Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours on June 13. One storm became severe in Sumner County with localized wind damage and flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours on June 13. One storm became severe in Sumner County with localized wind damage and flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 13, 1:20 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 220 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 .DISCUSSION... Hopefully you're in the the A/C today because it's H-O-Double T out there. Increasing low-level moisture, along with afternoon temperatures soaring into the middle 90s have caused Heat Index values to climb into the low 100s for many. This is oppressive heat. If you have to be outside for any period of time today, bring that bottle of water and stay hydrated. As far as convective activity, don't expect much. A few showers/thunderstorms are popping up on radar at forecast time, but these are going to be short lived and isolated at best. Overall, there aren't many changes from last night's forecast package. The heat is going to continue for the next several days, with a small break Tuesday and Wednesday (if you call low 90s a break) and then by Thursday, temperatures ramp back up into the middle 90s as the atmosphere dries out a bit. Heat Index values each afternoon will be much like today, with many spots west of the Cumberland Plateau climbing into the low 100s. However, it still looks like we should remain below Heat Advisory Criteria. I'd like to pinpoint a particular day between now and Thursday where the PoPs would be higher than the next, but I really can't. Convective activity over the next several days is, for the most part, going to be diurnally driven. Shear is all but non-existent. However, if I had to pick one, I would say Wednesday might have the best coverage -- and that's still only 40-50% -- due to a very small increase in deep layer shear. As far as severity goes, each afternoon will carry a small risk of a damaging wind gust with any of these storms. CAPE is off the chart the next few days because of the heat and if one storm can get started any given afternoon, that might spark a chain of convection until the sun goes down that day. On Thursday evening, the big break might be coming. Models have fluctuated greatly over the last several days concerning a large upper level system and its effect on Middle Tennessee. In the least, this system should provide the region with a shortwave Thursday evening that could help to dry us out and cool temperatures back towards normal for the weekend -- or at least out of the 90s. Fingers crossed that this occurs, but with the model variation the last few days, it may be Wednesday before we get a good handle on this weekend's temperatures and PoPs. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. Isol to sct convection is expected late this aft. Will include vcnty coverage and adjust if needed. Activity will diminish this evening as upper divergence overnight is not indicated. Late night fog will be possible but min vsbys should remain between 3sm and 5sm. Activity will increase on Tuesday as moisture and instabilities increase. && .Climate... It looks like a LONG standing record is about to drop. The record high for June 13th is 96 degrees set way back in 1880. At 2 pm today, we are already at 96. Tuesday and Wednesday look safe as far as record breaking as we are looking at low 90s for highs. While we will warm up again Thursday, current forecast highs at KBNA of 96 won't touch the record high of 100 for June 16th set in 1952. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 73 91 74 93 75 / 20 40 30 40 50 Clarksville 72 89 73 90 73 / 20 40 30 40 50 Crossville 67 85 70 84 71 / 20 50 40 50 50 Columbia 71 90 72 91 73 / 30 50 30 40 30 Lawrenceburg 70 90 72 91 72 / 30 50 30 40 30 Waverly 72 89 73 90 74 / 30 40 30 40 40 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && DISCUSSION......Unger AVIATION........21
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 501 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-141015- STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON- HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH- JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON- MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD- COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES- 501 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S ACROSS MUCH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU THIS AFTERNOON. PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXPOSURE COULD RESULT IN HEAT EXHAUSTION OR HEAT STROKE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AGAIN RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S ACROSS MUCH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PROLONGED OUTDOOR EXPOSURE COULD RESULT IN HEAT EXHAUSTION OR HEAT STROKE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. SHAMBURGER
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 23 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:29 UTC.
1 flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor street flooding was reported on Gibbs Lane at Graystone Drive.
Four trees including one large tree were blown down on Gibbs Lane.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 633211, 633209.