A few thunderstorms pulsed up quickly where convergence maximized as the seabreeze and convective outflow boundaries collided.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILM wrote it up.
A few thunderstorms pulsed up quickly where convergence maximized as the seabreeze and convective outflow boundaries collided.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 2:05 PM EST, 3 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 305 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Elevated heat and humidity continues again today. A cold front will drop south into the Carolinas Sunday bringing slightly lower temperatures and humidity before returning north Monday. Bermuda high pressure will build westward through the mid-week, bringing near to slightly above normal daytime temperatures and afternoon showers and thunderstorms. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... As of 3 PM Saturday...Guidance was too warm today much like yesterday. As such the Heat Advisory is being cancelled with this forecast issuance. Some slightly deeper moisture is pooled to our south as evidence by the storms in CHS's area but POPS here seem to warrant to higher than isolated and only through a little after dark. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 3 PM Friday...Sunday will be more seasonable as mid level flow turns to WSW and moisture increases. The added cloudiness will temper the heating seen the last few days and a few embedded shortwaves could touch off isolated to widely scattered storms mainly along the coast where moisture will be more prevalent ahead of the front dropping down. This boundary soon reverses course and drifts back inland a bit keeping POPS in the forecast Sunday night, albeit fairly low ones. Another slight northward jog of the front by Monday should focus thunderstorms over E and NE NC especially since this coincides to where the vort centers seem to want to track. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 3 PM Saturday...Front stalled just north of the area Tue is lifted north Tue night by westward expansion of the Bermuda High. Piedmont trough makes a return Wed or Thu and becomes more defined Fri. Cold front approaches from the northwest Sat but it will likely end up stalling before reaching the area and more or less takes the place of the Piedmont trough. Pattern aloft will consist of elongated/flat ridge over much of the southern CONUS which will keep temps near to slightly above climo but is not strong enough to suppress diurnal convection. Precipitable water values near 2 inches for much of next week combined with diurnal heating and limited subsidence should lead to afternoon/evening convection each day. Will carry chance pop each day through the period with the best chances Tue, associated with the stalled front, and Sat ahead of the approaching cold front. && .AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 18Z...Other than some passing cirrus do not see much in the way of clouds on satellite loops or radar this afternoon. Latest High-Res guidance does not fire off any significant convection over our area through at least midnight, so going with VFR conditions for most of the TAF valid period. A weak cold front may briefly drop over the Cape Fear region Sunday morning before pushing back north and we will likely see winds go light and variable around daybreak or so. With light winds and plentiful low level moisture may see brief MVFR restrictions in visibility then in the form of HZ/FG. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...Possible brief MVFR/IFR during isolated to scattered thunderstorms each day. Possible brief MVFR from fog each morning, particularly over areas where substantial rainfall occurs. Otherwise expect VFR. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 3 PM Saturday...Southwesterly winds to continue overnight. They have been pretty tame/overforecasted by models and seas are holding at about 3 ft all the way out to 41013. Not much change is expected in either through the period. SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 3 PM Saturday...Cold front dropping into the area previously though the veer winds especially over northern zones. Now the boundary appears to stall inland enough to preclude this. Area waters remain in the prefrontal SW flow on Sunday, and the boundary begins to retreat further inland as the day wears on. The front will weaken on Monday and it will help to make the pressure pattern across the Carolinas malformed. This could translate to a few knots of wind speed decrease. Any decrease in overall wave height should be minor. LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 3 PM Saturday...Bermuda High will maintain 10 to 15 kt southwest flow through the period. Front stalled north of the area will keeps speeds on the higher end of the range Tue. Front lifts north for Wed with Piedmont trough starting to develop. The trough becomes more defined on Thu leading to speeds on the higher end of the range Thu afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft Tue and Wed increase to 2 to 4 ft Thu. && .ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...None. NC...None. MARINE...None. && NEAR TERM...MBB SHORT TERM...MBB LONG TERM...III AVIATION...REK
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 254 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-101900- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- 254 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AMZ250-252-254-256-101900- COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM- 254 PM EDT SAT JUL 9 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 95 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:29 UTC.
5 hail, 3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A retired NWS Meteorologist reported golf ball size hail on Debordieu Boulevard. The hail lasted for 10 minutes.
Trees and power lines were reported down across Andrews to include Jones Avenue. The time was estimated based on radar data.
Trees and power lines were reported down across Andrews to include S Rosemary Avenue. The time was estimated based on radar data.
Trees and power lines were reported down across Andrews to include Park Street. The time was estimated based on radar data.
Hail to the size of quarters was reported near the intersection of Bay Road and Enterprise Road. The hail lasted for 10 minutes.
Hail to the size of quarters was reported on E Sweetbriar Trail.
Hail to the size of quarters was reported near the intersection of Bonita Loop and Eagle Creek Drive.
Hail to the size of quarters was reported near the intersection of Highway 707 and Bay Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in South Carolina in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in South Carolina, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 648454, 648455, 648456, 648457, 648459, 648460, 648461, 648458.