THE NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH COMING DOWN THE
PIKE. GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW THIS TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH AND BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER TO THE AREA NEXT THU-FRI.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF IS FLATTER WITH THE TROUGH/MORE PROGRESSIVE
AND TO THE EAST...KEEPING THINGS DRY FOR LATE NEXT WEEK. HAVE NO
CONFIDENCE IN EITHER ONE OF THESE SOLUTIONS AT THIS TIME...SO HAVE
JUST LOW POPS THU-FRI. /GREGORIA
&&
HYDROLOGY...
HERE ARE THE FORECAST PRECIP AMOUNTS WITH THE SAT-SUN STORM
SYSTEM.
...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...
COASTS/INLAND VALLEYS...0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES
MOUNTAINS...0.75 TO 1.50 INCHES
HIGH DESERTS...0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES
LOWER DESERTS...0.05 TO 0.25 INCHES
SHOULD TSTORMS WITH INTENSE RAINFALL DEVELOP...URBAN/STREAM
FLOODING COULD RESULT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOT BEING ISSUED
AT THIS TIME THOUGH...DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE AND THE ANTICIPATED
NON-WIDESPREAD NATURE OF ANY HEAVIER RAINFALL.
THE SNOW LEVEL IS FORECAST TO BE RATHER HIGH...ABOVE 7000 FT.
SEVERAL INCHES IS FORECAST BUT ONLY ON THE HIGHEST PEAKS HAVING
LITTLE IMPACT...SO NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.
FORECAST PRECIP AMOUNTS FOR THE WEAKER MONDAY STORM SYSTEM ARE
LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH...EXCEPT IN THE 0.25 TO 0.50 INCH
RANGE IN THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE MOUNTAINS.
&&
.AVIATION...
082000Z...COAST/VALLEYS...SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SAT...WITH VARIABLE BKN/OVC CLOUDS WITH BASES 2000-5000 FT
MSL...WITH AREAS OF 800-1900 FT MSL...AND LAYERED TO 20000 FT MSL.
AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN WILL BE OBSCURED AT TIMES. LOCAL 2-4 MI VIS
WILL OCCUR IN SHOWERS...AND AREAS OF FOG COULD DEVELOP IN THE
VALLEYS 06Z-16Z SAT WITH LOCAL VIS BELOW 1 MI.
MOUNTAINS/DESERTS...WIDESPREAD TERRAIN OBSCURATIONS AND AREAS OF
MOUNTAIN VIS BELOW 1 MI IN CLOUDS/FOG/SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SAT. BKN/OVC CLOUD BASES WILL MOSTLY BE 3000-7000 FT MSL. CLOUDS
WILL BE LAYERED TO 20000 FT MSL...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 01Z IN THE DESERTS. LOCAL VIS 2-4
MI WILL OCCUR IN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE DESERTS. LOCAL WEST
SFC WINDS 20-30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT WILL OCCUR ON THE DESERT
MOUNTAIN SLOPES 20Z-04Z THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
&&
.MARINE...
100 PM...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
CLOUD- TO-WATER LIGHTNING...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...AND POSSIBLE
WATERSPOUTS...FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH SATURDAY...WITH
A CHANCE OF HIGHER GUSTS.
&&
.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC...GREGORIA
AVIATION/MARINE...MAXWELL
Event by event
4 flood, 1 funnel cloud, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flood, San Bernardino
- When
- April 8, 4:30 PM PST to 5:15 PM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 0.86 mi S of Adelanto El Mirge Apt to 5.96 mi ENE of El Mirage
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 34.608, -117.599
The CHP reported flooding on El mirage Road.
Flood, San Bernardino
- When
- April 8, 5:00 PM PST to 6:00 PM PST
- Where
- San Bernardino County, 2.02 mi SE of Adelanto Hlndale Arp to 2.56 mi SE of Adelanto Hlndale Arp
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 34.733, -117.471
The CHP reported flooding on Highway 395 near Shadow Mountain Road. Vehicles were spinning out because of the water on the roadway.
Funnel Cloud, Riverside
- When
- April 10, 10:50 AM PST to 11:10 AM PST
- Where
- Riverside County, 0.66 mi WSW of Ellis
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 33.767, -117.231
A funnel cloud was reported northwest of the Perris Airport. The report received significant media coverage.
Flood, San Diego
- When
- April 10, 12:00 PM PST to 2:00 PM PST
- Where
- San Diego County, 0.63 mi WNW of Rancho Bernardo to 0.59 mi WNW of Rancho Bernardo
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 33.023, -117.080
The southbound onramp of Interstate 15 was flooded with 1 to 2 feet of stagnant water. A BMW stalled due to flooded waters in the right lane.
Flood, San Diego
- When
- April 10, 12:15 PM PST to 1:30 PM PST
- Where
- San Diego County, 0.67 mi N of Sunny Vista to 0.48 mi N of Sunny Vista
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 32.660, -117.082
The CHP reported several inches of water across all lanes of Highway 54.
Flash Flood, San Diego
- When
- April 11, 4:00 PM PST to 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- San Diego County, 3.44 mi ESE of Warner Spgs to 3.55 mi ESE of Warner Spgs
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Property damage
- $350,000
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 33.256, -116.578
The USACE and Bureau of Indian Affairs reported severe damage to Camino San Ignacio Road due high water and a debris flow. Areas upstream of the incident received moderate to heavy rainfall for approximately 3 hours. The damage to the roadway cut access to 15 homes. An application for a Presidential Declaration was filled for this event.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
- Funnel Cloud
- A rotating column of cloud extending from a thunderstorm that did not reach the ground.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm in Ohio, April 8 to 9, 2016$2.1 million · 10 events
- Frost and Freeze in Kentucky, April 8 to 10, 201699 events
- Winter Storm in Pennsylvania, April 8 to 9, 2016$150,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in California, April 8 to 11, 20161 injured · $19,000 · 5 events
- Frost and Freeze in Indiana, April 8 to 10, 201619 events
- Winter Weather in Wisconsin, April 8, 201615 events
- Winter Weather in Ohio, April 8 to 9, 201613 events
- Frost and Freeze in Virginia, April 8 to 10, 20165 events
- Frost and Freeze in Maryland, April 8 to 9, 20165 events
- Winter Weather in Pennsylvania, April 8 to 9, 20164 events
- Winter Weather in Ohio, April 8 to 9, 20163 events
- Heavy Snow in West Virginia, April 8 to 9, 20162 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 628849, 628848, 628960, 628839, 628842, 628847.